Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen his career win percentage dip to 66.2%, with a current two-year win rate of 55.2%, suggesting a struggle to maintain his previous elite form. His recent performances have shown a declining trend, with a 40% win rate over the last five matches, raising questions about his confidence on the court. His Elo rating of 2089 reflects his past successes, but recent losses indicate he’s grappling with consistency on all surfaces, particularly on clay.
Tsitsipas enters this match after a disappointing exit at the ATP French Open, where he lost to Matteo Arnaldi and fell to Liam Tien in Geneva. He has yet to capture a win in his last five outings, which is concerning as he faces I. Buse, who has been more competitive recently. If Tsitsipas doesn’t turn things around soon, his ability to contend at significant tournaments may be in jeopardy.
Match results: Stefanos Tsitsipas
28 May 2026ATP French Open
Matteo Arnaldi
Stefanos Tsitsipas
21
57
63
62
L
26 May 2026ATP French Open
Antoine Muller
Stefanos Tsitsipas
02
26
W
20 May 2026ATP Geneva
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Liam Tien
02
L
18 May 2026ATP Geneva
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Gabriel Mpetshi Perricard
10
64
W
7 May 2026ATP Rome
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Tommy Machac
01
46
L
28 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Casper Ruud
12
L
27 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Diego Merida Aguilar
20
64
62
W
25 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
A. Bublik
Stefanos Tsitsipas
02
26
57
W
23 Apr 2026ATP Madrid
P. Kypson
Stefanos Tsitsipas
10
63
L
15 Apr 2026ATP Munich
F. Marozsan
Stefanos Tsitsipas
21
36
64
L
I. Buse
Player Overview
I. Buse is currently enjoying a solid run, boasting a career win percentage of 62.1% and a current two-year win rate of 63.0%. His recent form has been impressive, with an 80% winning rate in his last ten matches, indicating an upward trajectory. Buse's performance has been bolstered by a robust return game, winning over 41% of return points, which could pose a challenge for Tsitsipas.
Buse's last match was a loss to Brandon Nakashima, but prior to that, he secured a victory against Marcos Giron, showcasing his capability to compete at a high level. His recent competitions have shown promise, and facing a slumping Tsitsipas offers Buse an opportunity to capitalize on his opponent's vulnerabilities. A win here could signify a breakthrough for Buse as he aims to establish himself in the ATP ranks.
Match results: I. Buse
17 Jun 2026ATP London
B. Nakashima
I. Buse
20
62
62
L
16 Jun 2026ATP London
I. Buse
M. Giron
21
36
75
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
I. Buse
Rafael Jodar
00
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
I. Buse
Andrey Rublev
03
36
36
57
L
23 May 2026ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
Tommy Paul
21
46
63
W
22 May 2026ATP Hamburg
A. Kovacevic
I. Buse
02
16
46
W
21 May 2026ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
U. Humbert
21
63
57
63
W
20 May 2026ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
Jakub Mensik
20
60
63
W
19 May 2026ATP Hamburg
Francesco Cobolli
I. Buse
02
26
57
W
17 May 2026ATP Hamburg
I. Buse
Hugo Gaston
20
61
62
W
Players Analysis
Stefanos Tsitsipas has had a challenging recent form, winning only 4 out of his last 10 matches, which includes a notable loss at the French Open. His performance on clay has been inconsistent, with a win percentage of 40% in his last five matches. In contrast, Ignacio Buse has shown impressive form, winning 8 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in Hamburg where he won the tournament. Buse's recent success highlights his rising competitive edge.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In terms of overall statistics, Tsitsipas has a career win percentage of 66.2%, but his recent form indicates a decline, especially on clay where he has struggled. Buse, on the other hand, boasts a win percentage of 62.1% overall and has been on an upward trend with an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches. Buse's serve stats are also notable, with a lower double fault percentage compared to Tsitsipas, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.
Stefanos Tsitsipas — Ignacio Buse Prediction
Given the current form and recent performances, Ignacio Buse is slightly favored to win this match against Stefanos Tsitsipas. Buse's recent success and higher win percentage in the last 10 matches provide him with a competitive edge. The prediction is for Buse to win in a closely contested match.
Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Ignacio Buse, Set 2 - Stefanos Tsitsipas, Set 3 - Ignacio Buse
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 3
Break points: 4
In terms of tactical expectations, Buse is likely to exploit Tsitsipas's recent struggles with consistency, particularly in high-pressure situations. Buse's ability to maintain a strong serve and capitalize on break points will be crucial in determining the outcome of the match. Tsitsipas will need to improve his first serve percentage to have a chance against Buse's aggressive play.
3 Reasons Why I. Buse Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors I. Buse 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors I. Buse.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, I. Buse has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Stefanos Tsitsipas, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
23.06.2026 11:00ATP Mallorca
Stefanos Tsitsipas
I. Buse
12
010101
57
32
45
Where to watch Stefanos Tsitsipas vs I. Buse
ATP Tour Official Website - Visit the official ATP Tour website for match schedules, results, and broadcast information.
Tennis TV - Official streaming service for ATP matches, including live and on-demand coverage.
ESPN Tennis - Check ESPN for broadcast details and live coverage of ATP events.
Sky Sports Tennis - Sky Sports provides coverage and updates on ATP tournaments.
BBC Sport Tennis - BBC Sport offers news, live scores, and broadcast information for tennis events.
