29.06.2026
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Prediction Meng Xu vs D. Kasatkina — 29.06.2026

Meng Xu flag
WTA - 234
Meng Xu - D. Kasatkina
WTA Wimbledon 1/64-finals
June 29, 2026 18:15
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D. Kasatkina flag
WTA - 66
Meng Xu

Player Overview

Meng Xu, currently navigating a challenging phase, has not secured a victory in her last five matches, leading to a steep decline in her performance. With a career baseline win percentage around 50% on hard courts, she has struggled to maintain that level in recent competitions, which is reflected in her current trajectory that shows a downward trend. Her recent form has been marked by a series of defeats against players like Daria Kasatkina and others, with no sets won in her last five outings.

Xu's last encounter against Daria Kasatkina ended in a 1-2 loss in the WTA Wimbledon, a result that underscores her current difficulties. As she approaches this match, the lack of recent success raises concerns about her ability to compete effectively. Without a win to build on, expectations are low, and she must find a way to break this streak if she hopes to turn her season around.

Match results: Meng Xu

29 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
M. Xu
D. Kasatkina
1 2
2 6
6 3
L
20 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Xu
E. Jacquemot
1 2
7 5
2 6
3 6
L
13 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
M. Xu
K. Birrell
0 2
2 6
3 6
L
10 Jun 2026 Ilkley
M. Xu
E. Mandlik
1 2
6 4
4 6
1 6
L
31 May 2026 Birmingham
T. Martincova
M. Xu
1 0
6 1
L
30 May 2026 Birmingham
M. Xu
K. Cross
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 0
W
20 May 2026 W35 Estepona (Spain)
M. Xu
A. Ivanovskaya
0 2
5 7
5 7
L
14 May 2026 W35 Monastir 5
E. Milovanovic
M. Xu
2 1
4 6
6 2
L
12 May 2026 W35 Monastir 5
E. Lopez
M. Xu
0 2
2 6
0 6
W
3 Feb 2026 Mumbai
M. Xu
S. Park
0 1
1 6
L
D. Kasatkina

Player Overview

Daria Kasatkina, with a career baseline win percentage of approximately 56% on hard courts, has seen her performance fluctuate in recent weeks. Her current trajectory indicates a declining trend, marked by losses against players like M. Kessler and A. Blinkova. Despite the ups and downs, her ability to secure a win against Meng Xu in their last meeting demonstrates her potential to compete at a high level, although she must focus on regaining consistency.

Match results: D. Kasatkina

29 Jun 2026 WTA Wimbledon
M. Xu
D. Kasatkina
1 2
2 6
6 3
W
22 Jun 2026 WTA Eastbourne
M. Kessler
D. Kasatkina
1 0
6 3
L
13 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
D. Kasatkina
A. Blinkova
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
D. Kasatkina
R. Montgomery
1 2
7 5
0 6
4 6
L
30 May 2026 WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
D. Kasatkina
2 0
6 0
7 5
L
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
S. Bandecchi
1 0
7 5
W
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
D. Kasatkina
Z. Sonmez
2 0
6 4
6 4
W
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
J. Cristian
D. Kasatkina
2 1
3 6
6 2
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
P. Stearns
D. Kasatkina
0 2
1 6
3 6
W
18 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
D. Kasatkina
L. Samsonova
2 0
7 5
6 3
W

Players Analysis

M. Xu has struggled in her recent matches, losing 7 out of her last 10, with a particularly poor performance in her last three matches where she failed to win a set. In contrast, Daria Kasatkina has shown better form, winning 4 out of her last 10 matches, including a recent victory against a higher-ranked opponent. This indicates a significant difference in current form between the two players.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their recent matches, M. Xu has averaged 0.7 games won per match, while Daria Kasatkina has averaged 1.1 games won per match. This suggests that Kasatkina not only wins more often but also tends to win more games when she does. Additionally, there is no head-to-head record available, which makes it difficult to assess their historical performance against each other. However, given the current form and recent performances, Kasatkina appears to have the upper hand.

M. Xu — D. Kasatkina Prediction

Considering the recent performances and overall form, Daria Kasatkina is favored to win this match. M. Xu's inability to secure wins in her last matches, combined with Kasatkina's slightly better form, leads to a predicted outcome of 2 sets to 0 in favor of Kasatkina.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Daria Kasatkina, Set 2 - Daria Kasatkina
  • Expected aces: 3
  • Double faults: 1
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Daria Kasatkina is likely to exploit M. Xu's weaknesses by maintaining pressure on her serve and capitalizing on any opportunities to break serve. Kasatkina's ability to construct points and her experience in high-stakes matches will be crucial in dictating the pace of the game.

3 Reasons Why D. Kasatkina Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors D. Kasatkina 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors D. Kasatkina.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, D. Kasatkina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Xu, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
29.06.2026 18:15 WTA Wimbledon
Meng Xu
D. Kasatkina
0 2
0 0 1 1
23
11
24