Aryna Sabalenka, a formidable force on hard courts with a career baseline near 56%, has seen her 2-year trajectory stabilize, reflecting her tenacity at the top level. While she holds a strong record against lesser-ranked opponents, her recent form has been a mix of highs and lows, highlighted by a solid win against Kostovic at Wimbledon just days ago.
Sabalenka's recent matches demonstrate her capacity to dominate, with victories over Ekaterina Alexandrova and Nataliya Bartunkova, contrasting a disappointing outing against Jessica Pegula. As she steps onto the court again, the challenge lies in maintaining consistency against an opponent she recently defeated, which could set the tone for her Wimbledon campaign.
Match results: A. Sabalenka
29 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Sabalenka
T. Kostovic
20
62
63
W
20 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
J. Pegula
02
46
06
L
19 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
N. Bartunkova
21
26
64
W
17 Jun 2026WTA Berlin
A. Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
20
64
64
W
3 Jun 2026WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
D. Shnaider
12
63
57
06
L
1 Jun 2026WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
N. Osaka
20
75
63
W
30 May 2026WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
D. Kasatkina
20
60
75
W
28 May 2026WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
E. Jacquemot
20
75
62
W
26 May 2026WTA French Open
A. Sabalenka
J. Bouzas Maneiro
20
64
62
W
9 May 2026WTA Rome
A. Sabalenka
S. Cirstea
12
62
36
57
L
T. Kostovic
Player Overview
Tereza Kostovic, still carving her identity in the WTA landscape, has struggled against higher-ranked players, evident in her recent loss to Aryna Sabalenka. With a career baseline hovering around 47%, her recent two-year form has been on a declining trend, marked by a mixed bag of results that reflect her ongoing development.
Match results: T. Kostovic
29 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
A. Sabalenka
T. Kostovic
20
62
63
L
25 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
T. Kostovic
L. Zhu
20
63
64
W
24 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
R. Sramkova
T. Kostovic
12
64
46
W
23 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
Y. Ku
T. Kostovic
02
16
46
W
9 Jun 2026W100 Zagreb (Croatia)
I. Oz
T. Kostovic
21
75
46
63
L
2 Jun 2026Makarska
S. Waltert
T. Kostovic
20
60
63
L
29 May 2026W75 Kursumlijska Banja
T. Kostovic
L. Samson
02
06
46
L
28 May 2026W75 Kursumlijska Banja
T. Kostovic
J. Struplova
20
62
61
W
27 May 2026W75 Kursumlijska Banja
T. Kostovic
Y. Kotliar
10
62
W
20 May 2026WTA French Open
T. Kostovic
K. Quevedo
12
63
26
L
Players Analysis
A. Sabalenka has shown strong form recently, winning 8 out of her last 10 matches, including a convincing victory against T. Kostovic in their only previous encounter at the WTA Wimbledon, where she won 2 sets to 0. T. Kostovic, on the other hand, has had a mixed performance, winning 5 out of her last 10 matches, but she has shown resilience in her recent games, including a strong performance in the WTA Wimbledon finals.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their previous match, A. Sabalenka dominated with a score of 6-2, 6-3, indicating her superior performance on grass. Sabalenka's recent statistics show an average of 1.6 sets won per match, while Kostovic averages 1.1. This suggests that Sabalenka is not only winning more frequently but also doing so in a more decisive manner. The head-to-head record favors Sabalenka, who has a 100% win rate against Kostovic, further solidifying her status as the favorite in this matchup.
A. Sabalenka — T. Kostovic Prediction
Given the current form and head-to-head statistics, A. Sabalenka is expected to win this match decisively. Her recent performances indicate a strong ability to control the match tempo and capitalize on break points effectively. Kostovic will need to improve her serve reliability to challenge Sabalenka effectively.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - A. Sabalenka, Set 2 - A. Sabalenka
Expected aces: 5
Expected double faults: 2
Expected break points: 4
A. Sabalenka's serve has been particularly effective, and she is likely to maintain pressure on Kostovic's service games. If Kostovic can find a way to break Sabalenka's rhythm, she may extend the match, but Sabalenka's current form suggests she will close it out in straight sets.
3 Reasons Why A. Sabalenka Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors A. Sabalenka 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors A. Sabalenka.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, A. Sabalenka has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than T. Kostovic, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
29.06.2026 18:30WTA Wimbledon
A. Sabalenka
T. Kostovic
20
1100
52
23
41
Where to watch A. Sabalenka vs T. Kostovic
WTA Official Website - Visit the official WTA website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of WTA events.
Tennis Channel - Find information on live broadcasts and streaming options for tennis matches.
BBC Sport - Tennis - BBC Sport provides coverage and updates on tennis matches, including Wimbledon.
Wimbledon Official Website - The official Wimbledon website offers details on matches, tickets, and broadcast information.