29.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction C. Moutet vs M. Giron — 30.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 35

C. Moutet - M. Giron

ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals

June 30, 2026 • 15:30

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 77

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1

H2H W-L 0-0-1

Avg sets per match 3.00

Last 5 W-L 0-1

Last 3 W-L 0-1

Current streak L1

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 3.00

Sets range 3-3

3-set matches 1 (99%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/1

0% 0 Wins

0% 0 Draws

100% 1 Wins

Last 1 match

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

15 Mar 2026

C. Moutet - M. Giron

1:2 (6-4, 3-6, 4-6)

Phoenix

—

C. Moutet

Player Overview

Corentin Moutet's career has seen him hover around a 56% baseline on hard courts, but he has struggled recently, trending downward with mixed results. His Elo rating reflects a player who has faced challenges, especially with his serve, which lacks the punch needed on grass. Moutet's current trajectory over the last two years suggests a time of stagnation, as he has yet to find his rhythm on this surface.

His recent matches have been a struggle; Moutet has not secured a win in his last five outings, including two defeats in ATP Mallorca and a loss to A. Davidovich Fokina in London. Each match has revealed vulnerabilities, particularly in closing out sets, with no sets won in his last ten matches. Entering Wimbledon, Moutet will need to quickly adapt to the grass if he hopes to reverse his fortunes against Marcos Giron.

Match results: C. Moutet

22 Jun 2026 Mallorca

C. Moutet

Z. Svajda

0 0

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

C. Moutet

A. Shelbayh

0 2

5 7

4 6

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

C. Moutet

M. Fucsovics

0 0

18 Jun 2026 ATP London

C. Moutet

A. Davidovich Fokina

0 2

4 6

3 6

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

G. Mpetshi Perricard

C. Moutet

0 1

4 6

9 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

N. Kyrgios

C. Moutet

2 0

6 3

6 4

26 May 2026 ATP French Open

V. Kopriva

C. Moutet

3 2

6 3

5 7

6 4

3 6

6 3

18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

A. Davidovich Fokina

C. Moutet

2 0

6 4

9 May 2026 ATP Rome

C. Moutet

P. Llamas Ruiz

1 2

4 6

6 3

25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid

D. Merida Aguilar

C. Moutet

2 0

6 3

6 4

M. Giron

Player Overview

Marcos Giron has established himself as a mid-tier competitor with a career baseline hovering around 54% on hard courts, but he has struggled to capitalize on this at Wimbledon. His recent performances indicate a declining trend, highlighted by a series of inconsistent results that include two consecutive losses at ATP Eastbourne. Giron's serve has not been effective enough, which has hindered his ability to dictate play.

Recent matches have seen Giron lose to J. Draper and J. Choinski, both in straight sets, showcasing a lack of competitive edge. Although he managed a win against C. Broom, the overall picture shows a player searching for form. Heading into his match against Moutet, Giron needs to find a way to convert his baseline game into more offensive opportunities to avoid another early exit.

Match results: M. Giron

22 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

J. Draper

0 1

4 6

21 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

J. Choinski

0 1

5 7

20 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

C. Broom

2 1

3 6

6 2

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

M. Giron

2 1

3 6

7 5

14 Jun 2026 ATP London

R. Hijikata

M. Giron

2 0

7 5

6 1

13 Jun 2026 ATP London

D. Evans

M. Giron

1 2

5 7

6 2

1 6

12 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

B. Shelton

M. Giron

1 0

6 4

9 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

R. Bautista-Agut

M. Giron

0 1

5 7

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

Y. Wu

M. Giron

3 0

7 5

6 2

6 4

18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

M. Giron

B. Shelton

1 2

3 6

6 4

Players Analysis

C. Moutet has struggled in recent matches, losing 8 out of his last 10, including a recent defeat to M. Giron in March 2026. M. Giron, on the other hand, has shown better form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a victory against C. Moutet. This match will be crucial for both players as they look to advance in the ATP Wimbledon.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their previous encounter, M. Giron defeated C. Moutet in three sets, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. M. Giron has a higher winning percentage in their head-to-head matchups, winning 100% of their encounters. C. Moutet's recent performance indicates a lack of consistency, which may affect his confidence going into this match. The surface at Wimbledon could also favor Giron, who has performed better on grass courts compared to Moutet.

C. Moutet — M. Giron Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head results, M. Giron is favored to win this match against C. Moutet. The prediction is for M. Giron to win in four sets, with a likely score of 3:1. M. Giron’s ability to capitalize on break points and his superior serving stats will be key factors in this matchup.

Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: M. Giron, 2nd set: C. Moutet, 3rd set: M. Giron, 4th set: M. Giron
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 5
Break points: 7

M. Giron is expected to utilize his strong serve effectively, aiming for a high number of aces while minimizing double faults. C. Moutet will need to focus on his return game to create break point opportunities, but Giron's recent performance suggests he will be difficult to break.

3 Reasons Why M. Giron Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Giron 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Giron.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Giron has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than C. Moutet, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

30.06.2026 15:30 ATP Wimbledon

C. Moutet

M. Giron

1 3

0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1

810