Marin Cilic, a seasoned competitor on grass, has a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56%, particularly strong on this surface. However, his current trajectory has been declining, reflected in a challenging recent stretch where he has struggled to find his footing and execute his game effectively.
Cilic's recent matches tell a stark story; he has lost his last three encounters, including a recent defeat to Daniil Medvedev in Hertogenbosch, where he won just one set across those matches. With a lack of wins and a surface that typically suits his game, Cilic faces considerable pressure to turn things around against Medvedev, who has had his number recently.
Match results: M. Cilic
16 Jun 2026ATP London
U. Humbert
M. Cilic
20
75
63
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
M. Cilic
21
62
36
61
L
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
N. Borges
M. Cilic
12
63
36
W
8 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
M. Cilic
D. Shapovalov
20
64
75
W
26 May 2026ATP French Open
M. Cilic
M. Kouame
02
26
16
L
9 May 2026ATP Rome
M. Cilic
M. Landaluce
02
46
46
L
9 May 2026ATP Rome
M. Cilic
V. Vacherot
00
L
7 May 2026ATP Rome
M. Giron
M. Cilic
02
57
46
W
24 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
J. Fonseca
M. Cilic
10
L
22 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
Z. Bergs
M. Cilic
12
64
36
46
W
D. Medvedev
Player Overview
Daniil Medvedev is known for his strategic play and strong baseline game, boasting an Elo rating that positions him firmly among the elite. His performance on grass has been a work in progress, showing a stable form over the last two years, although recent results indicate a slight dip in competitiveness as he seeks to regain his rhythm.
Match results: D. Medvedev
19 Jun 2026ATP Halle
D. Altmaier
D. Medvedev
20
64
64
L
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
T. Atmane
D. Medvedev
02
46
46
W
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
T. M. Etcheverry
D. Medvedev
02
36
46
W
13 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
K. Majchrzak
D. Medvedev
10
61
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
M. Cilic
21
62
36
61
W
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
D. Medvedev
T. Boogaard
21
63
46
W
26 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Walton
D. Medvedev
32
62
16
61
16
64
L
16 May 2026ATP Rome
J. Sinner
D. Medvedev
21
62
57
64
L
14 May 2026ATP Rome
M. Landaluce
D. Medvedev
12
61
46
57
W
12 May 2026ATP Rome
T. A. Tirante
D. Medvedev
02
36
26
W
Players Analysis
Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev are set to face off in the first round of the ATP Wimbledon. Cilic has had a mixed bag of results recently, with his last ten matches yielding only 3 wins against 7 losses. His recent form shows a struggle to maintain consistency, particularly highlighted by a loss to Ugo Humbert and a disappointing performance at the French Open. On the other hand, Daniil Medvedev has shown better form, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over Cilic in their last encounter at the ATP Hertogenbosch.
The head-to-head record between the two players favors Medvedev, who has won 2 out of their 3 encounters. Cilic's only victory came at the French Open in 2022, where he won decisively. However, Medvedev's recent win in June 2026 suggests he has the upper hand heading into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of performance metrics, Cilic has struggled with his service game, averaging fewer aces and higher double faults compared to Medvedev. Cilic's recent matches have seen him concede more break points, which could be a critical factor on the grass surface of Wimbledon. Medvedev, conversely, has been more effective in converting break points and maintaining a higher first serve percentage. The surface at Wimbledon traditionally favors players with strong serve-and-volley games, which aligns with Medvedev's playing style.
Considering their recent performances, Medvedev's ability to handle pressure in crucial moments, particularly in their last match where he won in straight sets, gives him a significant advantage. Cilic will need to find a way to disrupt Medvedev's rhythm to have a chance in this match.
M. Cilic — D. Medvedev Prediction
Based on the analysis of recent form, head-to-head results, and statistical performance, Daniil Medvedev is favored to win this match against Marin Cilic. The prediction is for Medvedev to win in four sets, reflecting his current form and past performance against Cilic.
Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: D. Medvedev, Set 2: M. Cilic, Set 3: D. Medvedev, Set 4: D. Medvedev
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 4
Break points: 5
In terms of tactical expectations, Medvedev will likely focus on exploiting Cilic's weaker service games, aiming to break early in sets. Cilic, on the other hand, will need to serve effectively and capitalize on any opportunities to break Medvedev's serve, especially in the second set where he has a chance to gain momentum.
3 Reasons Why D. Medvedev Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors D. Medvedev 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors D. Medvedev.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, D. Medvedev has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Cilic, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
29.06.2026 15:30ATP Wimbledon
M. Cilic
D. Medvedev
13
01001011
810
54
35
Where to watch M. Cilic vs D. Medvedev
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match schedules and broadcast details.
ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events, including Wimbledon. Check for broadcast times.
Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live coverage and updates for major tennis tournaments.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates for Wimbledon and other tennis events.