22.06.2026
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Prediction Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina — 23.06.2026

WTA - 21
Liudmila Samsonova - Elina Svitolina
WTA Bad Homburg 1/8-finals
June 23, 2026 11:00
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Elina Svitolina flag
WTA - 13
Liudmila Samsonova

Player Overview

Liudmila Samsonova, standing at 180 cm, has carved out a solid career with a 58.5% win rate over 518 matches. Her current performance over the last two years reflects a 50.7% win rate, indicating a plateau in her game. Despite a career Elo rating of 2130 and a decent record on hard courts, her recent form trend is steady but uninspiring, with only 30% wins in her last ten matches.

Samsonova's recent outings have been challenging, with a string of losses that include defeats to Jil Teichmann and Daria Kasatkina in significant tournaments. Her only recent victory came against Katerina Siniakova, which might provide a glimmer of hope. However, entering this match against Elina Svitolina, the lack of consistency raises concerns about her ability to capitalize on opportunities, especially in a competitive event like the WTA Bad Homburg.

Match results: Liudmila Samsonova

21 Jun 2026 WTA Bad Homburg
Liudmila Samsonova
K. Siniakova
2 0
6 3
7 5
W
15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Mertens
Liudmila Samsonova
2 1
1 6
6 3
6 0
L
8 Jun 2026 WTA London
Harriet Dart
Liudmila Samsonova
2 1
5 7
6 4
6 3
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
Liudmila Samsonova
Jil Teichmann
0 2
4 6
4 6
L
18 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
Daria Kasatkina
Liudmila Samsonova
2 0
7 5
6 3
L
10 May 2026 WTA Rome
Liudmila Samsonova
Anastasia Potapova
0 2
3 6
2 6
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
Liudmila Samsonova
Ang Li
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
26 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
Linda Noskova
Liudmila Samsonova
1 0
L
24 Apr 2026 WTA Madrid
Jasmine Tjen
Liudmila Samsonova
0 2
2 6
1 6
W
16 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
Liudmila Samsonova
Coco Gauff
0 2
5 7
1 6
L
Elina Svitolina

Player Overview

Elina Svitolina boasts an impressive career win percentage of 66.4% across 840 matches, with a robust current form of 75% over the last two years. Her Elo rating of 2487 illustrates her status as a formidable competitor, particularly on hard courts where she has found success. Svitolina's game features a strong first serve and consistent return game, making her a challenging opponent on any surface.

In her recent matches, Svitolina has shown signs of resurgence, winning against Anastasia Kalinskaya and winning a match against E. Lys before a setback against Alex Eala. Her recent performance indicates a stable trend, with an 80% win rate in her last five outings. As she prepares to face Samsonova, Svitolina's blend of experience and recent form suggests she will be the player to watch in this matchup, poised to take advantage of any mistakes from her opponent.

Match results: Elina Svitolina

19 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
Elina Svitolina
Alex Eala
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
18 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
Elina Svitolina
E. Lys
2 0
6 3
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
Elina Svitolina
A. Kalinskaya
2 0
6 1
4 1
W
2 Jun 2026 WTA French Open
Elina Svitolina
Marta Kostyuk
1 2
3 6
6 2
2 6
L
31 May 2026 WTA French Open
Elina Svitolina
Brian Bencic
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 0
W
29 May 2026 WTA French Open
Elina Svitolina
Tamara Korpatsch
2 0
6 2
6 3
W
27 May 2026 WTA French Open
Elina Svitolina
Karina Quevedo
2 0
6 0
6 4
W
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
Elina Svitolina
Artur Bondar
2 1
3 6
6 1
W
16 May 2026 WTA Rome
Coco Gauff
Elina Svitolina
0 2
4 6
2 6
W
14 May 2026 WTA Rome
Iga Swiatek
Elina Svitolina
1 2
4 6
6 2
2 6
W

Players Analysis

Liudmila Samsonova has struggled recently, winning only 3 of her last 10 matches, with a win percentage of 30.0% in that span. Her recent performances include losses to lower-ranked opponents, indicating a dip in form. In contrast, Elina Svitolina has been in excellent form, winning 9 of her last 10 matches, showcasing a win percentage of 90.0%. This includes victories against higher-ranked players, demonstrating her current competitive edge.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Samsonova's serve statistics reveal a career ace percentage of 7.1%, but her recent form shows a decline with only 5.1% in the last two years. She has also faced a significant number of double faults, averaging 5.0% recently. Svitolina, on the other hand, has a lower ace percentage of 4.2% but a better double fault rate at 3.9%. Her ability to save break points (62.1%) is also superior to Samsonova's (56.7%), which could be crucial in tight situations during their match.

Liudmila Samsonova — Elina Svitolina Prediction

Considering the recent form and statistical advantages, Elina Svitolina is favored to win this match. Her strong performance in recent tournaments, combined with a higher win percentage and better serve reliability, positions her as the likely victor. The predicted score is a 2-0 win for Svitolina, with her taking both sets decisively.

  • Final score in sets: 2-0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Elina Svitolina, Set 2 - Elina Svitolina
  • Expected aces: 3
  • Double faults: 2
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Svitolina is likely to employ a consistent baseline strategy, utilizing her superior return game to pressure Samsonova's serve. Given Samsonova's recent struggles, Svitolina may focus on exploiting her opponent's weaknesses, particularly in crucial points where break opportunities arise.

3 Reasons Why Elina Svitolina Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Elina Svitolina 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Elina Svitolina.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Elina Svitolina has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Liudmila Samsonova, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
23.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
Liudmila Samsonova
Elina Svitolina
0 2
0 0 1 1
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