22.06.2026
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Prediction Lucas Pigossi vs Oksana Dodin — 23.06.2026

Lucas Pigossi flag
ATP - 242
Lucas Pigossi - Oksana Dodin
Wimbledon
June 23, 2026 12:00
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Oksana Dodin flag
ATP - 517
Lucas Pigossi

Player Overview

Lucas Pigossi, currently holding a career win percentage of 53.8%, has found himself in a challenging spot. With an Elo rating of 1890 and a tendency to excel on clay, his recent struggles have marked a decline in form, reflected in a win rate of just 48.2% over the past two years. Despite a recent uptick, winning four out of five matches, his overall trajectory remains concerning, particularly on grass where he holds a mere 1433 Elo rating.

In his last five matches, Pigossi has faced a mix of opponents, managing two victories but succumbing to stronger players like Chung Hsing Liu and Domenico Chiesa. This inconsistency raises questions about his readiness for the upcoming encounter against Oksana Dodin, who has shown more steadiness in her recent performances. With the stakes high at Wimbledon, Pigossi will need to leverage his home-court advantage to make an impact.

Match results: Lucas Pigossi

5 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
Lucas Pigossi
Domenico Chiesa
0 2
1 6
0 6
L
4 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
Lucas Pigossi
Anastasia Tikhonova
2 0
6 1
6 2
W
2 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
Lucas Pigossi
Gabriella Da Silva Fick
2 0
6 2
6 1
W
19 May 2026 WTA French Open
Lucas Pigossi
Chung Hsing Liu
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
8 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Lucas Pigossi
Gonzalo Maristany
0 2
0 6
2 6
L
7 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Linda Fruhvirtova
Lucas Pigossi
1 2
7 5
2 6
W
5 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Lucas Pigossi
L. Cortez Llorca
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 3
W
30 Apr 2026 La Bisbal D'Emporda
Lucas Pigossi
Daria Kasatkina
0 2
2 6
2 6
L
28 Apr 2026 La Bisbal D'Emporda
Varvara Lepchenko
Lucas Pigossi
1 2
6 3
5 7
3 6
W
27 Apr 2026 La Bisbal D'Emporda
Lucas Pigossi
M. A. Teixido Garcia
2 0
7 5
6 4
W
Oksana Dodin

Player Overview

Oksana Dodin enters this matchup with a career win percentage of 59.9%, but her current form suggests a troubling decline, evidenced by a 44.0% win rate over the last two years. While her overall Elo rating of 1924 indicates a solid baseline, her recent performance has been shaky, highlighted by a drop in form with only a 20.0% win rate in her last five matches on tour.

Dodin's recent form includes a notable victory against Kaitlyn Day at the WTA French Open, but losses to Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Gabriela Ruse have overshadowed that success. As she prepares to face Pigossi, the pressure will be on her to translate her historical success into a strong performance at Wimbledon, where she must overcome the recent trend of disappointing results to progress further.

Match results: Oksana Dodin

20 May 2026 WTA French Open
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Oksana Dodin
2 0
6 1
6 0
L
18 May 2026 WTA French Open
Kaitlyn Day
Oksana Dodin
1 2
4 6
6 2
W
4 May 2026 WTA Rome
Gabriela Ruse
Oksana Dodin
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
20 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
Kateryna Volynets
Oksana Dodin
2 1
6 0
4 6
6 1
L
12 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Oksana Dodin
2 0
6 1
6 1
L
11 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
Oksana Dodin
Katharina Deichmann
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
5 Apr 2026 WTA Linz
Kateryna Volynets
Oksana Dodin
2 0
6 4
6 0
L
24 Feb 2026 W75 Porto 2
Amina Akli
Oksana Dodin
2 0
6 0
7 5
L
18 Feb 2026 Les Sables d'Olonne
Dmitry Martynov
Oksana Dodin
2 1
4 6
6 0
7 5
L
17 Feb 2026 Les Sables d'Olonne
Oksana Dodin
Tamara Korpatsch
2 0
6 2
6 2
W

Players Analysis

Lucas Pigossi has shown a mixed form recently, with a win rate of 60% over the last 10 matches. However, his last match resulted in a loss, indicating some inconsistency. Oksana Dodin, on the other hand, has struggled significantly, winning only 30% of her last 10 matches, which reflects a declining trend in her performance.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Lucas Pigossi has a higher ace percentage (1.1%) compared to Oksana Dodin (6.4%), but Dodin has a better overall win percentage on her first serve (67.9% vs. 55.7%). The head-to-head record shows that Dodin won their only previous encounter in 2019, but Pigossi's recent form on clay suggests he may have improved since then. Given the surface of the match at Wimbledon, which favors Dodin's playing style, the match could be competitive.

Lucas Pigossi — Oksana Dodin Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head history, Lucas Pigossi is slightly favored to win this match. His recent performance has been better than Dodin's, and he has shown the ability to win matches against lower-ranked opponents. The predicted score is likely to reflect a close match, potentially going to three sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: Lucas Pigossi, 2nd set: Oksana Dodin, 3rd set: Lucas Pigossi
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Pigossi may look to exploit Dodin's weaker serve and capitalize on break point opportunities, while Dodin will need to focus on her first serve to avoid giving Pigossi easy points. The match could hinge on who can maintain their serve under pressure.

3 Reasons Why Lucas Pigossi Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Lucas Pigossi 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Lucas Pigossi.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Lucas Pigossi has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Oksana Dodin, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
23.06.2026 12:00 Wimbledon
Lucas Pigossi
Oksana Dodin
2 1
1 0 1 0 1 0
53
34
42