30.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction A. De Minaur vs A. Mannarino — 01.07.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 6

A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino

ATP Wimbledon 1/32-finals

July 1, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 45

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 7

H2H W-L 6-0-1

Avg sets per match 2.57

Last 5 W-L 5-0

Last 3 W-L 3-0

Current streak W5

Sets balance +7

Avg sets (last 5) 3.00

Sets range 2-4

3-set matches 4 (80%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 1/3 • 0/0

86% 6 Wins

0% 0 Draws

14% 1 Wins

Last 5 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

13 Jun 2026

A. Mannarino - A. De Minaur

0:2 (4-6, 0-6)

ATP Hertogenbosch

—

5 Dec 2025

A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino

3:1 (13-12, 16-6, 11-12, 14-12)

Others matches

—

23 Jun 2023

A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino

2:1 (6-4, 4-6, 6-4)

ATP London

—

19 Jan 2023

A. Mannarino - A. De Minaur

1:2 (6-4, 4-6, 1-6)

Australian Open

—

29 Jul 2022

A. De Minaur - A. Mannarino

2:1 (4-6, 6-3)

Atlanta

—

A. De Minaur

Player Overview

Alex De Minaur is a gritty competitor with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 56% on hard courts, though he has been trending upward in the past two years, showcasing a more aggressive playstyle. His recent Elo rating places him in a strong tier, reflecting his capability to challenge higher-ranked opponents, particularly on grass where he thrives.

Arriving into this matchup following a convincing win against R. A. Burruchaga, De Minaur's form has fluctuated lately, with mixed results in recent tournaments. With a 2-3 record over his last five matches, he faces Adrian Mannarino, a player he has previously defeated, which could bolster his confidence and set the stage for another strong performance.

Match results: A. De Minaur

30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

A. De Minaur

R. A. Burruchaga

2 0

6 1

6 0

19 Jun 2026 ATP London

A. De Minaur

B. Nakashima

0 2

5 7

3 6

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

A. De Minaur

D. Shapovalov

2 0

6 4

6 1

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

A. De Minaur

G. Diallo

1 0

6 3

14 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

K. Majchrzak

A. De Minaur

2 1

6 3

2 6

13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

A. Mannarino

A. De Minaur

0 2

4 6

0 6

12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

B. Bonzi

A. De Minaur

0 2

2 6

4 6

10 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

M. Damm

A. De Minaur

0 1

5 7

29 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. De Minaur

J. Mensik

1 3

6 0

2 6

3 6

27 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. De Minaur

A. Blockx

1 0

A. Mannarino

Player Overview

Adrian Mannarino, known for his unique left-handed serve and tactical prowess, has a career baseline win percentage near 54% on grass, but currently finds himself in a declining form trend. His recent performances have not matched his historical standards, and he has struggled against lower-ranked players, showcasing a stark contrast to his overall capabilities.

In his last outing, Mannarino secured a straightforward victory against T. Droguet, yet prior losses to N. Borges and A. Fery highlight ongoing issues with consistency. With a previous defeat to De Minaur still fresh in his mind, he must navigate this match carefully to avoid another setback, especially against a familiar opponent who has proven to be a challenge.

Match results: A. Mannarino

30 Jun 2026 ATP Wimbledon

A. Mannarino

T. Droguet

3 0

6 2

6 4

6 1

21 Jun 2026 ATP Mallorca

N. Borges

A. Mannarino

2 0

6 2

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

A. Mannarino

A. Fery

0 1

4 6

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

J. Mensik

A. Mannarino

1 0

7 5

13 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

A. Mannarino

A. De Minaur

0 2

4 6

0 6

12 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

Z. Zhang

A. Mannarino

0 1

3 6

11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

A. Mannarino

A. Rinderknech

2 1

3 6

6 3

9 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch

G. Diallo

A. Mannarino

1 2

4 6

6 3

5 7

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

U. Humbert

A. Mannarino

3 0

6 3

6 4

6 3

19 May 2026 ATP Geneva

A. Mannarino

R. Collignon

0 1

3 6

Players Analysis

A. De Minaur and A. Mannarino are set to clash in the first round of the ATP Wimbledon. A. De Minaur has shown solid form recently, winning 6 of his last 10 matches, including a convincing victory over A. Mannarino in their most recent encounter on June 13, 2026, where he won 2 sets to 0. In contrast, A. Mannarino has struggled lately, with only 3 wins in his last 10 matches, including losses against lower-ranked opponents.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head matchups, A. De Minaur leads with 5 wins out of 7 encounters. Their last five matches have seen A. De Minaur winning 4 times, showcasing a strong mental edge. On grass, A. De Minaur has performed better historically, which could play a crucial role in this matchup. A. Mannarino's recent form has been inconsistent, which may hinder his performance against a player like A. De Minaur, who thrives in high-pressure situations.

A. De Minaur — A. Mannarino Prediction

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, A. De Minaur is favored to win this match. The prediction is for A. De Minaur to win in straight sets, likely reflecting his superior performance on grass and recent victories over Mannarino.

Final score in sets: 3:0
Predicted winner of each set: A. De Minaur (1), A. De Minaur (2), A. De Minaur (3)
Expected aces: 8
Double faults: 2
Break points: 5

A. De Minaur is expected to dominate with his serve, leveraging his ability to hit aces and capitalize on break points. Mannarino will need to improve his return game to stand a chance, but given the current trajectory of both players, A. De Minaur's aggressive playstyle and confidence should lead him to a straightforward victory.

3 Reasons Why A. De Minaur Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. De Minaur 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. De Minaur.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. De Minaur has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than A. Mannarino, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

01.07.2026 12:00 ATP Wimbledon

A. De Minaur

A. Mannarino

3 0

1 1 1 0 0 0