02.07.2026
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Prediction J. Paolini vs M. Sakkari — 03.07.2026

J. Paolini flag
ATP - 8
J. Paolini - M. Sakkari
Wimbledon
July 3, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
M. Sakkari flag
ATP - 47

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 4
H2H W-L 2-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.00
Last 5 W-L 2-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak L1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.00
Sets range 2-2
3-set matches 0 (0%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 2/0 • 2/0
50% 2 Wins
0% 0 Draws
50% 2 Wins
Last 4 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
10 Feb 2026
M. Sakkari - J. Paolini
2:0 (6-4, 6-2)
WTA Doha
10 Aug 2025
J. Paolini - M. Sakkari
2:0
Cincinnati
27 Apr 2025
M. Sakkari - J. Paolini
2:0 (6-2, 6-1)
Madrid
21 Feb 2024
M. Sakkari - J. Paolini
0:2 (4-6, 2-6)
WTA Dubai
J. Paolini

Player Overview

J. Paolini, with a career baseline win percentage around 56% on hard surfaces, has struggled recently, showcasing a declining trend in form. Her Elo rating suggests she is navigating a challenging phase, particularly on grass, where she has historically not excelled. The current two-year trajectory indicates she is not performing at her best.

Paolini's recent performances reflect this downward spiral. A win over V. Golubic was followed by a narrow victory against R. Montgomery, but losses to T. Maria and S. Sierra highlight her vulnerability. With a record of only two wins in her last five outings, this match against Maria Sakkari presents a significant test for her ability to compete at this level.

Match results: J. Paolini

2 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
V. Golubic
1 0
6 4
W
30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Paolini
R. Montgomery
2 1
0 6
6 4
7 5
W
23 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
J. Paolini
T. Maria
0 2
4 6
3 6
L
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
J. Paolini
S. Sierra
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
J. Paolini
D. Yastremska
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
9 May 2026 WTA Rome
J. Paolini
E. Mertens
1 2
6 4
3 6
L
7 May 2026 WTA Rome
J. Paolini
L. Jeanjean
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
25 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
H. Baptiste
J. Paolini
2 0
7 5
6 3
L
23 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
L. Siegemund
J. Paolini
1 2
6 3
2 6
4 6
W
15 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
Z. Sonmez
J. Paolini
2 0
6 2
6 2
L
M. Sakkari

Player Overview

Maria Sakkari, holding a career baseline win percentage of around 62% on grass, enters this match with a rising form trend. Her recent Elo rating reflects a more favorable position, suggesting she has found her stride as the tournament progresses. The current two-year performance shows she has been competitive across surfaces, maintaining a solid identity as a powerful baseliner.

Sakkari’s recent matches illustrate her determination, with victories against C. Tauson and K. Rakhimova, offset by earlier setbacks against Q. Zheng and T. Maria. This mix of results indicates she can be challenged but is capable of stringing together wins. Against Paolini, Sakkari’s form suggests she will be a formidable opponent, looking to capitalize on her opponent's recent struggles.

Match results: M. Sakkari

2 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
K. Rakhimova
M. Sakkari
1 2
3 6
6 0
W
30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
M. Sakkari
C. Tauson
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
15 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Q. Zheng
M. Sakkari
2 1
4 6
6 4
L
9 Jun 2026 WTA London
M. Sakkari
T. Maria
0 2
3 6
3 6
L
30 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Sakkari
M. Chwalinska
1 2
6 1
3 6
2 6
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
M. Sakkari
C. Liu
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
L. Noskova
M. Sakkari
0 1
5 7
W
17 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Sakkari
P. Stearns
0 2
3 6
1 6
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
M. Sakkari
E. Rybakina
0 2
4 6
1 6
L
6 May 2026 WTA Rome
L. Tagger
M. Sakkari
1 2
7 5
3 6
0 6
W

Players Analysis

J. Paolini has shown a mixed form recently, winning 4 out of her last 10 matches. Her recent victories include a solid performance against V. Golubic, where she won 1-0, and R. Montgomery, winning 2-1. However, she faced defeats against T. Maria and E. Mertens, indicating some inconsistency. On the other hand, M. Sakkari has also struggled, winning only 4 of her last 10 matches, with notable wins against C. Tauson and K. Rakhimova. However, she has lost to Q. Zheng and T. Maria, which raises questions about her current form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, M. Sakkari has a slight edge, winning 2 out of 4 matches against J. Paolini. Their most recent match was in February 2026, where Sakkari won convincingly 2-0. The previous match in August 2025 saw Paolini winning 2-0, showcasing her ability to challenge Sakkari. Both players have similar averages in terms of games won and lost in their last 10 matches, with each averaging around 1.1 games won per match. This match being on grass at Wimbledon may favor Sakkari slightly, given her experience on this surface.

J. Paolini — M. Sakkari Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head results, M. Sakkari is favored to win this match. Her previous victories against Paolini and her overall experience on grass courts give her a slight advantage. However, Paolini's recent win against Golubic shows she can be competitive. Expect a closely contested match, likely ending in two sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: M. Sakkari, Set 2: M. Sakkari
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 3

In terms of tactics, M. Sakkari will likely focus on her powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, while J. Paolini may look to extend rallies and exploit any inconsistency in Sakkari's game. The match could hinge on Sakkari's ability to maintain her serve under pressure.

3 Reasons Why M. Sakkari Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Sakkari 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Sakkari.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Sakkari has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Paolini, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
03.07.2026 12:00 Wimbledon
J. Paolini
M. Sakkari
0 2
0 0 1 1
34
21
23