Casper Ruud's career has oscillated between hard court success and struggles on grass, evidenced by a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on this surface. Currently, he finds himself on a declining trend, with recent results at the ATP French Open showing only one victory against three losses. His Elo rating reflects a drop in confidence, placing him in a lower tier than his usual standing.
Ruud's recent performances have been a mixed bag, with a notable win over Tommy Paul overshadowed by losses to Ben Shelton and Joao Fonseca. His inability to translate clay-court form to grass is concerning, especially with the Wimbledon stage set before him. This match against Hubert Hurkacz presents a critical opportunity for Ruud to regain footing, but he must overcome his recent inconsistencies.
Match results: C. Ruud
25 Jun 2026Exhibition Hurlingham
C. Ruud
B. Shelton
02
36
46
L
31 May 2026ATP French Open
C. Ruud
J. Fonseca
12
57
75
26
L
29 May 2026ATP French Open
C. Ruud
T. Paul
21
46
64
75
W
27 May 2026ATP French Open
C. Ruud
H. Medjedovic
30
63
62
64
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
C. Ruud
R. Safiullin
32
62
57
06
62
W
22 May 2026ATP Geneva
C. Ruud
M. Navone
02
57
26
L
21 May 2026ATP Geneva
A. Popyrin
C. Ruud
02
46
36
W
20 May 2026ATP Geneva
R. Collignon
C. Ruud
01
26
W
19 May 2026ATP Geneva
J. Brooksby
C. Ruud
02
36
57
W
17 May 2026ATP Rome
J. Sinner
C. Ruud
20
64
64
L
H. Hurkacz
Player Overview
Hubert Hurkacz has built a reputation as a formidable grass court player, with a strong serve and a career baseline win percentage of around 61% on this surface. However, his recent form has been unstable, reflected in a declining trend over the last two years. His performances at ATP Halle and the Boodles Challenge have shown flashes of brilliance, but a recent loss to Jiri Lehecka exposes vulnerability.
In his last matches, Hurkacz secured a win against Sebastian Baez but faltered against J. Mensik and Daniel Altmaier. With a mixed record leading into Wimbledon, the pressure mounts to demonstrate his capabilities against Ruud. This encounter is crucial for Hurkacz to establish his status in the tournament and avoid another early exit.
Match results: H. Hurkacz
25 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
J. Mensik
H. Hurkacz
21
06
119
L
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
H. Hurkacz
S. Baez
20
75
61
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
H. Hurkacz
D. Altmaier
12
63
36
57
L
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
A. Rublev
H. Hurkacz
02
36
26
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
H. Hurkacz
M. Fucsovics
10
63
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
H. Hurkacz
F. Tiafoe
02
46
46
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Munar
H. Hurkacz
13
36
36
62
36
W
6 May 2026ATP Rome
H. Hurkacz
Y. Hanfmann
01
26
L
3 May 2026Cagliari
H. Hurkacz
M. Arnaldi
02
46
46
L
2 May 2026Cagliari
H. Hurkacz
R. A. Burruchaga
21
46
63
W
Players Analysis
C. Ruud and H. Hurkacz are set to face off in the first round of the ATP Wimbledon. C. Ruud has had a challenging run recently, losing 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent loss to B. Shelton. In contrast, H. Hurkacz has shown slightly better form, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches, although he too has faced defeats, including a recent loss to J. Mensik.
Historically, Ruud has had the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, winning 3 out of 4 matches. Their most recent match was on December 30, 2024, where Ruud won convincingly in straight sets. This trend may give Ruud a psychological edge going into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of performance metrics, C. Ruud has averaged 1.4 sets won per match in his last 10, while H. Hurkacz has averaged 1.2 sets won. Ruud's recent matches have seen him struggle with consistency, particularly in the French Open, where he lost in the 1/8-finals. Hurkacz, on the other hand, has shown resilience in exhibition matches, winning 2-0 against S. Baez recently. The surface at Wimbledon is grass, which typically favors players with strong serve and volley games, an area where Hurkacz excels.
Both players have had mixed results on grass, but Hurkacz's recent form in exhibition matches could provide him with the confidence needed to perform well. The head-to-head record indicates that Ruud has been able to capitalize on Hurkacz's weaknesses in previous encounters, which will be a crucial factor in this match.
C. Ruud — H. Hurkacz Prediction
Given the historical context and recent performances, C. Ruud is predicted to win this match. The forecast suggests a score of 3-1 in sets, with Ruud taking the first two sets before Hurkacz manages to secure one. The final set is expected to be closely contested, but Ruud's experience in crucial moments should see him through.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: C. Ruud, Set 2: C. Ruud, Set 3: H. Hurkacz, Set 4: C. Ruud
Expected aces: 10
Expected double faults: 4
Expected break points: 5
In terms of tactical expectations, Ruud will likely focus on his baseline game, aiming to extend rallies and exploit Hurkacz's movement on grass. Hurkacz, known for his powerful serve, will need to capitalize on his service games and look for opportunities to break Ruud early to gain momentum. The match could hinge on the effectiveness of Hurkacz's serve and whether he can maintain pressure on Ruud's service games.
3 Reasons Why C. Ruud Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors C. Ruud 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors C. Ruud.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, C. Ruud has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than H. Hurkacz, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
29.06.2026 14:00ATP Wimbledon
C. Ruud
H. Hurkacz
31
11010010
108
45
53
Where to watch C. Ruud vs H. Hurkacz
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Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website provides information on match schedules and broadcast options.