Hubert Hurkacz, known for his powerful serve and solid baseline game, has recently struggled on the court, reflected in his career baseline near 56% on hard surfaces. Currently, he is on a declining trajectory, having lost two out of his last three competitive matches. The 2026 season has not treated him kindly, as he has not yet secured a win in his last five matches, indicating a troubling trend as he heads into this contest.
Hurkacz’s recent performance includes a convincing victory against Sebastian Ofner at Wimbledon, but he also suffered a setback against Daniel Altmaier in Halle. With a recent exhibition loss to Jiri Lehecka, questions loom about his form. The upcoming match against Tommy Paul will test whether Hurkacz can regain his footing on the grass courts of Wimbledon.
Match results: H. Hurkacz
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Hurkacz
S. Ofner
30
76
64
64
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
C. Ruud
H. Hurkacz
03
46
26
67
W
25 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
J. Mensik
H. Hurkacz
21
76
06
119
L
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
H. Hurkacz
S. Baez
20
75
61
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
H. Hurkacz
D. Altmaier
12
63
36
57
L
16 Jun 2026ATP Halle
A. Rublev
H. Hurkacz
02
36
26
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
H. Hurkacz
M. Fucsovics
10
63
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
H. Hurkacz
F. Tiafoe
02
46
46
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Munar
H. Hurkacz
13
36
36
62
36
W
6 May 2026ATP Rome
H. Hurkacz
Y. Hanfmann
01
26
L
T. Paul
Player Overview
Tommy Paul has carved out a reputation as a resilient competitor with a career baseline win percentage that suggests he can hold his own, particularly in fast conditions. His current trajectory is stable, having recently shown flashes of his potential, especially on grass, where he has a growing record against top players. His Elo rating reflects a player on the rise, capable of challenging higher-ranked opponents.
Paul arrives at this match with two consecutive wins at Wimbledon, including a decisive victory over S. Kwon. However, his recent loss to Novak Djokovic in an exhibition raises concerns about his ability to compete against elite talent consistently. As he faces Hurkacz, Paul must leverage his recent momentum while addressing the inconsistencies that have plagued him in tight matches.
Match results: T. Paul
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
S. Kwon
T. Paul
03
36
67
26
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
A. Muller
T. Paul
03
16
26
16
W
26 Jun 2026Exhibition Hurlingham
T. Paul
N. Djokovic
12
36
76
57
L
24 Jun 2026Exhibition Boodles Challenge
A. Fils
T. Paul
01
16
W
21 Jun 2026ATP London
F. Cerundolo
T. Paul
20
64
63
L
20 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
U. Humbert
20
63
63
W
19 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
A. Davidovich Fokina
10
63
W
18 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
B. Van De Zandschulp
10
63
W
15 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
Z. Svajda
20
75
63
W
15 Jun 2026ATP London
T. Paul
J. Munar
00
L
Players Analysis
Hubert Hurkacz and Tommy Paul are set to face off in a highly anticipated match at the ATP Wimbledon. Hurkacz has shown strong performances recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a convincing victory against Sebastian Ofner in the last round. However, he has faced challenges against top-tier opponents, losing to players like Daniel Altmaier and Casper Ruud. On the other hand, Tommy Paul has been in impressive form, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over Soonwoo Kwon. Paul has demonstrated resilience and skill, particularly in high-pressure situations.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head encounters, Tommy Paul has the upper hand, winning 3 out of 4 matches against Hubert Hurkacz. Their last match was in May 2025, where Paul defeated Hurkacz in straight sets. This trend indicates a psychological advantage for Paul going into this match. Both players have been performing well on grass, but Paul's recent form and head-to-head success suggest he may have the edge. Additionally, Hurkacz's serve has been effective, but he has struggled with consistency against aggressive returners like Paul.
H. Hurkacz — T. Paul Prediction
This match is expected to be competitive, with Tommy Paul slightly favored due to his recent form and favorable head-to-head record against Hubert Hurkacz. The prediction leans towards a 3-1 set victory for Paul, with Hurkacz likely to take one set as he has the capability to challenge Paul, especially in his service games.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: T. Paul, Set 2: H. Hurkacz, Set 3: T. Paul, Set 4: T. Paul
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 5
Break points: 6
In terms of tactics, Hurkacz will need to focus on his serve and try to dictate play from the baseline. Paul, known for his aggressive return game, will likely aim to pressure Hurkacz's serve early in the match. If Hurkacz can maintain his serve and capitalize on any break point opportunities, he could extend the match and potentially take a set.
3 Reasons Why T. Paul Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors T. Paul 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors T. Paul.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, T. Paul has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than H. Hurkacz, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
03.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
H. Hurkacz
T. Paul
13
01001011
1210
54
46
Where to watch H. Hurkacz vs T. Paul
ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
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BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and live updates for Wimbledon matches.
Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel offers live streaming and broadcast information for ATP tournaments.
Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website provides match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
