FC St. Pauli vs VfL Wolfsburg – Prediction (16.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

FC St. Pauli has struggled in recent matches, with only 1 win in their last 10 games, resulting in a goal tally of just 3 goals scored and 12 conceded. This gives them an average of 0.6 goals per game while allowing 2.4 goals per game. In contrast, VfL Wolfsburg has shown slightly better form, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5 in their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals for and 1.0 against.

Their recent head-to-head encounters have also been telling, with FC St. Pauli failing to secure a win against Wolfsburg in their last 5 meetings, resulting in 4 draws and 1 loss.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last 5 encounters, the average goals per game stands at 2.20, with both teams having a high percentage of matches where both teams scored (80%). FC St. Pauli's home performance has been particularly weak, while Wolfsburg has managed to secure a win in their last match against Bayern Munich, indicating a potential boost in confidence.

Wolfsburg's ability to maintain possession (averaging 61% in their last match) and create scoring opportunities (with an xG of 1.88 in their last encounter) suggests they may dominate the midfield and create more chances against a struggling St. Pauli side.

FC St. Pauli — VfL Wolfsburg Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 1
• 1st Half: 0 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 1
• Corners: 6 vs 6
• Fouls: 12 vs 12
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 2
• Shots on target: 4 vs 4
• Offsides: 3 vs 3
• Possession: 48% vs 52%

Tactically, FC St. Pauli may adopt a defensive approach, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the counter, while Wolfsburg will likely focus on maintaining possession and breaking down the St. Pauli defense with quick passing and movement.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Head-to-Head Record. The last five encounters have resulted in 4 draws, indicating a competitive balance between the two teams.
• Recent Form Disparity. FC St. Pauli's poor form contrasts with Wolfsburg's slightly better performance, yet both teams have struggled to score consistently.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown weaknesses at the back, making a low-scoring draw a likely outcome.

Match Prediction

16.05.2026 13:30 Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli 1 0 1

VfL Wolfsburg 1 0 1

66

22

00