Lorenzo Sonego has faced considerable challenges recently, reflected in his current form, which has dipped below his career baseline on hard surfaces. With a career baseline win percentage around 56%, he is currently trending in a declining direction. Sonego's serve, once a reliable weapon, has faltered, leading to difficulties in securing victories against competitive opponents.
His recent matches paint a bleak picture, as Sonego has lost four of his last five encounters, including a recent defeat to Miomir Kecmanovic at ATP Mallorca. With no wins in his last ten matches, there are serious questions about his readiness for Wimbledon. This opening match will be crucial; a loss could plunge him further into a rut, while a win might provide a much-needed boost.
Match results: L. Sonego
23 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
L. Sonego
M. Kecmanovic
12
62
46
L
21 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
M. Navone
L. Sonego
12
62
46
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
B. Shelton
L. Sonego
20
75
63
L
14 Jun 2026ATP Halle
L. Sonego
N. Basilashvili
02
46
46
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Halle
L. Sonego
F. C. Jianu
20
75
63
W
6 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
L. Sonego
M. Alkaya
00
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
L. Sonego
T. Paul
03
36
26
46
L
24 May 2026ATP French Open
L. Sonego
P. Herbert
32
57
62
16
64
W
18 May 2026ATP Geneva
L. Sonego
E. Butvilas
02
36
16
L
7 May 2026ATP Rome
L. Sonego
I. Buse
02
36
36
L
T. M. Etcheverry
Player Overview
Tomás Martín Etcheverry's trajectory has been rocky, with a career baseline win percentage around 45% and a current form that reflects a downward trend. On hard courts, he has struggled, and his recent performances have not helped his Elo rating, which places him in a lower tier among competitors. His serve has been inconsistent, often leading to missed opportunities in matches.
Etcheverry arrives at Wimbledon after a mixed bag of results, including a loss to Daniil Medvedev and a recent win against Federico Cobolli in an exhibition match. Despite having lost four of his last five matches, he showed some signs of improvement in the exhibition. As he steps onto the Wimbledon grass, the pressure will be on; this match could either ignite a turnaround or further complicate his season.
Match results: T. M. Etcheverry
27 Jun 2026Exhibition Hurlingham
F. Cobolli
T. M. Etcheverry
12
46
64
1012
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
G. Diallo
T. M. Etcheverry
20
63
62
L
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
T. M. Etcheverry
D. Medvedev
02
36
46
L
24 May 2026ATP French Open
T. M. Etcheverry
N. Borges
03
36
46
26
L
20 May 2026ATP Hamburg
T. Paul
T. M. Etcheverry
21
L
18 May 2026ATP Hamburg
T. Atmane
T. M. Etcheverry
01
26
W
9 May 2026ATP Rome
T. M. Etcheverry
M. Bellucci
12
75
26
36
L
28 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
T. M. Etcheverry
A. Fils
02
36
46
L
26 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
D. Prizmic
T. M. Etcheverry
12
62
46
36
W
24 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
S. Ofner
T. M. Etcheverry
02
46
46
W
Players Analysis
Lorenzo Sonego has struggled recently, winning only 3 of his last 10 matches, with a notable loss to B. Shelton and N. Basilashvili. His recent form shows inconsistency, particularly on grass, where he has not performed well. On the other hand, Tomás Martín Etcheverry has also faced challenges, winning 4 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against F. Cobolli. Both players have shown vulnerability, but Etcheverry's recent performance suggests a slight edge.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their last 10 matches, Sonego has a games won average of 0.9 per match, while Etcheverry has a slightly better average of 0.9 as well. However, Sonego has been more prone to double faults, which could be a critical factor on grass. The lack of head-to-head matches between the two players means that their previous encounters will not influence the outcome. The surface at Wimbledon may favor Etcheverry slightly, given his recent form.
L. Sonego — T. M. Etcheverry Prediction
This match is expected to be competitive, with Tomás Martín Etcheverry having a marginal advantage based on recent form and surface performance. Sonego's inconsistency could play a significant role in the match outcome.
Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: T. M. Etcheverry, 2nd set: L. Sonego, 3rd set: T. M. Etcheverry, 4th set: T. M. Etcheverry
Expected aces: 8
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6
Expect Etcheverry to utilize his serve effectively, aiming for aces and minimizing double faults. Sonego will need to focus on his return game to capitalize on any break opportunities. The match could hinge on the players' ability to handle pressure during crucial points.
3 Reasons Why T. M. Etcheverry Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors T. M. Etcheverry 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors T. M. Etcheverry.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, T. M. Etcheverry has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than L. Sonego, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
30.06.2026 15:30ATP Wimbledon
L. Sonego
T. M. Etcheverry
13
01001011
810
53
64
Where to watch L. Sonego vs T. M. Etcheverry
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of ATP matches.
Tennis Channel - Find out when and where to watch ATP matches on Tennis Channel.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates for tennis events, including Wimbledon.
Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website for match schedules, live updates, and broadcast information.
