Jelena Ostapenko's career has been marked by powerful shot-making, evidenced by her aggressive baseline play. With a career win percentage hovering near 56% on hard courts, she remains a formidable opponent, but her recent form is concerning. Currently on a declining trend, Ostapenko has struggled to find her rhythm, losing her last match against Tamara Maria at Eastbourne. The last two years show a dip in performance, indicating a need for resurgence.
In her last five matches, Ostapenko has secured only two victories but faced a series of competitive opponents. The wins against Z. Sonmez and P. Udvardy are overshadowed by her recent loss streak, including a disappointing exit at the French Open against Magda Linette. This matchup at Wimbledon presents a critical opportunity for Ostapenko to regain her footing, but with her current trajectory, caution is warranted.
Match results: J. Ostapenko
26 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
T. Maria
J. Ostapenko
10
61
L
25 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
J. Ostapenko
Z. Sonmez
20
63
60
W
24 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
J. Ostapenko
P. Udvardy
21
36
61
62
W
22 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
J. Ostapenko
F. Jones
20
62
62
W
27 May 2026WTA French Open
J. Ostapenko
M. Linette
12
26
62
26
L
25 May 2026WTA French Open
J. Ostapenko
E. Seidel
20
64
64
W
12 May 2026WTA Rome
S. Cirstea
J. Ostapenko
10
61
L
11 May 2026WTA Rome
A. Kalinskaya
J. Ostapenko
02
16
26
W
9 May 2026WTA Rome
Q. Zheng
J. Ostapenko
12
64
46
46
W
7 May 2026WTA Rome
J. Ostapenko
G. Ruse
21
26
62
63
W
H. Dart
Player Overview
Harriet Dart has established herself as a tenacious competitor, yet she faces significant challenges as her current performance falters. With a career baseline win percentage that reflects her potential, Dart's recent results reveal a player in decline, particularly evident in her last few tournaments. Her performance has not matched her ability, and she is struggling to make inroads on the tour.
Dart's recent matches tell a story of missed opportunities, with consecutive losses, including a narrow defeat to Z. Sonmez at Eastbourne. Her inability to secure wins in Nottingham against lower-ranked players raises questions about her readiness for the demands of Wimbledon. As she prepares to face Ostapenko, Dart must address her form issues if she hopes to advance in the tournament.
Match results: H. Dart
23 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
Z. Sonmez
H. Dart
21
46
62
75
L
16 Jun 2026WTA Nottingham
H. Dart
H. Klugman
02
26
46
L
16 Jun 2026WTA Nottingham
H. Dart
K. Boulter
00
L
12 Jun 2026WTA London
H. Dart
K. Rakhimova
12
75
16
57
L
11 Jun 2026WTA London
H. Dart
B. Bencic
00
L
8 Jun 2026WTA London
H. Dart
L. Samsonova
21
57
64
63
W
2 Jun 2026Birmingham
N. Bartunkova
H. Dart
21
36
63
75
L
20 May 2026WTA French Open
H. Dart
L. Romero Gormaz
02
16
46
L
18 May 2026WTA French Open
Y. Yuan
H. Dart
12
75
46
26
W
30 Apr 2026W100 Gifu
H. Dart
T. Preston
12
57
61
26
L
Players Analysis
Jelena Ostapenko has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory against H. Dart in their last encounter at the WTA Eastbourne. Ostapenko's aggressive style and powerful serve have been effective on grass, contributing to her success. In contrast, Harriet Dart has struggled, winning only 3 of her last 10 matches, with her most recent performance resulting in a loss. This disparity in form suggests that Ostapenko enters this match with a significant advantage.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head match, Ostapenko defeated Dart convincingly with a score of 2:0, winning the sets 6-3, 6-4. This indicates a clear psychological edge for Ostapenko. Additionally, Ostapenko's recent performance on grass has been impressive, while Dart's form has been inconsistent, particularly in her last few matches where she has lost more often than won. The surface at Wimbledon typically favors Ostapenko's aggressive playstyle, which could further influence the match outcome.
J. Ostapenko — H. Dart Prediction
Given the current form and head-to-head results, Jelena Ostapenko is favored to win this match against Harriet Dart. The prediction is for Ostapenko to win in straight sets, likely reflecting her dominance in their previous encounter and her overall performance on grass.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Ostapenko 1, Dart 0; Ostapenko 1, Dart 0
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
Ostapenko's powerful serve and aggressive baseline play are expected to put Dart under pressure from the start. If Ostapenko can maintain her first serve percentage and capitalize on break points, she should be able to dictate the pace of the match. Dart will need to find a way to counter Ostapenko's aggression, but given her recent struggles, it may prove challenging.
3 Reasons Why J. Ostapenko Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors J. Ostapenko 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors J. Ostapenko.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, J. Ostapenko has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than H. Dart, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
29.06.2026 14:00WTA Wimbledon
J. Ostapenko
H. Dart
20
1100
52
23
41
Where to watch J. Ostapenko vs H. Dart
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