02.07.2026
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Prediction D. Kasatkina vs N. Osaka — 03.07.2026

D. Kasatkina flag
WTA - 66
D. Kasatkina - N. Osaka
WTA Wimbledon 1/16-finals
July 3, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
N. Osaka flag
WTA - 16

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2
H2H W-L 0-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.50
Last 5 W-L 0-2
Last 3 W-L 0-2
Current streak L2
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.50
Sets range 2-3
3-set matches 1 (50%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 1/1
0% 0 Wins
0% 0 Draws
100% 2 Wins
Last 2 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
30 Aug 2025
D. Kasatkina - N. Osaka
1:2 (0-6, 6-4, 3-6)
US Open
11 May 2024
D. Kasatkina - N. Osaka
0:2 (3-6, 3-6)
WTA Rome
D. Kasatkina

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, D. Kasatkina posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: D. Kasatkina wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: D. Kasatkina

1 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
J. Tjen
D. Kasatkina
1 2
7 6
1 6
4 6
W
29 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
M. Xu
D. Kasatkina
1 2
2 6
6 3
2 6
W
22 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
D. Kasatkina
1 0
6 3
L
13 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
D. Kasatkina
A. Blinkova
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
D. Kasatkina
R. Montgomery
1 2
7 5
0 6
4 6
L
30 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
D. Kasatkina
2 0
6 0
7 5
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
S. Bandecchi
1 0
7 5
W
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
Z. Sonmez
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
J. Cristian
D. Kasatkina
2 1
3 6
6 2
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
P. Stearns
D. Kasatkina
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
N. Osaka

Player Overview

Naomi Osaka enters this matchup with an Elo rating that reflects her elite status, despite recent fluctuations. Her current trajectory appears stable, signaling a resurgence in form. Known for her powerful serve and aggressive baseline game, Osaka's recent performances show she's regaining confidence as she adapts back to competitive tennis.

Osaka has won three of her last five matches, including a convincing win over A. Gasanova, which marks a significant rebound after earlier setbacks at the WTA Bad Homburg. The victories against E. Jacquemot and E. Alexandrova underscore her potential as she approaches this match. As she faces Kasatkina, Osaka’s ability to maintain her recent winning ways will be critical in advancing her campaign at Wimbledon.

Match results: N. Osaka

1 Jul 2026 WTA Wimbledon
A. Gasanova
N. Osaka
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
29 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
E. Jacquemot
N. Osaka
0 2
1 6
5 7
W
27 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
K. Muchova
N. Osaka
2 0
6 1
L
26 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
Xin. Wang
N. Osaka
0 2
3 6
3 6
W
25 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
N. Osaka
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
23 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
N. Osaka
E. Mertens
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
22 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
N. Osaka
M. Frech
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
1 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
N. Osaka
2 0
7 5
6 3
L
30 May 2026 WTA French Open
I. Jovic
N. Osaka
0 1
4 6
W
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Vekic
N. Osaka
0 1
4 6
W

Players Analysis

Daria Kasatkina has shown inconsistent form recently, winning only 4 of her last 10 matches. In her last outing, she lost to J. Tjen with a score of 1-2. In contrast, Naomi Osaka has been more successful, winning 8 of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory against A. Gasanova. This recent form gives Osaka a significant edge going into this matchup.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Osaka has won both matches against Kasatkina, with scores of 2-1 and 2-0. The most recent match was at the US Open in August 2025, where Osaka won 2-1. Kasatkina has struggled on grass, while Osaka has performed well, winning her last matches convincingly. This trend suggests that Osaka's strong serve and ability to handle pressure will be crucial in this match.

D. Kasatkina — N. Osaka Prediction

Considering the recent forms, head-to-head results, and surface performance, Naomi Osaka is favored to win this match. The predicted score is 2-0 in sets, with Osaka winning both sets. Kasatkina's recent struggles and Osaka's strong showing make this a challenging matchup for the home player.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - N. Osaka, Set 2 - N. Osaka
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

Osaka's aggressive baseline play and powerful serve will likely put pressure on Kasatkina from the start. If Osaka can maintain her first serve percentage and capitalize on break points, she should be able to secure a straightforward victory.

3 Reasons Why N. Osaka Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors N. Osaka 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors N. Osaka.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, N. Osaka has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than D. Kasatkina, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
03.07.2026 12:00 WTA Wimbledon
D. Kasatkina
N. Osaka
0 2
0 0 1 1
35
22
14