Paula Badosa has struggled to find her footing on the court lately, with a career baseline hovering around 56% on hard courts, reflecting her potential but also her inconsistency. Currently, she is trending downward, having not secured a victory in her last five outings. With a current 2-year trajectory that shows a dip in performance, Badosa will need to tap into her competitive spirit to reclaim her place among the top players.
Her recent matches have not yielded success, with a notable loss to Anhelina Kalinina just days ago in a closely contested draw. Badosa's last five matches show no wins, which raises concerns ahead of this rematch. The pressure mounts as she aims to break this losing streak, and her ability to adapt to Kalinina’s game will be crucial if she hopes to turn the tide.
Match results: P. Badosa
14 Jul 2026WTA Iasi
P. Badosa
A. Kalinina
00
L
11 Jul 2026Bastad
S. Waltert
P. Badosa
02
57
57
W
10 Jul 2026Bastad
Y. Putintseva
P. Badosa
02
16
26
W
9 Jul 2026Bastad
P. Badosa
V. Lepchenko
10
75
W
8 Jul 2026Bastad
E. Arango
P. Badosa
02
36
26
W
6 Jul 2026Bastad
M. Bassols
P. Badosa
02
36
26
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
E. Navarro
P. Badosa
21
46
63
75
L
20 Jun 2026WTA Bad Homburg
P. Badosa
S. Kraus
00
L
19 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
L. Noskova
P. Badosa
20
61
63
L
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
P. Badosa
C. Gauff
21
16
63
62
W
A. Kalinina
Player Overview
Anhelina Kalinina has been on a steady trajectory, although her recent results tell a mixed story. With a career baseline win percentage around 50% on hard courts, she has shown flashes of promise but is currently in a downward trend. Her Elo rating reflects a player in need of resurgence, especially after recent losses, indicating that she will need to find her top form quickly.
Kalinina’s last five matches include a tough loss at Wimbledon and a win against Daria Snigur in Eastbourne, but the inconsistency has been evident. Facing Badosa again after their recent draw could either be a chance for redemption or a reminder of her recent struggles. She must capitalize on her previous encounter to build momentum and avoid further setbacks.
Match results: A. Kalinina
14 Jul 2026WTA Iasi
P. Badosa
A. Kalinina
00
L
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Kalinina
K. Rakhimova
12
64
46
57
L
24 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
A. Kalinina
20
64
63
L
22 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
D. Snigur
A. Kalinina
01
57
W
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
D. Parry
A. Kalinina
20
64
75
L
15 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
L. Sun
A. Kalinina
02
46
36
W
26 May 2026WTA French Open
A. Kalinina
D. Parry
12
60
26
46
L
23 May 2026WTA Rabat
A. Kalinina
P. Marcinko
02
26
L
22 May 2026WTA Rabat
P. Udvardy
A. Kalinina
02
06
36
W
21 May 2026WTA Rabat
A. Kalinina
A. Bondar
20
64
75
W
Players Analysis
P. Badosa has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory in the Challenger Women Singles in Bastad. Her performance has been characterized by solid serving and effective baseline play. In contrast, A. Kalinina has struggled, winning only 4 of her last 10 matches, with notable losses in the WTA Wimbledon and WTA Eastbourne tournaments. This disparity in recent form suggests a significant advantage for Badosa.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of overall performance, P. Badosa has a higher average of games won per match in her recent outings, averaging 1.4 sets won per match compared to A. Kalinina's 1.2. Badosa's ability to break her opponents' serves has been impressive, while Kalinina has faced challenges in maintaining her serve under pressure. The absence of head-to-head matches between these players means we rely heavily on their recent forms and surface performance, where Badosa has demonstrated superior results on hard courts.
P. Badosa — A. Kalinina Prediction
Given the current form and statistics, P. Badosa is favored to win this match. The predicted outcome is a 2:0 victory for Badosa, reflecting her recent dominance and Kalinina's struggles. Badosa is expected to take both sets decisively, leveraging her strong serve and aggressive play.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - P. Badosa, Set 2 - P. Badosa
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
In terms of tactical expectations, Badosa will likely focus on aggressive baseline rallies to exploit Kalinina's weaker return game. She may also employ a mix of deep shots and drop shots to disrupt Kalinina's rhythm, aiming to secure early breaks in both sets.
3 Reasons Why P. Badosa Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors P. Badosa 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors P. Badosa.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, P. Badosa has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Kalinina, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
14.07.2026 17:00WTA Iasi
P. Badosa
A. Kalinina
20
1100
52
23
41
Where to watch P. Badosa vs A. Kalinina
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