Werder Bremen vs Borussia Dortmund – Prediction (16.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Werder Bremen has struggled in their recent matches, with only one win in their last five games, including a loss to Hoffenheim and a draw against Stuttgart. Their overall performance shows a concerning trend with an average of 1.2 goals scored per game and 1.8 goals conceded in their last five matches. In contrast, Borussia Dortmund has been in better form, winning four of their last five matches, including a recent victory against Eintracht Frankfurt. They have averaged 1.6 goals scored and only 1.2 goals conceded in their last five outings.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In head-to-head encounters, Borussia Dortmund has a significant advantage, winning 9 out of the last 15 matches against Werder Bremen. The average goals per game in these encounters stands at 3.07, indicating a high-scoring tendency. Dortmund's recent matches have seen them maintain a strong offensive presence, with an average of 2.50 expected goals in their last match against Werder Bremen, while Bremen's expected goals have been lower, reflecting their struggles in attack.

Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 2
• 1st Half: 0 vs 1
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
• Corners: 4 vs 6
• Fouls: 12 vs 10
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 3
• Shots on target: 5 vs 6
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 45% vs 55%

In terms of tactics, Dortmund is expected to dominate possession and utilize their pace on the wings to exploit Bremen's defensive weaknesses. Bremen will likely adopt a counter-attacking strategy, aiming to capitalize on set-pieces and quick transitions, but they may struggle to maintain possession against Dortmund's pressing game.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Recent Form. Borussia Dortmund has won four of their last five matches, showcasing their attacking strength and defensive solidity.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. Dortmund has won 9 out of the last 15 encounters against Bremen, indicating a clear psychological edge.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities. Werder Bremen has conceded an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches, highlighting their defensive frailties against a potent Dortmund attack.

Match Prediction

16.05.2026 13:30 Bundesliga

Werder Bremen 1 0 1

Borussia Dortmund 2 1 1

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