28.06.2026
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Prediction Meng Xu vs D. Kasatkina — 29.06.2026

Meng Xu flag
WTA - 234
Meng Xu - D. Kasatkina
WTA Wimbledon 1/64-finals
June 29, 2026 16:00
Days
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Hours
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D. Kasatkina flag
WTA - 66
Meng Xu

Player Overview

Meng Xu currently holds a career baseline win percentage of around 46% on hard surfaces, but her recent form has seen a decline, reflected by a series of losses leading into Wimbledon. She has not won a match since late May and is trending downward, with her current two-year trajectory indicating a struggle to find her rhythm on the court.

In her last five outings, Meng Xu has faced tough competition, losing all but one match, including a recent defeat to E. Jacquemot at WTA Eastbourne. This pattern points to a lack of confidence and a challenging mindset as she approaches her first-round match at Wimbledon. The pressure will be on her to turn things around against a seasoned opponent.

Match results: Meng Xu

20 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Xu
E. Jacquemot
1 2
7 5
2 6
3 6
L
13 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
M. Xu
K. Birrell
0 2
2 6
3 6
L
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
M. Xu
E. Mandlik
1 2
6 4
4 6
1 6
L
31 May 2026 Birmingham
T. Martincova
M. Xu
1 0
6 1
L
30 May 2026 Birmingham
M. Xu
K. Cross
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 0
W
20 May 2026 W35 Estepona (Spain)
M. Xu
A. Ivanovskaya
0 2
5 7
5 7
L
14 May 2026 W35 Monastir 5
E. Milovanovic
M. Xu
2 1
4 6
6 2
L
12 May 2026 W35 Monastir 5
E. Lopez
M. Xu
0 2
2 6
0 6
W
3 Feb 2026 Mumbai
M. Xu
S. Park
0 1
1 6
L
26 Jan 2026 W100 Fujairah
E. Andreeva
M. Xu
2 0
6 3
6 2
L
D. Kasatkina

Player Overview

Daria Kasatkina has a career baseline win percentage of approximately 56%, yet her recent performance has been far from stellar, with a current two-year trend reflecting a decline. On hard courts, her struggles have been evident, particularly in the last few tournaments where she has lost crucial matches against players like A. Blinkova and M. Kessler.

Match results: D. Kasatkina

22 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
D. Kasatkina
1 0
6 3
L
13 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
D. Kasatkina
A. Blinkova
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
D. Kasatkina
R. Montgomery
1 2
7 5
0 6
4 6
L
30 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
D. Kasatkina
2 0
6 0
7 5
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
S. Bandecchi
1 0
7 5
W
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
Z. Sonmez
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
J. Cristian
D. Kasatkina
2 1
3 6
6 2
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
P. Stearns
D. Kasatkina
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
18 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
D. Kasatkina
L. Samsonova
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
17 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
A. Zakharova
D. Kasatkina
0 2
4 6
2 6
W

Players Analysis

M. Xu has struggled recently, losing 8 out of her last 10 matches, with a particularly poor performance in her last match against E. Jacquemot, where she lost 1-2. In contrast, D. Kasatkina has shown better form, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory against A. Blinkova. This disparity in recent performance indicates that Kasatkina enters this match with a significant advantage.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of overall performance, M. Xu has averaged only 0.7 games won per match in her last 10 outings, while D. Kasatkina has averaged 1.1 games won per match. This suggests that Kasatkina is not only winning more frequently but also performing better in the games she plays. Additionally, there is no head-to-head history available between these two players, which adds an element of unpredictability to the match.

M. Xu — D. Kasatkina Prediction

Given the recent form and performance metrics, D. Kasatkina is favored to win this match. The expected score is likely to be 2-0 in favor of Kasatkina, reflecting her superior form and consistency compared to Xu.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - D. Kasatkina, Set 2 - D. Kasatkina
  • Expected aces: 3
  • Double faults: 1
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, D. Kasatkina is likely to dominate the rallies with her aggressive baseline play and effective serve, while M. Xu may struggle to keep up with the pace and pressure. Kasatkina's ability to convert break points will be crucial in maintaining her advantage throughout the match.

3 Reasons Why D. Kasatkina Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors D. Kasatkina 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors D. Kasatkina.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, D. Kasatkina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Xu, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
29.06.2026 16:00 WTA Wimbledon
Meng Xu
D. Kasatkina
0 2
0 0 1 1
23
11
24