02.07.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction J-L. Struff vs D. Medvedev — 03.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 83

J-L. Struff - D. Medvedev

ATP Wimbledon 1/16-finals

July 3, 2026 • 13:30

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 13

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 7

H2H W-L 2-0-5

Avg sets per match 2.00

Last 5 W-L 1-4

Last 3 W-L 0-3

Current streak L4

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 2.00

Sets range 1-3

3-set matches 2 (40%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 1/2

29% 2 Wins

0% 0 Draws

71% 5 Wins

Last 5 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

25 Feb 2025

D. Medvedev - J-L. Struff

1:0 (6-4)

ATP Dubai

—

14 Feb 2025

D. Medvedev - J-L. Struff

2:0 (6-3, 6-2)

Marseille

—

6 Jul 2024

J-L. Struff - D. Medvedev

1:2 (1-6, 3-6, 6-4)

ATP Wimbledon

—

29 Jun 2021

J-L. Struff - D. Medvedev

1:2 (4-6, 1-6, 6-4)

Wimbledon

—

15 Jun 2021

D. Medvedev - J-L. Struff

0:1 (3-6)

Halle

—

J-L. Struff

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, J-L. Struff posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: J-L. Struff wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: J-L. Struff

2 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon

B. Nakashima

J-L. Struff

1 0

6 4

29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

J-L. Struff

S. Baez

3 2

6 1

7 6

4 6

2 6

7 5

23 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

J-L. Struff

N. Borges

0 2

4 6

5 7

22 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

J-L. Struff

M. Landaluce

2 1

6 3

1 6

7 5

10 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

J-L. Struff

A. Bublik

1 2

6 3

2 6

9 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

J-L. Struff

A. Galarneau

2 0

6 2

6 3

28 May 2026 ATP French Open

J-L. Struff

J. Faria

0 2

5 7

2 6

26 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. Bublik

J-L. Struff

0 3

5 7

4 6

5 7

18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

J. Mensik

J-L. Struff

1 0

6 2

12 May 2026 Valencia

J-L. Struff

N. Alvarez Varona

1 2

1 6

7 5

2 6

D. Medvedev

Player Overview

Daniil Medvedev is currently showcasing his capabilities with a robust win record, buoyed by a positive trend in his performance. His Elo rating places him among the elite, reflecting a strong ability to navigate the nuances of grass courts, where he has shown effectiveness in his service game. Medvedev's career trajectory has been upward, especially evident in his recent matches.

In his last outings, Medvedev has secured victories against players like Daniil Merida Aguilar and Marin Cilic, indicating a resurgence after a dip earlier in the season. With a series of wins under his belt, he enters this match against Struff with clear momentum. If he can maintain his level, Medvedev is poised to capitalize on Struff’s inconsistencies and advance further in the tournament.

Match results: D. Medvedev

1 Jul 2026 ATP Wimbledon

D. Merida Aguilar

D. Medvedev

1 3

6 3

3 6

5 7

2 6

29 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

M. Cilic

D. Medvedev

0 3

1 6

2 6

4 6

19 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

D. Altmaier

D. Medvedev

2 0

6 4

17 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

T. Atmane

D. Medvedev

0 2

4 6

16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle

T. M. Etcheverry

D. Medvedev

0 2

3 6

4 6

13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

K. Majchrzak

D. Medvedev

1 0

6 1

13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

D. Medvedev

M. Cilic

2 1

6 2

3 6

6 1

12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

D. Medvedev

T. Boogaard

2 1

6 3

4 6

26 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. Walton

D. Medvedev

3 2

6 2

1 6

6 1

1 6

6 4

16 May 2026 ATP Rome

J. Sinner

D. Medvedev

2 1

6 2

5 7

6 4

Players Analysis

J-L. Struff has shown mixed form recently, winning 4 out of his last 10 matches. His performance at Wimbledon has been inconsistent, with a recent loss to B. Nakashima and a win against S. Baez. Struff's ability to compete at this level will be tested against a formidable opponent.

D. Medvedev, on the other hand, has been in better form, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance at Wimbledon where he defeated D. Merida Aguilar and M. Cilic. Medvedev's recent victories indicate a higher level of confidence and consistency, making him a tough competitor.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, D. Medvedev has dominated, winning 5 out of 7 matches against J-L. Struff. Medvedev's recent matches have shown a strong serve, with a higher ace count and fewer double faults compared to Struff. Additionally, Medvedev's ability to break serve has been superior, which could be crucial on the grass surface of Wimbledon.

Struff's recent performance has seen him struggle against higher-ranked players, while Medvedev has been consistently winning against similar competition. The surface at Wimbledon typically favors Medvedev's playing style, which relies on powerful groundstrokes and effective serving.

J-L. Struff — D. Medvedev Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, D. Medvedev is favored to win this match. His superior performance in recent tournaments and historical success against Struff suggest a likely victory. The predicted score is 3 sets to 1 in favor of Medvedev.

Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: D. Medvedev, Set 2: D. Medvedev, Set 3: J-L. Struff, Set 4: D. Medvedev
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5

In terms of tactical expectations, Medvedev will likely focus on exploiting Struff's weaker service games, aiming to break early in the sets. Struff, needing to rely on his serve to stay competitive, must minimize double faults and capitalize on any break point opportunities to keep the pressure on Medvedev.

3 Reasons Why D. Medvedev Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors D. Medvedev 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors D. Medvedev.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, D. Medvedev has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J-L. Struff, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

03.07.2026 13:30 ATP Wimbledon

J-L. Struff

D. Medvedev

1 3

0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1

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