B. Nakashima has struggled to find his footing on the ATP tour, with a career baseline win percentage nearing 56% on hard courts. Currently, he sits at an Elo rating tier that suggests he's in the midst of a declining trend, particularly evident over the last two years. His serve, typically a strong asset, has not been enough to offset his recent inconsistencies.
In his last five matches, Nakashima's performance has been mixed, with a notable victory against J. Pinnington Jones but a recent loss to F. Cerundolo. His record shows no sets won in his last two appearances, leading to uncertainty as he heads into this match against J-L. Struff. The pressure is on for Nakashima to turn things around quickly at Wimbledon, where expectations remain high.
Match results: B. Nakashima
30 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
B. Nakashima
J. Pinnington Jones
20
63
75
W
22 Jun 2026ATP Eastbourne
B. Nakashima
J. Draper
00
L
20 Jun 2026ATP London
B. Nakashima
F. Cerundolo
02
36
46
L
19 Jun 2026ATP London
A. De Minaur
B. Nakashima
02
57
36
W
17 Jun 2026ATP London
B. Nakashima
I. Buse
20
62
62
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
B. Nakashima
M. Fucsovics
20
63
63
W
30 May 2026ATP French Open
F. Auger-Aliassime
B. Nakashima
31
57
61
L
28 May 2026ATP French Open
L. van Assche
B. Nakashima
13
46
75
16
36
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
R. Bautista-Agut
B. Nakashima
03
26
57
26
W
11 May 2026ATP Rome
B. Nakashima
N. Basilashvili
01
46
L
J-L. Struff
Player Overview
J-L. Struff has made significant strides recently, bolstered by a career baseline win percentage around 53% on grass. His current trajectory is stable, reflecting a solid two-year performance that has kept him competitive. Struff's strong serve and return game are crucial components of his play, particularly as he adapts to the demands of the grass courts.
Struff arrives at this match following a gritty win over S. Baez, demonstrating his ability to battle through tight situations. He also managed a victory against M. Landaluce, which adds to his confidence. However, a recent setback against N. Borges raises questions about his consistency. As he faces Nakashima, Struff's challenge will be to maintain his form and capitalize on his opponent's vulnerabilities.
Match results: J-L. Struff
29 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
J-L. Struff
S. Baez
32
61
46
26
75
W
23 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
J-L. Struff
N. Borges
02
46
57
L
22 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
J-L. Struff
M. Landaluce
21
63
16
75
W
10 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
J-L. Struff
A. Bublik
12
63
26
L
9 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
J-L. Struff
A. Galarneau
20
62
63
W
28 May 2026ATP French Open
J-L. Struff
J. Faria
02
57
26
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
A. Bublik
J-L. Struff
03
57
46
57
W
18 May 2026ATP Hamburg
J. Mensik
J-L. Struff
10
62
L
12 May 2026Valencia
J-L. Struff
N. Alvarez Varona
12
16
75
26
L
8 May 2026ATP Rome
J-L. Struff
J. Lehecka
01
36
L
Players Analysis
B. Nakashima has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid performance at the ATP Wimbledon where he won his last match 2-0. His recent victories indicate a high level of confidence and skill on the grass surface. In contrast, J-L. Struff has struggled, winning only 4 of his last 10 matches, with a recent loss in the ATP Mallorca tournament. This disparity in form suggests that Nakashima may have the upper hand heading into this matchup.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of head-to-head statistics, there are no previous matches recorded between B. Nakashima and J-L. Struff, which adds an element of unpredictability to the match. However, looking at their recent performances, Nakashima has a higher average of games won per match compared to Struff. Nakashima's ability to win crucial break points has also been notable, which could play a significant role in this match. On the other hand, Struff's recent form suggests he may struggle to maintain consistency, especially against a player in good form like Nakashima.
B. Nakashima — J-L. Struff Prediction
Given the current form and recent performances, B. Nakashima is favored to win this match against J-L. Struff. The predicted score is 3-1 in sets, reflecting Nakashima's superior form and ability to capitalize on break points.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st set - B. Nakashima, 2nd set - J-L. Struff, 3rd set - B. Nakashima, 4th set - B. Nakashima
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5
In terms of tactical expectations, Nakashima is likely to utilize his strong serve to gain an early advantage in the match. He may focus on targeting Struff's weaker backhand, especially during crucial points. Struff, on the other hand, will need to find a way to disrupt Nakashima's rhythm and capitalize on any unforced errors to stay competitive.
3 Reasons Why B. Nakashima Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors B. Nakashima 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors B. Nakashima.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, B. Nakashima has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J-L. Struff, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
01.07.2026 15:30ATP Wimbledon
B. Nakashima
J-L. Struff
31
10110100
108
34
53
Where to watch B. Nakashima vs J-L. Struff
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for live scores, match schedules, and broadcast information.
Wimbledon Official Website - Check the official Wimbledon website for match details and broadcast options.
ESPN Tennis - ESPN provides coverage of ATP events, including Wimbledon. Check for broadcast details.
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