Felix Auger-Aliassime has struggled to find his footing recently, with a career baseline win percentage slightly over 56% on hard courts, yet his current two-year trajectory suggests a decline. His recent performance indicates a challenging period, as he has only managed to win two out of his last five matches, including a loss to Frances Tiafoe at ATP Halle. This downward trend raises questions about his readiness for the demands of Wimbledon.
Auger-Aliassime's last two outings at Wimbledon saw him secure straight-set victories against Danilo Prizmic and Andrei Shevchenko, suggesting he can elevate his game on this prestigious stage. However, his inconsistency against tougher opponents could be a hurdle. With a lack of recent success against higher-ranked players, he will need to step up significantly to contend against his next opponent.
Match results: F. Auger-Aliassime
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
D. Prizmic
20
63
75
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Shevchenko
30
63
61
64
W
19 Jun 2026ATP Halle
F. Tiafoe
F. Auger-Aliassime
21
36
63
L
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
L. Tien
F. Auger-Aliassime
01
57
W
15 Jun 2026ATP Halle
N. Borges
F. Auger-Aliassime
12
36
63
36
W
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
K. Majchrzak
02
46
36
L
11 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Fucsovics
20
63
64
W
3 Jun 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
F. Cobolli
13
64
46
46
46
L
1 Jun 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
A. Tabilo
30
63
75
61
W
30 May 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
B. Nakashima
31
57
61
W
M. Zheng
Player Overview
M. Zheng enters this match with a promising trajectory, reflecting a solid performance over the last two years, where he has consistently pushed his Elo rating higher. His recent victories, including impressive wins over Cameron Norrie and Nicholas Mejia, showcase his ability to perform under pressure, particularly on grass, where he has developed a formidable serve-and-volley game. Zheng's current form, marked by a string of wins, positions him as a serious contender.
The last five matches have seen Zheng secure four victories, demonstrating a growing prowess on the court. His recent success is a clear indicator of his readiness as he faces Auger-Aliassime. If he maintains his level, Zheng could capitalize on Auger-Aliassime's vulnerabilities, making this encounter a critical test for both players.
Match results: M. Zheng
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
N. Mejia
M. Zheng
13
76
67
16
46
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
M. Zheng
C. Norrie
32
67
62
67
63
76
W
25 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
C. Smith
M. Zheng
13
46
64
26
36
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
L. Djere
M. Zheng
02
57
36
W
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
H. Squire
M. Zheng
01
26
W
14 Jun 2026Nottingham
S. Mochizuki
M. Zheng
01
36
W
10 Jun 2026Ilkley
M. Lajal
M. Zheng
21
46
64
L
24 May 2026ATP French Open
M. Zheng
D. Prizmic
03
16
16
36
L
21 May 2026ATP French Open
J. De Jong
M. Zheng
02
57
36
W
20 May 2026ATP French Open
M. Zheng
S. Travaglia
20
75
75
W
Players Analysis
Félix Auger-Aliassime has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a convincing 3-0 victory against D. Prizmic in the last round of Wimbledon. His performance on grass has been solid, contributing to his confidence heading into this match. In contrast, M. Zheng has also been in good form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, but faced a tougher challenge in his last match, winning 3-1 against C. Norrie. Both players have demonstrated resilience, but Auger-Aliassime's recent victories against higher-ranked opponents may give him an edge.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their recent matches, Auger-Aliassime has averaged 1.9 sets won per match, while Zheng has averaged 1.8 sets. On grass, Auger-Aliassime's serve has been particularly effective, with a higher ace count compared to Zheng. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime has a better break point conversion rate, which could be crucial in a best-of-5 format. The absence of head-to-head matches between these players means that their current form and surface performance will play a significant role in determining the outcome of this match.
Félix Auger-Aliassime — M. Zheng Prediction
Considering the recent form and performance on grass, Félix Auger-Aliassime is favored to win this match against M. Zheng. The prediction is for Auger-Aliassime to win in a competitive match, likely taking the first two sets before Zheng may respond in the third set.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - Félix Auger-Aliassime, 2nd set - Félix Auger-Aliassime, 3rd set - M. Zheng, 4th set - Félix Auger-Aliassime
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 4
Break points: 6
In terms of tactical expectations, Auger-Aliassime is likely to utilize his powerful serve to gain an early advantage in each set, aiming to secure quick points and minimize Zheng's opportunities to break serve. Zheng, on the other hand, will need to focus on returning serve effectively and capitalizing on any break points he gets to stay competitive.
3 Reasons Why F. Auger-Aliassime Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors F. Auger-Aliassime 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors F. Auger-Aliassime.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, F. Auger-Aliassime has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Zheng, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
03.07.2026 12:00ATP Wimbledon
F. Auger-Aliassime
M. Zheng
31
11010010
128
45
63
Where to watch F. Auger-Aliassime vs M. Zheng
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match details and broadcast options.
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BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides updates and live coverage of Wimbledon matches.
