Lecce vs Genoa – (24.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Lecce has shown a strong performance in their recent matches, winning 3 out of their last 5 games, including a notable victory against Genoa in their most recent encounter. They have scored a total of 6 goals while conceding 4 in these matches, indicating a solid attacking and defensive balance. In contrast, Genoa has struggled, managing only 1 win in their last 5 matches, with a total of 1 goal scored and 5 conceded, reflecting their difficulties in both creating chances and defending effectively.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last match, Lecce achieved an expected goals (xG) value of 1.76, significantly higher than Genoa's 0.77, showcasing their offensive efficiency. Lecce also had a lower possession rate of 32% but managed to capitalize on their chances effectively. Genoa, despite having 68% possession in that match, failed to convert their dominance into goals, highlighting their inefficiency in the final third. The head-to-head record favors Genoa historically, but recent form heavily leans towards Lecce.

Lecce — Genoa Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 0
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 0
• Corners: 1 vs 6
• Fouls: 11 vs 6
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 0
• Shots on target: 4 vs 1
• Offsides: 3 vs 2
• Possession: 40% vs 60%

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Recent Form. Lecce has won 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their ability to perform under pressure.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. Despite historical trends favoring Genoa, Lecce's recent victory against them boosts their confidence.
• Defensive Solidity. Lecce's defense has only conceded 4 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a robust backline.

Match Prediction

24.05.2026 13:00 Serie A

Lecce 1 1 0

Genoa 0 0 0

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