28.06.2026
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Prediction M. Cilic vs D. Medvedev — 29.06.2026

M. Cilic flag
ATP - 47
M. Cilic - D. Medvedev
ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals
June 29, 2026 15:30
Days
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Hours
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Seconds
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ATP - 13

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3
H2H W-L 1-0-2
Avg sets per match 3.33
Last 5 W-L 1-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak L1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 3.33
Sets range 3-4
3-set matches 3 (99%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/1
33% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
67% 2 Wins
Last 3 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
13 Jun 2026
D. Medvedev - M. Cilic
2:1 (6-2, 3-6, 6-1)
ATP Hertogenbosch
30 May 2022
M. Cilic - D. Medvedev
3:0 (6-2, 6-3, 6-2)
French Open
3 Jul 2021
M. Cilic - D. Medvedev
1:3 (6-3, 3-6, 3-6, 2-6)
Wimbledon
M. Cilic

Player Overview

Marin Cilic, a seasoned competitor on grass, has a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56%, particularly strong on this surface. However, his current trajectory has been declining, reflected in a challenging recent stretch where he has struggled to find his footing and execute his game effectively.

Cilic's recent matches tell a stark story; he has lost his last three encounters, including a recent defeat to Daniil Medvedev in Hertogenbosch, where he won just one set across those matches. With a lack of wins and a surface that typically suits his game, Cilic faces considerable pressure to turn things around against Medvedev, who has had his number recently.

Match results: M. Cilic

16 Jun 2026 ATP London
U. Humbert
M. Cilic
2 0
7 5
6 3
L
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
M. Cilic
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 1
L
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
N. Borges
M. Cilic
1 2
6 3
3 6
W
8 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
M. Cilic
D. Shapovalov
2 0
6 4
7 5
W
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Cilic
M. Kouame
0 2
2 6
1 6
L
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Cilic
M. Landaluce
0 2
4 6
4 6
L
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Cilic
V. Vacherot
0 0
L
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Giron
M. Cilic
0 2
5 7
4 6
W
24 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
J. Fonseca
M. Cilic
1 0
L
22 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
Z. Bergs
M. Cilic
1 2
6 4
3 6
4 6
W
D. Medvedev

Player Overview

Daniil Medvedev is known for his strategic play and strong baseline game, boasting an Elo rating that positions him firmly among the elite. His performance on grass has been a work in progress, showing a stable form over the last two years, although recent results indicate a slight dip in competitiveness as he seeks to regain his rhythm.

Match results: D. Medvedev

19 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
D. Altmaier
D. Medvedev
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
17 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
T. Atmane
D. Medvedev
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
T. M. Etcheverry
D. Medvedev
0 2
3 6
4 6
W
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
K. Majchrzak
D. Medvedev
1 0
6 1
L
13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
M. Cilic
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 1
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
T. Boogaard
2 1
6 3
4 6
W
26 May 2026 ATP French Open
A. Walton
D. Medvedev
3 2
6 2
1 6
6 1
1 6
6 4
L
16 May 2026 ATP Rome
J. Sinner
D. Medvedev
2 1
6 2
5 7
6 4
L
14 May 2026 ATP Rome
M. Landaluce
D. Medvedev
1 2
6 1
4 6
5 7
W
12 May 2026 ATP Rome
T. A. Tirante
D. Medvedev
0 2
3 6
2 6
W

Players Analysis

Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev are set to face off in the first round of the ATP Wimbledon. Cilic has had a mixed bag of results recently, with his last ten matches yielding only 3 wins against 7 losses. His recent form shows a struggle to maintain consistency, particularly highlighted by a loss to Ugo Humbert and a disappointing performance at the French Open. On the other hand, Daniil Medvedev has shown better form, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over Cilic in their last encounter at the ATP Hertogenbosch.

The head-to-head record between the two players favors Medvedev, who has won 2 out of their 3 encounters. Cilic's only victory came at the French Open in 2022, where he won decisively. However, Medvedev's recent win in June 2026 suggests he has the upper hand heading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of performance metrics, Cilic has struggled with his service game, averaging fewer aces and higher double faults compared to Medvedev. Cilic's recent matches have seen him concede more break points, which could be a critical factor on the grass surface of Wimbledon. Medvedev, conversely, has been more effective in converting break points and maintaining a higher first serve percentage. The surface at Wimbledon traditionally favors players with strong serve-and-volley games, which aligns with Medvedev's playing style.

Considering their recent performances, Medvedev's ability to handle pressure in crucial moments, particularly in their last match where he won in straight sets, gives him a significant advantage. Cilic will need to find a way to disrupt Medvedev's rhythm to have a chance in this match.

M. Cilic — D. Medvedev Prediction

Based on the analysis of recent form, head-to-head results, and statistical performance, Daniil Medvedev is favored to win this match against Marin Cilic. The prediction is for Medvedev to win in four sets, reflecting his current form and past performance against Cilic.

  • Final score in sets: 3:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: D. Medvedev, Set 2: M. Cilic, Set 3: D. Medvedev, Set 4: D. Medvedev
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 4
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactical expectations, Medvedev will likely focus on exploiting Cilic's weaker service games, aiming to break early in sets. Cilic, on the other hand, will need to serve effectively and capitalize on any opportunities to break Medvedev's serve, especially in the second set where he has a chance to gain momentum.

3 Reasons Why D. Medvedev Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors D. Medvedev 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors D. Medvedev.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, D. Medvedev has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Cilic, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
29.06.2026 15:30 ATP Wimbledon
M. Cilic
D. Medvedev
1 3
0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1
810
54
35