R. Jodar has demonstrated a solid baseline game with a career win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts. His recent form reflects a stable trajectory, showing he can compete well, although his results at Wimbledon haven't yet mirrored that potential. The current season hints at improvement, especially after a recent victory against Pablo Carreno-Busta, which might indicate a shift in his competitive edge.
Jodar's last five matches include notable wins against Carreno-Busta and F. Gill, but also a disappointing loss to Alexander Zverev at the French Open. This inconsistency raises questions about his ability to maintain performance against tougher opponents. Entering this match against Shintaro Mochizuki, Jodar needs to build on his recent successes to establish himself as a serious contender.
Match results: R. Jodar
2 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
32
36
63
16
63
64
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
F. Gill
30
63
63
75
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
I. Buse
R. Jodar
00
L
2 Jun 2026ATP French Open
R. Jodar
A. Zverev
02
16
36
L
31 May 2026ATP French Open
R. Jodar
P. Carreno-Busta
32
46
46
61
62
62
W
29 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Michelsen
R. Jodar
12
64
36
36
W
27 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Duckworth
R. Jodar
03
16
46
57
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Kovacevic
R. Jodar
03
16
06
46
W
13 May 2026ATP Rome
R. Jodar
L. Darderi
12
75
06
L
12 May 2026ATP Rome
R. Jodar
L. Tien
20
61
64
W
S. Mochizuki
Player Overview
Shintaro Mochizuki has made significant strides in his career, with a solid win percentage and a strong presence on grass courts. His Elo rating suggests he is climbing the ranks, and he is currently trending upwards, showing that he is ready to challenge higher-ranked players. His recent performances indicate a developing serve-and-volley style that suits the grass surface well.
Mochizuki arrives at this match with three consecutive wins at Wimbledon, including dominant performances against E. Quinn and M. Basing. This string of victories, coupled with his recent match against C. Tabur, where he also secured a win, showcases his growing confidence. Facing Jodar, Mochizuki aims to leverage this momentum to advance further in the tournament.
Match results: S. Mochizuki
1 Jul 2026ATP Wimbledon
S. Mochizuki
E. Quinn
30
62
76
75
W
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
S. Mochizuki
M. Basing
30
63
60
60
W
25 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
C. Tabur
S. Mochizuki
23
61
57
62
36
16
W
24 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
G. Onclin
S. Mochizuki
12
26
64
36
W
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
V. Sachko
S. Mochizuki
01
36
W
18 Jun 2026Nottingham
S. Mochizuki
R. Bertola
02
36
46
L
16 Jun 2026Nottingham
M. McDonald
S. Mochizuki
01
57
W
14 Jun 2026Nottingham
S. Mochizuki
M. Zheng
01
36
L
6 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
S. Jong
S. Mochizuki
21
46
63
64
L
3 Jun 2026Birmingham
S. Shimabukuro
S. Mochizuki
10
64
L
Players Analysis
R. Jodar has shown strong form recently, winning 7 of his last 10 matches, including a convincing victory against P. Carreno-Busta in the last round of Wimbledon. His performance has been characterized by solid serving and effective baseline play. On the other hand, S. Mochizuki has also been in good form, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, with notable wins at Wimbledon, including a recent match against E. Quinn where he won decisively. Both players have demonstrated resilience and tactical adaptability in their recent matches.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of statistical performance, R. Jodar has averaged 2.2 sets won per match in his last 10 outings, while S. Mochizuki has averaged 1.4 sets won per match. Jodar's recent matches indicate a strong ability to break his opponents' serves, which could be crucial in this matchup. Mochizuki, while also effective, has shown slightly less consistency in his service games, which may give Jodar an edge. The surface at Wimbledon tends to favor players with strong serve-and-volley tactics, and Jodar's recent performances suggest he is well-suited to exploit this.
R. Jodar — S. Mochizuki Prediction
Considering the recent form and head-to-head context, R. Jodar is slightly favored to win this match. His ability to win crucial points and break serve will be key against Mochizuki, who has shown vulnerability in high-pressure situations. The predicted score is likely to reflect a competitive match, but Jodar's edge in recent performance gives him the upper hand.
Final score in sets: 3:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: R. Jodar, Set 2: S. Mochizuki, Set 3: R. Jodar, Set 4: R. Jodar
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5
In terms of tactical expectations, R. Jodar is likely to focus on aggressive baseline play, looking to dictate points early and capitalize on any second serves from Mochizuki. Conversely, Mochizuki will need to rely on his defensive skills and counter-punching to stay competitive, particularly in the longer rallies where Jodar's power could be a decisive factor.
3 Reasons Why R. Jodar Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors R. Jodar 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors R. Jodar.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, R. Jodar has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Mochizuki, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
03.07.2026 13:30ATP Wimbledon
R. Jodar
S. Mochizuki
31
10110100
108
34
53
Where to watch R. Jodar vs S. Mochizuki
ATP Official Website - Visit the official ATP website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match details and broadcast options.
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BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport offers live coverage and updates for Wimbledon matches.
Tennis Channel - Tennis Channel broadcasts various tennis events, including Wimbledon.
