30.06.2026

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WTA Wimbledon

Prediction K. Swan vs M. Keys — 01.07.2026

Daniel Carter

WTA - 269

K. Swan - M. Keys

WTA Wimbledon 1/32-finals

July 1, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

WTA - 7

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2

H2H W-L 0-0-2

Avg sets per match 2.50

Last 5 W-L 0-2

Last 3 W-L 0-2

Current streak L2

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 2.50

Sets range 2-3

3-set matches 1 (50%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 1/1

0% 0 Wins

0% 0 Draws

100% 2 Wins

Last 2 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

4 Jan 2023

M. Keys - K. Swan

2:1 (2-6, 6-3, 6-4)

WTA United Cup

—

28 Jun 2021

K. Swan - M. Keys

0:2 (3-6, 4-6)

Wimbledon

—

K. Swan

Player Overview

Katherine Swan has struggled to find her footing as she approaches this match. With a career baseline hovering below 56% on hard courts, she has faced significant challenges, particularly evident in her recent performances. Currently, Swan's trajectory is declining, reflecting a stark contrast to her historical averages, and she has not secured a win in her last five outings.

Her latest matches paint a troubling picture, including losses to players like Tereza Martincova and Anna Krueger. Swan's inability to capture sets—having lost her last five without winning one—highlights her ongoing difficulties. As she prepares to face Madison Keys, the lack of recent success raises questions about her competitiveness in this fixture.

Match results: K. Swan

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon

I. Begu

K. Swan

0 2

4 6

12 Jun 2026 Ilkley

K. Swan

A. Krueger

0 1

1 6

12 Jun 2026 Ilkley

V. Golubic

K. Swan

0 1

4 6

10 Jun 2026 Ilkley

T. Martincova

K. Swan

0 2

5 7

2 6

4 Jun 2026 Birmingham

K. Swan

T. Preston

0 2

4 6

2 6

4 Jun 2026 Birmingham

A. Tomljanovic

K. Swan

2 3

0 0

17 May 2026 W75 Kurume

K. Swan

K. Okamura

2 0

7 5

6 1

16 May 2026 W75 Kurume

K. Swan

M. Yamaguchi

2 0

6 1

15 May 2026 W75 Kurume

K. Swan

S. Saito

2 0

6 4

14 May 2026 W75 Kurume

K. Swan

D. Hewitt

2 0

6 3

M. Keys

Player Overview

Madison Keys enters this match with a solid reputation on hard courts, boasting a career baseline win percentage of about 65%. Her current form is on an upward trajectory, marked by a recent string of victories, including a decisive win against Kelsey Day in her last match. Keys' aggressive playing style and strong serve have propelled her into a more favorable position as she heads into this tournament.

Keys has demonstrated her capability by winning her last five matches, showcasing a dominant performance against opponents like Tamara Maria and Panna Marcinko. With a recent string of straight-set victories, she appears well-prepared to face Swan. Given her past success and current form, Keys will be looking to extend her winning streak and assert her dominance in this matchup.

Match results: M. Keys

30 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon

K. Day

M. Keys

0 2

4 6

3 6

27 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

T. Maria

M. Keys

0 2

5 7

4 6

26 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

P. Marcinko

M. Keys

0 1

1 6

25 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

M. Kessler

M. Keys

0 2

3 6

1 6

24 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

J. Bouzas Maneiro

M. Keys

0 2

0 6

1 6

23 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne

T. Gibson

M. Keys

0 2

4 6

19 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

J. Pegula

M. Keys

2 0

18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

M. Keys

K. Muchova

2 0

6 4

7 5

16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin

M. Keys

Xin. Wang

1 0

6 1

1 Jun 2026 WTA French Open

M. Keys

D. Shnaider

1 2

3 6

6 3

0 6

Players Analysis

K. Swan has shown impressive form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the ITF circuit. Her victories have been characterized by solid serving and effective baseline play. In contrast, M. Keys has also been in good form, winning 7 of her last 10 matches, with notable wins in the WTA Eastbourne and Wimbledon events. However, her recent matches have seen her struggle against higher-ranked opponents, which may impact her confidence going into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, M. Keys has a perfect record against K. Swan, winning both matches. The last match was a close contest, ending 2-1 in favor of Keys, showcasing her ability to handle pressure. Both players have been performing well on grass, but Keys has a slight edge in experience at this level, which could be crucial in a best-of-three format. Additionally, Keys has demonstrated better serve statistics recently, with a higher average of aces per match compared to Swan.

K. Swan — M. Keys Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head history, M. Keys is favored to win this match. While K. Swan has been performing well, Keys' experience and past victories against Swan give her the edge. The match is expected to be competitive, but Keys' ability to close out sets in crucial moments may lead her to victory.

Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: M. Keys, Set 2: K. Swan, Set 3: M. Keys
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, M. Keys is likely to utilize her powerful serve to gain early advantages in games, aiming to pressure K. Swan from the outset. Swan will need to focus on returning effectively and maintaining consistency to capitalize on any potential errors from Keys. The match could hinge on the effectiveness of Swan's return game against Keys' serve.

3 Reasons Why M. Keys Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Keys 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Keys.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Keys has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than K. Swan, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

01.07.2026 12:00 WTA Wimbledon

K. Swan

M. Keys

1 2

0 1 0 1 0 1