Tomas Tirante arrives at this match with a career baseline win percentage of 57.3%, reflecting a solid foundation in his game. His recent form over the last two years shows a notable uptick, with a win rate of 60.2%, indicating he is finding his rhythm despite the challenges on tour. Tirante’s current trajectory is stable, suggesting he can compete effectively on grass, where his Elo rating of 1472 illustrates his growing adaptability to this surface.
However, Tirante's recent results tell a different story. He has lost five consecutive matches, including a tough three-set defeat to Pablo Carreno Busta at the French Open. With no wins in his last five outings, the pressure mounts as he faces J. Fearnley. This match is crucial for Tirante to regain his footing and shake off the slump, especially in a tournament where he could leverage his improving grass game.
Match results: Tomas Tirante
29 May 2026ATP French Open
Tomas Tirante
P. Carreno-Busta
12
57
63
46
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Tomas Tirante
12
64
16
36
W
24 May 2026ATP French Open
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Tomas Tirante
02
36
06
W
18 May 2026ATP Geneva
A. Rinderknech
Tomas Tirante
20
64
61
L
12 May 2026ATP Rome
Tomas Tirante
Daniil Medvedev
02
36
26
L
11 May 2026ATP Rome
Francesco Cobolli
Tomas Tirante
02
36
46
W
9 May 2026ATP Rome
Tomas Tirante
Cameron Norrie
20
63
75
W
7 May 2026ATP Rome
Tomas Tirante
Giovanni Cadenasso
20
64
60
W
26 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
Cameron Norrie
Tomas Tirante
20
75
76
L
24 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
Tomas Tirante
Tommy Paul
20
75
64
W
J. Fearnley
Player Overview
Across the last 5 matches, J. Fearnley posts a 0-0 record, with sets at 0-0. The sample includes opponents such as a mixed opponent pool, which gives a practical read on current form.
For the upcoming fixture, the key point is straightforward: J. Fearnley wins when early-game pace is controlled and second-serve drop-offs are limited. This stretch was built on recent events, so match-to-match stability matters more than a single isolated result.
Match results: J. Fearnley
17 Jun 2026Nottingham
J. Fearnley
Benjamin Bonzi
01
16
L
16 Jun 2026Nottingham
D. Sweeny
J. Fearnley
02
16
26
W
14 Jun 2026Ilkley
J. Fearnley
Yifan Bu
01
36
L
13 Jun 2026Ilkley
J. Fearnley
Filippo Romano
20
63
64
W
13 Jun 2026Ilkley
Dar. Blanch
J. Fearnley
02
W
12 Jun 2026Ilkley
Kevin Smith
J. Fearnley
12
64
57
46
W
10 Jun 2026Ilkley
L. Nardi
J. Fearnley
12
64
06
36
W
2 Jun 2026Birmingham
J. Fearnley
Rinky Hijikata
01
16
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
J. Fearnley
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
01
26
L
12 May 2026Bordeaux
T. Droguet
J. Fearnley
20
62
62
L
Players Analysis
Tomas Tirante has shown a solid performance recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including victories against notable players like Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Pablo Llamas Ruiz. His recent form on clay has been impressive, with a win percentage of 70% in his last 10 matches. In contrast, Jacob Fearnley has struggled, winning only 3 out of his last 10 matches, with a recent win percentage of just 30%. His losses include matches against lower-ranked opponents, indicating a dip in form.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of serve statistics, Tomas Tirante has a higher ace percentage (8.7%) compared to Jacob Fearnley (7.1%), which could give him an edge in service games. Additionally, Tirante's double fault percentage is lower at 3.2% compared to Fearnley's 7.4%. With both players having no previous head-to-head matches, recent form and serve reliability will be crucial in determining the outcome of this match.
Tomas Tirante — J. Fearnley Prediction
Considering the recent performances and statistical advantages, Tomas Tirante is favored to win this match. His strong serve and recent form on clay suggest he will be able to capitalize on Fearnley's struggles. The expected score is likely to reflect Tirante's dominance in the match.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Tomas Tirante, Set 2 - Tomas Tirante
Expected aces: 6
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
Tomas Tirante's ability to maintain pressure on Fearnley with his serve will be key. If he can secure early breaks in both sets, it will likely lead to a straightforward victory. Fearnley's recent struggles suggest he may find it challenging to respond effectively to Tirante's aggressive play.
3 Reasons Why Tomas Tirante Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Tomas Tirante 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Tomas Tirante.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Tomas Tirante has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than J. Fearnley, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
23.06.2026 12:00ATP Eastbourne
Tomas Tirante
J. Fearnley
20
1100
63
24
41
Where to watch Tomas Tirante vs J. Fearnley
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