Amanda Anisimova’s career has seen moments of brilliance, particularly on hard courts, where she has a career baseline win percentage nearing 56%. However, her current trajectory over the last two years has been erratic, showing signs of decline, as evidenced by her recent performances. Anisimova’s serve and return game have not consistently delivered the edge needed to compete at the highest level, leaving her vulnerable against more consistent opponents.
Entering this match, Anisimova has struggled to find her footing. She has lost three of her last five matches, including a disappointing defeat to Iva Jovic at the WTA London. Recent wins against lower-ranked players like L. Gjorcheska and S. Kenin did little to mask her ongoing issues. With the weight of expectation at Wimbledon, she must elevate her game to stand a chance against the formidable Madison Keys.
Match results: A. Anisimova
2 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Anisimova
S. Kenin
21
62
46
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Anisimova
L. Gjorcheska
20
63
62
W
12 Jun 2026WTA London
I. Jovic
A. Anisimova
21
62
36
63
L
10 Jun 2026WTA London
L. Siegemund
A. Anisimova
02
16
36
W
30 May 2026WTA French Open
D. Parry
A. Anisimova
21
63
46
L
28 May 2026WTA French Open
J. Grabher
A. Anisimova
01
06
W
25 May 2026WTA French Open
T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah
A. Anisimova
02
36
16
W
7 May 2026WTA Rome
J. Ostapenko
A. Anisimova
00
L
24 Mar 2026WTA Miami
A. Anisimova
B. Bencic
02
26
26
L
21 Mar 2026WTA Miami
A. Anisimova
Y. Starodubtseva
20
64
62
W
M. Keys
Player Overview
Madison Keys has been a consistent force on the WTA tour, particularly on grass, where she thrives with a powerful serve and aggressive baseline play. Her recent performances reflect a rising trend, winning five consecutive matches leading up to this showdown. Keys’ Elo rating indicates she is currently operating at a higher level, showcasing her ability to dominate with both her first serve and return game.
Keys enters this match with a strong string of victories, most recently defeating K. Swan and K. Day at Wimbledon. Her confidence is bolstered by a recent win streak that includes solid performances at Eastbourne. With a history of deep runs at Wimbledon, she poses a serious threat to Anisimova, who will need to counter Keys’ power and precision to avoid an early exit.
Match results: M. Keys
2 Jul 2026WTA Wimbledon
K. Swan
M. Keys
02
16
46
W
30 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
K. Day
M. Keys
12
76
46
36
W
27 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
T. Maria
M. Keys
02
57
46
W
26 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
P. Marcinko
M. Keys
01
16
W
25 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
M. Keys
02
36
16
W
24 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
J. Bouzas Maneiro
M. Keys
02
06
16
W
23 Jun 2026WTA Eastbourne
T. Gibson
M. Keys
02
46
46
W
19 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
J. Pegula
M. Keys
20
L
18 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
M. Keys
K. Muchova
20
64
75
W
16 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
M. Keys
Xin. Wang
10
61
W
Players Analysis
Amanda Anisimova has shown a strong performance recently, winning 6 out of her last 10 matches, including a notable victory against Sofia Kenin in the last round of Wimbledon. Her recent form indicates a solid ability to compete at this level. On the other hand, Madison Keys has also been in good form, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a convincing win against K. Swan in the previous round. This match-up presents a clash between two players who are both capable of high-level tennis.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous encounter, Anisimova defeated Keys 2-1 in sets, showcasing her ability to handle pressure in crucial moments. Anisimova's average games won per match stands at 1.4, while Keys has a slightly higher average of 1.6. Both players have demonstrated strong serving capabilities, but Keys has a slight edge in terms of break points converted in recent matches. The surface at Wimbledon tends to favor powerful servers, which could play a significant role in this match.
A. Anisimova — M. Keys Prediction
This match is expected to be closely contested, with both players having the potential to take sets. However, given Anisimova's recent head-to-head success and her ability to perform under pressure, she is slightly favored to win. The predicted score is 2-1 in favor of Anisimova.
Final score in sets: 2-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - A. Anisimova, Set 2 - M. Keys, Set 3 - A. Anisimova
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 3
Break points: 4
Expect Anisimova to leverage her powerful baseline game and aggressive returns to put pressure on Keys. Keys will need to focus on her serve to avoid giving Anisimova easy break points. The match could hinge on the ability of both players to maintain their serve and capitalize on any break opportunities.
3 Reasons Why A. Anisimova Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Anisimova 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Anisimova.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Anisimova has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Keys, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
03.07.2026 12:00WTA Wimbledon
A. Anisimova
M. Keys
21
101010
54
32
43
Where to watch A. Anisimova vs M. Keys
WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
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