29.06.2026

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ATP Wimbledon

Prediction S. Wawrinka vs M. Berrettini — 30.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 125

S. Wawrinka - M. Berrettini

ATP Wimbledon 1/64-finals

June 30, 2026 • 17:30

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 100

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 1

H2H W-L 1-0-0

Avg sets per match 3.00

Last 5 W-L 1-0

Last 3 W-L 1-0

Current streak W1

Sets balance +1

Avg sets (last 5) 3.00

Sets range 3-3

3-set matches 1 (99%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 0/0

100% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

0% 0 Wins

Last 1 match

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

8 Dec 2022

S. Wawrinka - M. Berrettini

2:1 (5-10, 10-4, 10-6)

Diriyah Tennis Cup

—

S. Wawrinka

Player Overview

Stan Wawrinka's recent struggles have put his career trajectory into question. With a baseline win percentage near 56% on hard courts, he has seen his current performance dip below that, trending down over the past two years. A two-time Grand Slam champion, Wawrinka's once formidable serve now lacks the consistency needed to compete at this level.

His last five outings have yielded no victories, with losses to opponents like J. De Jong and A. Michelsen. Most recently, he suffered a defeat at the ATP French Open, indicating that he has not yet found a rhythm. Facing Matteo Berrettini, Wawrinka needs a significant turnaround to avoid further disappointment on the grass where he has historically performed better.

Match results: S. Wawrinka

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

S. Wawrinka

J. De Jong

1 3

3 6

6 3

3 6

4 6

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

S. Wawrinka

A. Fils

0 0

20 May 2026 ATP Geneva

S. Wawrinka

A. Michelsen

0 2

18 May 2026 ATP Geneva

R. Brancaccio

S. Wawrinka

1 2

2 6

6 4

18 May 2026 ATP Geneva

A. Tabilo

S. Wawrinka

0 0

5 May 2026 ATP Rome

P. Carreno-Busta

S. Wawrinka

1 0

4 May 2026 ATP Rome

S. Travaglia

S. Wawrinka

1 2

6 4

1 6

28 Apr 2026 Aix en Provence

S. Wawrinka

S. Ofner

0 2

3 6

4 6

13 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona

C. Norrie

S. Wawrinka

2 0

6 4

6 Apr 2026 ATP Monte Carlo

S. Baez

S. Wawrinka

2 0

7 5

M. Berrettini

Player Overview

Across the last 5 matches, M. Berrettini posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.

For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: M. Berrettini wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.

Match results: M. Berrettini

3 Jun 2026 ATP French Open

M. Berrettini

M. Arnaldi

0 2

5 7

2 5

1 Jun 2026 ATP French Open

J. M. Cerundolo

M. Berrettini

0 1

3 6

30 May 2026 ATP French Open

M. Berrettini

F. Comesana

3 2

5 7

6 4

28 May 2026 ATP French Open

A. Rinderknech

M. Berrettini

0 3

4 6

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

M. Fucsovics

M. Berrettini

0 3

5 7

1 6

2 6

14 May 2026 Valencia

C. Ugo Carabelli

M. Berrettini

1 0

6 4

13 May 2026 Valencia

M. Berrettini

T. Daniel

2 0

6 4

6 2

7 May 2026 ATP Rome

A. Popyrin

M. Berrettini

2 0

6 2

6 3

1 May 2026 Cagliari

M. Berrettini

H. Hurkacz

1 2

6 4

3 6

4 6

30 Apr 2026 Cagliari

M. Navone

M. Berrettini

0 2

5 7

3 6

Players Analysis

Stan Wawrinka and Matteo Berrettini are set to clash in the first round of the ATP Wimbledon. Wawrinka has struggled recently, losing 8 of his last 10 matches, with his last victory coming against R. Brancaccio on May 18, 2026. In contrast, Berrettini has shown better form, winning 7 of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory against J. M. Cerundolo at the French Open. Their head-to-head record favors Wawrinka, who won their only previous encounter at the Diriyah Tennis Cup in December 2022.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Wawrinka's recent performances indicate a significant decline, with a goals for average of only 0.8 in his last 10 matches. His serve has been less effective, and he has struggled to convert break points. On the other hand, Berrettini has averaged 1.7 goals for per game and has been more consistent on serve, which could give him an edge on the grass surface at Wimbledon. The surface may favor Berrettini, who has a stronger career win-rate on grass compared to Wawrinka.

S. Wawrinka — M. Berrettini Prediction

Considering the current form and head-to-head history, Matteo Berrettini is favored to win this match. Wawrinka's recent struggles and Berrettini's better performance make it likely that Berrettini will take the match in straight sets.

Final score in sets: 3:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: M. Berrettini, Set 2: M. Berrettini, Set 3: M. Berrettini
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 3
Break points: 5

Berrettini is expected to leverage his powerful serve and aggressive baseline play to dominate the match. Wawrinka will need to find his rhythm early, but given his recent form, it is unlikely he will be able to withstand Berrettini's pressure throughout the match.

3 Reasons Why M. Berrettini Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors M. Berrettini 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors M. Berrettini.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, M. Berrettini has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than S. Wawrinka, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

30.06.2026 17:30 ATP Wimbledon

S. Wawrinka

M. Berrettini

0 3

0 0 0 1 1 1

510