28.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction E. Nava vs I. Buse — 29.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 108

E. Nava - I. Buse

ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals

June 29, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 62

E. Nava

Player Overview

Ethan Nava, currently finding his footing on the ATP tour, has struggled to establish consistency, with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 45%. The hard court remains a challenging surface for him, reflected in his recent performances which have shown a declining trend. His Elo rating suggests he is in the lower tier of competitors, and his serve is still developing, limiting his impact in crucial moments.

Nava's recent outings have not been kind, with five consecutive losses, including a tough defeat to H. Stewart at ATP Eastbourne. He has yet to win a match this season, and his last victory dates back to early June. This lack of form raises concerns as he steps onto Wimbledon’s grass, a surface that demands precision and confidence. Without a significant turnaround, his prospects against I. Buse could be dim.

Match results: E. Nava

20 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

E. Nava

H. Stewart

1 2

6 2

3 6

11 Jun 2026 Bratislava

T. Daniel

E. Nava

2 0

6 1

6 3

9 Jun 2026 Bratislava

P. Boscardin Dias

E. Nava

1 2

5 7

6 3

1 6

7 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

L. Mikrut

E. Nava

0 1

6 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

H. Squire

E. Nava

0 2

1 6

4 6

5 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

G. Den Ouden

E. Nava

1 2

6 4

2 6

4 6

3 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

M. Topo

E. Nava

0 2

3 6

4 6

1 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

M. Houkes

E. Nava

0 1

4 6

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

E. Nava

C. Ugo Carabelli

0 2

3 6

22 May 2026 ATP French Open

E. Nava

P. Martinez

2 0

6 3

I. Buse

Player Overview

I. Buse, while not yet a household name, has shown flashes of potential throughout his career, particularly on grass, where his serve-and-volley style plays well. Currently, his performance has been slightly below par, with results indicating a steady trajectory but not one that inspires confidence. His Elo rating places him in a competitive mid-tier, and he has a solid baseline win percentage of approximately 48% on this surface.

Match results: I. Buse

24 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

V. Kopriva

I. Buse

2 0

7 5

6 1

23 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

S. Tsitsipas

I. Buse

0 2

6 7

3 6

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

B. Nakashima

I. Buse

2 0

6 2

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

M. Giron

2 1

3 6

7 5

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

R. Jodar

0 0

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

I. Buse

A. Rublev

0 3

3 6

5 7

23 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

I. Buse

T. Paul

2 1

4 6

6 3

22 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

A. Kovacevic

I. Buse

0 2

1 6

4 6

21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

I. Buse

U. Humbert

2 1

6 3

5 7

6 3

20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

I. Buse

J. Mensik

2 0

6 0

6 3

Players Analysis

Emilio Nava has shown a mixed performance in his recent matches, winning 5 out of his last 10 matches. His victories include wins against lower-ranked players, but he struggled against higher-ranked opponents, such as in his recent loss to H. Stewart. In contrast, I. Buse has had a better run recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable victory over T. Paul in the ATP Hamburg final. This suggests that Buse is currently in better form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Both players have demonstrated solid performances, but I. Buse's recent form is slightly more impressive, with a higher win rate in his last 10 matches. Nava has been more consistent in terms of games won, averaging 1.4 games won per match, while Buse has averaged 1.4 games won but with a slightly higher games lost average of 1.0. The absence of head-to-head matches between the two players makes it difficult to predict the outcome based on past encounters, but current form and recent match results suggest Buse may have the upper hand.

E. Nava — I. Buse Prediction

Given the recent performances and overall form, I predict that I. Buse will win this match against Emilio Nava. Buse's recent victories and better form provide him with a slight edge in this matchup.

Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: I. Buse, Set 2: E. Nava, Set 3: I. Buse, Set 4: I. Buse
Expected aces: 8
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, I. Buse may focus on aggressive baseline play to exploit any weaknesses in Nava's defense. Given Buse's recent success, he is likely to maintain pressure throughout the match, aiming to capitalize on any break points and leverage his serve to secure easy points.

3 Reasons Why I. Buse Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors I. Buse 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors I. Buse.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, I. Buse has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Nava, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

29.06.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon

E. Nava

I. Buse

1 3

0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1

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