30.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction J. Brooksby vs I. Buse — 01.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 63

J. Brooksby - I. Buse

ATP Wimbledon 1/32-finals

July 1, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 62

J. Brooksby

Player Overview

J. Brooksby enters this match with a career baseline win percentage near 56% on hard courts, yet his current trajectory over the past two years shows a decline, impacting his confidence as he approaches this key fixture. The American is known for his tactical serve and adept return game, but his struggles on grass have been evident, making this contest crucial for establishing his footing.

After suffering a loss to Ugo Humbert at the ATP Eastbourne, Brooksby rebounded with a solid win against Aleksandar Vukic, showcasing potential but not consistent form. His recent matches indicate volatility, with two wins against three losses in June. This trend raises questions about his ability to maintain momentum against a determined opponent like I. Buse, who has found success recently.

Match results: J. Brooksby

29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

A. Vukic

J. Brooksby

0 2

1 6

24 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

U. Humbert

J. Brooksby

2 0

6 3

6 2

23 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

J. Brooksby

A. Vukic

2 0

7 5

6 1

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

J. Brooksby

F. Cerundolo

0 2

0 6

4 6

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

J. Brooksby

M. Damm

2 1

6 4

3 6

6 3

9 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

Z. Zhang

J. Brooksby

2 1

5 7

6 1

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

M. Navone

J. Brooksby

3 0

6 4

19 May 2026 ATP Geneva

J. Brooksby

C. Ruud

0 2

3 6

5 7

12 May 2026 Bordeaux

J. Brooksby

A. Molcan

0 2

2 6

5 7

6 May 2026 ATP Rome

J. Brooksby

S. Baez

0 1

3 6

I. Buse

Player Overview

I. Buse, holding a career baseline win percentage of approximately 54% on hard courts, is currently on a rising trajectory. His performance reflects a solid grasp of his game, particularly on grass, where he has shown adaptability and a competitive edge. With an Elo rating placing him in a favorable tier, Buse is poised to challenge higher-ranked opponents effectively.

In his last outing, Buse defeated Emilio Nava at Wimbledon, marking a significant victory after a mixed bag of results in Mallorca and London. His recent win-loss pattern features three victories against two defeats, highlighting his potential to capitalize on any lapses from Brooksby. As he faces Brooksby, Buse will aim to leverage his recent success and push for an upset in this first-round encounter.

Match results: I. Buse

29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

E. Nava

I. Buse

1 2

6 3

5 7

0 6

24 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

V. Kopriva

I. Buse

2 0

7 5

6 1

23 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

S. Tsitsipas

I. Buse

0 1

3 6

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

B. Nakashima

I. Buse

2 0

6 2

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

M. Giron

2 1

3 6

7 5

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

R. Jodar

0 0

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

I. Buse

A. Rublev

0 3

3 6

5 7

23 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

I. Buse

T. Paul

2 1

4 6

6 3

22 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

A. Kovacevic

I. Buse

0 2

1 6

4 6

21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

I. Buse

U. Humbert

2 1

6 3

5 7

6 3

Players Analysis

J. Brooksby has struggled recently, with only 2 wins in his last 10 matches, indicating a challenging form. His recent performances include a series of losses, notably against players like A. Vukic and U. Humbert. In contrast, I. Buse has shown a better form with 6 wins in his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over E. Nava. Buse's ability to secure wins against higher-ranked opponents suggests a more consistent performance leading into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

J. Brooksby has averaged 0.7 sets won per match in his last 10 outings, while I. Buse has averaged 1.3 sets won per match. This trend indicates that Buse is more likely to secure sets in their upcoming match. Additionally, Brooksby's recent matches have seen him concede more games than he wins, with a goals against average of 1.5, compared to Buse's 1.1. This suggests that Buse has a stronger defensive game, which could be crucial on the grass surface at Wimbledon.

J. Brooksby — I. Buse Prediction

Considering the recent forms and head-to-head context, I. Buse is favored to win this match against J. Brooksby. Buse's recent success and higher average sets won per match position him as the likely victor. The match is expected to be competitive, but Buse's form gives him the edge.

Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: I. Buse, 2nd set: J. Brooksby, 3rd set: I. Buse, 4th set: I. Buse
Expected aces: 8
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, I. Buse is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain early advantages in games. Brooksby may need to adjust his strategy to counter Buse's serve and maintain consistency to avoid giving away easy points.

3 Reasons Why I. Buse Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors I. Buse 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors I. Buse.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, I. Buse has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Brooksby, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

01.07.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon

J. Brooksby

I. Buse

1 3

0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1