22.06.2026
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Prediction U. Humbert vs Thomaz Bellucci — 23.06.2026

U. Humbert flag
ATP - 36
U. Humbert - Thomaz Bellucci
ATP Eastbourne 1/16-finals
June 23, 2026 12:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
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Seconds
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Thomaz Bellucci flag
ATP - 80
U. Humbert

Player Overview

Ugo Humbert, a left-handed player standing at 188 cm, has a career baseline win percentage of nearly 59.2% across all surfaces. With an Elo rating of 2093, he shows strength particularly on hard courts with a solid 2018 rating, but his recent trend indicates stability with a current two-year win percentage of 54.8%. His serve is effective, boasting a first serve win rate of 74.2%, which will be crucial as he faces Thomaz Bellucci.

Humbert's recent form has been mixed, with a win against Rinky Hijikata, but losses to Tommy Paul and H. Medjedovic in his last three outings. His last five matches show a win percentage of 60.0%, suggesting he is poised to challenge effectively. The upcoming match against Bellucci will be a test of his ability to maintain this form against a player with a declining trajectory.

Match results: U. Humbert

20 Jun 2026 ATP London
Tommy Paul
U. Humbert
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
U. Humbert
Rinky Hijikata
2 0
6 1
6 2
W
19 Jun 2026 ATP London
H. Medjedovic
U. Humbert
1 0
6 2
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
U. Humbert
M. Cilic
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
11 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
U. Humbert
Benjamin Bonzi
1 2
4 6
6 3
3 6
L
8 Jun 2026 ATP Hertogenbosch
U. Humbert
Elias Ymer
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
Quentin Halys
0 1
4 6
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
U. Humbert
Adrian Mannarino
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 3
W
21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
U. Humbert
2 1
6 3
5 7
6 3
L
20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
U. Humbert
K. Khachanov
2 1
6 3
3 6
W
Thomaz Bellucci

Player Overview

Thomaz Bellucci, at 175 cm, has a career baseline win percentage of 57.0% and a declining current two-year win rate of 47.3%. His Elo rating of 1961 reflects a challenging period, especially on grass, where he has yet to find his footing this season. His serve has been decent, with a first serve win percentage of 72.7%, but he needs to elevate his game to compete effectively.

Bellucci's recent results have been disappointing, losing to R. Collignon and Taylor Fritz, despite victories over A. Bublik and Alexander Bolt. He holds a last five win percentage of only 40.0%, indicating a struggle to maintain consistency. Facing Humbert, he will need to reverse this trend to avoid another early exit in this tournament.

Match results: Thomaz Bellucci

18 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
R. Collignon
Thomaz Bellucci
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
L
16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
Thomaz Bellucci
A. Bublik
1 0
6 1
W
14 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
Thomaz Bellucci
Alexander Bolt
2 0
7 5
6 3
W
13 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
Thomaz Bellucci
M. Kukushkin
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
12 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
Thomaz Bellucci
Taylor Fritz
1 2
7 5
5 7
5 7
L
10 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
Thomaz Bellucci
Yannick Hanfmann
2 0
7 5
6 2
W
8 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Thomaz Bellucci
0 2
2 6
1 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Birmingham
Thomaz Bellucci
Alexander Bolt
0 2
3 6
0 6
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
Quentin Halys
Thomaz Bellucci
2 0
6 3
6 3
L
11 May 2026 ATP Rome
Thomaz Bellucci
Martin Landaluce
0 2
4 6
3 6
L

Players Analysis

Ugo Humbert has shown a solid performance recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong showing in the ATP London tournament where he reached the semi-finals. His recent form indicates a stable trend with a win percentage of 60% over the last five matches. In contrast, Thomaz Bellucci has struggled, winning only 4 out of his last 10 matches, and his recent form shows a declining trend with a win percentage of 40% in the last five matches. Bellucci's performance in the ATP Halle was commendable, but he has faced challenges against higher-ranked opponents.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Ugo Humbert has a career win percentage of 59.2% and has been particularly effective on grass, which is the surface for this match. He has a higher ace percentage (9.1%) compared to Thomaz Bellucci's (7.9%), and Humbert has also been more reliable in saving break points (64.5% saved) compared to Bellucci's 61.9%. This statistical edge, combined with Humbert's recent form and head-to-head performance, suggests he is better positioned to win this matchup.

U. Humbert — Thomaz Bellucci Prediction

Given the recent performances and statistical analysis, Ugo Humbert is favored to win against Thomaz Bellucci. The prediction is for Humbert to win in straight sets, reflecting his current form and Bellucci's recent struggles.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Ugo Humbert, Set 2 - Ugo Humbert
  • Expected aces: 7
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Humbert is likely to utilize his strong serve to dominate the match, aiming for quick points and minimizing long rallies. Bellucci, on the other hand, may struggle to handle Humbert's powerful first serve and aggressive baseline play, which could lead to early break opportunities for Humbert.

3 Reasons Why U. Humbert Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors U. Humbert 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors U. Humbert.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, U. Humbert has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Thomaz Bellucci, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
23.06.2026 12:00 ATP Eastbourne
U. Humbert
Thomaz Bellucci
2 0
1 1 0 0
74
34
42