R. Jodar's career has seen him develop into a formidable competitor, particularly on grass courts where he has demonstrated a career baseline nearing 56%. His current trajectory reflects a rising trend, suggesting he is finding his footing at just the right time. With a solid serve and capable return game, he has shown the potential to challenge even the most seasoned players.
Jodar's path to this match has been marked by a significant victory against Pablo Carreno-Busta at the French Open, where he edged out his opponent 3-2. Although his recent matches have produced a mixed bag, he remains dangerous, especially after a strong showing in his last match against F. Gill. As he steps onto the court, Jodar's recent performance indicates he could pose a serious threat to Carreno-Busta once again.
Match results: R. Jodar
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
F. Gill
30
63
63
75
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
I. Buse
R. Jodar
00
L
2 Jun 2026ATP French Open
R. Jodar
A. Zverev
02
16
36
L
31 May 2026ATP French Open
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
32
46
46
61
62
62
W
29 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Michelsen
R. Jodar
12
64
36
36
W
27 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Duckworth
R. Jodar
03
16
46
57
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Kovacevic
R. Jodar
03
16
06
46
W
13 May 2026ATP Rome
R. Jodar
L. Darderi
12
75
06
L
12 May 2026ATP Rome
R. Jodar
L. Tien
20
61
64
W
10 May 2026ATP Rome
M. Arnaldi
R. Jodar
12
16
64
36
W
P. Carreno-Busta
Player Overview
Across the last 5 matches, P. Carreno-Busta posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.
For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: P. Carreno-Busta wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.
Match results: P. Carreno-Busta
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
D. Shapovalov
P. Carreno-Busta
01
36
W
31 May 2026ATP French Open
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
32
46
46
61
62
62
L
29 May 2026ATP French Open
T. A. Tirante
P. Carreno-Busta
12
57
63
46
W
27 May 2026ATP French Open
T. Kokkinakis
P. Carreno-Busta
12
57
64
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Lehecka
20
63
63
W
15 May 2026Valencia
P. Carreno-Busta
J. Munar
01
L
14 May 2026Valencia
S. Baez
P. Carreno-Busta
12
75
57
57
W
12 May 2026Valencia
P. Carreno-Busta
F. Comesana
20
64
63
W
6 May 2026ATP Rome
P. Carreno-Busta
A. Tabilo
02
26
16
L
5 May 2026ATP Rome
P. Carreno-Busta
S. Wawrinka
10
W
Players Analysis
R. Jodar has shown a strong performance recently, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a notable victory against P. Carreno-Busta in their last encounter at the ATP French Open, where he won 3 sets to 2. His ability to bounce back after losing the first two sets in that match demonstrates resilience and adaptability. On the other hand, P. Carreno-Busta has had a mixed bag of results, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches but struggling against top-tier opponents, which may impact his confidence going into this match.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous match, R. Jodar won 3 sets to 2 against P. Carreno-Busta, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. Jodar's recent form indicates he has been scoring an average of 2.0 sets per match, while Carreno-Busta has averaged 1.4 sets per match in his last 10 outings. Jodar's performance on grass courts has been solid, and he has shown a higher winning percentage compared to Carreno-Busta, who has struggled on this surface. This match will be crucial as it is a best-of-5 format, and Jodar's recent success against Carreno-Busta could give him the psychological edge.
R. Jodar — P. Carreno-Busta Prediction
Given R. Jodar's recent form and head-to-head success against P. Carreno-Busta, he is favored to win this match. The prediction is for R. Jodar to win in a close contest, likely taking the first two sets before Carreno-Busta fights back in the third. However, Jodar's experience and recent performance should see him through to victory in the fourth set.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: R. Jodar, 2nd set: R. Jodar, 3rd set: P. Carreno-Busta, 4th set: R. Jodar
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6
In terms of tactics, R. Jodar is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his serve to gain early advantages in games. P. Carreno-Busta may attempt to counter with his defensive skills, but if Jodar maintains his composure and capitalizes on break points, he should secure the win.
3 Reasons Why R. Jodar Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors R. Jodar 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors R. Jodar.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, R. Jodar has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than P. Carreno-Busta, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
01.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
31
11010010
108
56
64
Where to watch R. Jodar vs P. Carreno-Busta
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