14.07.2026
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Prediction M. Trungelliti vs A. Davidovich Fokina — 15.07.2026

M. Trungelliti flag
ATP - 78
M. Trungelliti - A. Davidovich Fokina
ATP Umag 1/8-finals
July 15, 2026 10:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
A. Davidovich Fokina flag
ATP - 14

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1
H2H W-L 1-0-0
Avg sets per match 4.00
Last 5 W-L 1-0
Last 3 W-L 1-0
Current streak W1
Sets balance +2
Avg sets (last 5) 4.00
Sets range 4-4
3-set matches 1 (99%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/0
100% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
0% 0 Wins
Last 1 match
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
30 Aug 2021
M. Trungelliti - A. Davidovich Fokina
3:1 (5-7, 6-3, 7-5, 6-4)
US Open
M. Trungelliti

Player Overview

M. Trungelliti has struggled to find his footing on the ATP tour, reflected in his career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. Currently, he is on a declining trajectory, which is evident from his recent performances. With a less than stellar record, he has faced tough competition and has not found the consistency needed to make an impact in matches.

In his last five outings, Trungelliti has yet to secure a victory, suffering defeats against players like K. Jacquet and M. Damm. His recent form shows a lack of sets won, emphasizing his struggles. As he approaches the match against A. Davidovich Fokina, he must address his performance issues or risk another disappointing result.

Match results: M. Trungelliti

13 Jul 2026 ATP Umag
K. Jacquet
M. Trungelliti
0 2
2 6
3 6
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
M. Trungelliti
M. Damm
1 3
L
22 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
J. Pinnington Jones
M. Trungelliti
2 1
5 7
6 3
7 5
L
21 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
G. Hussey
M. Trungelliti
2 0
6 4
7 5
L
20 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne
F. Gill
M. Trungelliti
0 1
3 6
W
11 Jun 2026 Lyon
M. Trungelliti
D. E. Galan
0 2
3 6
5 7
L
9 Jun 2026 Lyon
M. Trungelliti
P. Kotov
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
5 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
D. Dedura
0 2
2 6
3 6
L
4 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
Y. H. Hsu
2 1
3 6
6 1
6 1
W
2 Jun 2026 Heilbronn
M. Trungelliti
A. Shelbayh
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
A. Davidovich Fokina

Player Overview

A. Davidovich Fokina, with a career baseline win percentage near 59% on hard surfaces, arrives at ATP Umag in a stable condition. His recent matches have highlighted a strong ability to secure victories, particularly in the grass season, where he won three consecutive matches at Wimbledon before falling to F. Auger-Aliassime. This performance suggests he is comfortable on the court and ready to compete at a high level.

Davidovich Fokina's recent record shows a mix of solid wins and a single loss, indicating he is finding his rhythm. His impressive showing against players like M. Fucsovics and J. M. Cerundolo sets a positive tone for his upcoming match against Trungelliti. If he maintains this level, he is poised to capitalize on his opponent's current struggles.

Match results: A. Davidovich Fokina

5 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Davidovich Fokina
2 0
6 3
6 1
L
3 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
M. Fucsovics
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
1 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
F. Marozsan
3 0
6 3
6 0
6 3
W
29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon
A. Davidovich Fokina
J. M. Cerundolo
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
27 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
E. Quinn
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 1
3 6
W
26 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
F. Marozsan
A. Davidovich Fokina
1 2
7 5
2 6
4 6
W
25 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
G. Dimitrov
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 2
3 6
3 6
W
24 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca
A. Walton
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 2
4 6
5 7
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
T. Paul
A. Davidovich Fokina
1 0
6 3
L
18 Jun 2026 ATP London
C. Moutet
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 2
4 6
3 6
W

Players Analysis

M. Trungelliti has struggled recently, with only 2 wins in his last 10 matches, including a recent loss to K. Jacquet where he won 2 sets to 0. His performance has been inconsistent, particularly in ATP events, where he has faced tough competition. In contrast, A. Davidovich Fokina has shown a much stronger form, winning 8 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against F. Auger-Aliassime. His ability to win consistently, especially in high-stakes matches, gives him a significant edge in this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their previous encounter at the US Open in 2021, M. Trungelliti defeated A. Davidovich Fokina in four sets, showcasing his capability to perform under pressure. However, recent form indicates a stark contrast, with Davidovich Fokina averaging 1.6 games won per match compared to Trungelliti's 1.1. A. Davidovich Fokina's recent matches have also featured a higher number of aces and a lower number of double faults, indicating better serve reliability. This match will be played on clay, a surface where Davidovich Fokina has historically performed better.

M. Trungelliti — A. Davidovich Fokina Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head history, A. Davidovich Fokina is favored to win this match. His superior performance in recent tournaments and consistent winning record suggest he will likely take the match in straight sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - A. Davidovich Fokina, Set 2 - A. Davidovich Fokina
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

A. Davidovich Fokina is expected to dominate the match with his aggressive baseline play and effective serving. He will likely capitalize on M. Trungelliti's weaknesses, particularly his inconsistent serve and recent struggles in crucial moments. Expect Davidovich Fokina to apply pressure early in the match, aiming to secure an early break in both sets.

3 Reasons Why A. Davidovich Fokina Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Davidovich Fokina 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Davidovich Fokina.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Davidovich Fokina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Trungelliti, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
15.07.2026 10:00 ATP Umag
M. Trungelliti
A. Davidovich Fokina
0 2
0 0 1 1
35
21
14