28.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction J-L. Struff vs S. Baez — 29.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 83

J-L. Struff - S. Baez

ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals

June 29, 2026 • 15:30

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 65

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1

H2H W-L 1-0-0

Avg sets per match 3.00

Last 5 W-L 1-0

Last 3 W-L 1-0

Current streak W1

Sets balance +1

Avg sets (last 5) 3.00

Sets range 3-3

3-set matches 1 (99%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 0/0

100% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

0% 0 Wins

Last 1 match

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

7 Apr 2024

J-L. Struff - S. Baez

2:1 (1-6, 6-2)

ATP Monte Carlo

—

J-L. Struff

Player Overview

J-L. Struff has struggled to find his footing recently, with a career baseline win percentage around 56% on hard courts and an Elo rating indicating a steep decline. His current form has dipped below his two-year trajectory, which has not helped as he heads into Wimbledon.

Struff's recent matches paint a challenging picture. He lost to Nuno Borges at ATP Mallorca after a win against Mario Landaluce, failing to secure any wins in his last five matches. This lack of success, combined with his uncertain surface performance, raises concerns about his ability to compete effectively against Sebastian Baez.

Match results: J-L. Struff

23 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

J-L. Struff

N. Borges

0 2

4 6

5 7

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

J-L. Struff

M. Landaluce

2 1

6 3

1 6

7 5

10 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

J-L. Struff

A. Bublik

1 2

6 3

2 6

9 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

J-L. Struff

A. Galarneau

2 0

6 2

6 3

28 May 2026 ATP French Open

J-L. Struff

J. Faria

0 2

5 7

2 6

26 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. Bublik

J-L. Struff

0 3

5 7

4 6

5 7

18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

J. Mensik

J-L. Struff

1 0

6 2

12 May 2026 Valencia

J-L. Struff

N. Alvarez Varona

1 2

1 6

7 5

2 6

8 May 2026 ATP Rome

J-L. Struff

J. Lehecka

0 1

3 6

6 May 2026 ATP Rome

J-L. Struff

F. Comesana

2 0

6 2

6 4

S. Baez

Player Overview

Sebastian Baez has shown flashes of potential, but his current trajectory is stalling. With a career baseline around 54% on hard courts, his recent form has been erratic, marked by a mix of wins and losses in exhibition matches, indicating he has yet to establish a steady rhythm this season.

Match results: S. Baez

25 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge

S. Baez

A. Shevchenko

2 0

6 4

24 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge

H. Hurkacz

S. Baez

2 0

7 5

6 1

23 Jun 2026 Exhibition Boodles Challenge

S. Baez

T. Kokkinakis

0 1

4 6

7 Jun 2026 Prostejov

S. Baez

A. Molcan

2 0

6 4

6 2

6 Jun 2026 Prostejov

S. Baez

N. Sanchez Izquierdo

1 0

6 2

5 Jun 2026 Prostejov

S. Baez

M. Mrva

2 0

6 4

7 5

3 Jun 2026 Prostejov

S. Baez

T. Boyer

2 0

6 2

6 4

2 Jun 2026 Prostejov

S. Baez

S. Gueymard Wayenburg

2 0

6 4

6 3

26 May 2026 ATP French Open

S. Baez

R. A. Burruchaga

1 3

6 2

5 7

2 6

18 May 2026 ATP Geneva

S. Baez

A. Michelsen

0 2

5 7

3 6

Players Analysis

J-L. Struff has shown inconsistent form recently, with a record of 3 wins and 7 losses in his last 10 matches. His recent performances include a win against M. Landaluce but losses to N. Borges and A. Bublik. In contrast, S. Baez has been in better form, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including victories against A. Shevchenko and T. Kokkinakis. Baez's recent success in exhibition matches suggests he is in good shape heading into this tournament.

In their only previous encounter at the ATP Monte Carlo in April 2024, J-L. Struff defeated S. Baez 2-1 in sets, indicating a competitive matchup. Struff's ability to win that match may give him a psychological edge, but Baez's recent form cannot be overlooked.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

J-L. Struff's recent matches have shown a tendency to struggle with consistency, averaging 1.1 sets won per match in his last 10 outings. His performance on grass has been less than stellar, which could be a disadvantage at Wimbledon. On the other hand, S. Baez has been more effective, averaging 1.2 sets won per match and demonstrating a stronger ability to close out matches, particularly in the Challenger circuit.

Both players have shown they can win matches, but Baez's recent form and higher win percentage in his last 10 matches give him a slight edge. The head-to-head record favors Struff, but the context of their recent performances suggests Baez may be better prepared for this encounter.

J-L. Struff — S. Baez Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, this match is expected to be closely contested. However, S. Baez's current form and consistency may allow him to edge out J-L. Struff. The predicted score is likely to reflect a competitive match, with Baez potentially winning in four sets.

Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: S. Baez, 2nd set: J-L. Struff, 3rd set: S. Baez
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6

In terms of tactical expectations, S. Baez may look to exploit Struff's inconsistency by applying pressure early in the match. If Baez can maintain a high first-serve percentage and capitalize on break points, he could secure a crucial advantage. Struff will need to focus on his service games and aim to minimize unforced errors to stay competitive.

3 Reasons Why S. Baez Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors S. Baez 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors S. Baez.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, S. Baez has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J-L. Struff, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

29.06.2026 15:30 ATP Wimbledon

J-L. Struff

S. Baez

1 2

0 1 0 1 0 1

810