22.06.2026
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Prediction Gonzalo Maristany vs Jessica Ortenzi — 23.06.2026

Gonzalo Maristany flag
ATP - 189
Gonzalo Maristany - Jessica Ortenzi
Wimbledon
June 23, 2026 12:00
Days
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Hours
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Jessica Ortenzi flag
ATP - 169
Gonzalo Maristany

Player Overview

Gonzalo Maristany, with a career win percentage of nearly 58%, has shown a marked improvement recently, boasting a 70% win rate over his last ten matches. His two-year trajectory indicates a solid 56.8% win rate, suggesting he is finding his footing on the tour. With an Elo rating of 1994 and a strong performance on clay, Maristany's serve is becoming a weapon, particularly with a first serve in percentage hovering around 66.7%.

However, Maristany's recent form presents a mixed picture. After a strong showing in the W75 Zaragoza, where he won three consecutive matches, he faltered against Karina Quevedo at the WTA French Open. His last match saw him lose to J. Ruggeri, raising questions about his consistency. As he heads into this match at Wimbledon, he needs to capitalize on his recent clay success and find a way to translate that to grass as he faces Jessica Ortenzi.

Match results: Gonzalo Maristany

30 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
J. Ruggeri
Gonzalo Maristany
2 0
7 5
6 4
L
29 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
Gonzalo Maristany
Elizabeth Mandlik
2 0
7 5
6 0
W
28 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
Gonzalo Maristany
A. Teixido Garcia
2 0
6 1
6 0
W
27 May 2026 W75 Zaragoza (Spain)
Gonzalo Maristany
Anastasia Tikhonova
2 0
6 2
6 4
W
22 May 2026 WTA French Open
Gonzalo Maristany
Karina Quevedo
1 2
6 3
4 6
3 6
L
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
Kaja Juvan
Gonzalo Maristany
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
19 May 2026 WTA French Open
Gonzalo Maristany
Jasmine Belgraver
2 0
6 4
6 1
W
9 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Donna Vekic
Gonzalo Maristany
2 0
6 4
6 3
L
8 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Lucas Pigossi
Gonzalo Maristany
0 2
0 6
2 6
W
6 May 2026 Istanbul (Turkey) - Qualification
Storm Hunter
Gonzalo Maristany
0 2
2 6
1 6
W
Jessica Ortenzi

Player Overview

Jessica Ortenzi has carved out a respectable career with a 64.7% win percentage, reflecting her ability to compete at a high level. Her current two-year form is commendable at 62.1%, with a recent trend that remains stable, maintaining a 70% win rate over her last ten matches. While her Elo rating is slightly lower at 1904, Ortenzi's serve has proven effective, particularly with a first serve in percentage of 66.8%.

Ortenzi's recent results tell a story of ups and downs. After a promising victory against Francesca Pace, she stumbled in her last match against Elina Yaneva, highlighting her struggle to maintain momentum. With a recent loss to Karina Quevedo in a prior tournament, she faces challenges entering Wimbledon. Consistency will be vital against Gonzalo Maristany, who has shown flashes of brilliance, and Ortenzi will need to elevate her game to seize this opportunity.

Match results: Jessica Ortenzi

18 Jun 2026 Brescia (Italy) - Qualification
Jessica Ortenzi
E. Yaneva
0 2
2 6
1 6
L
16 Jun 2026 Brescia (Italy) - Qualification
Jessica Ortenzi
F. Pace
2 0
6 3
6 3
W
8 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
Karina Quevedo
Jessica Ortenzi
2 0
6 3
6 4
L
7 Jun 2026 Modena (Italy) - Qualification
Jessica Ortenzi
V. Turini
2 1
0 6
7 5
6 0
W
4 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
Jessica Ortenzi
M. Lombardini
0 2
4 6
2 6
L
3 Jun 2026 W75 Caserta
Jessica Ortenzi
Bianca Ricci
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
20 May 2026 WTA French Open
Alina Korneeva
Jessica Ortenzi
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 2
L
18 May 2026 WTA French Open
Anna Rus
Jessica Ortenzi
1 2
4 6
6 1
W
9 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
Karina Liutova
Jessica Ortenzi
2 1
6 1
2 6
L
8 May 2026 W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL
Jessica Ortenzi
Elena Kalieva
2 1
6 4
5 7
6 3
W

Players Analysis

Gonzalo Maristany has shown strong form recently, winning 7 out of his last 10 matches, including a solid performance at the W75 Zaragoza tournament where he reached the semi-finals. His recent matches indicate a high level of competitiveness, particularly on clay, with a notable win against Elizabeth Mandlik (2-0) in the quarter-finals. In contrast, Jessica Ortenzi has also been performing well, winning 7 out of her last 10 matches, but her recent loss to Marta Lombardini (0-2) in the W75 Caserta tournament raises some concerns about her current form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Gonzalo Maristany has recorded 83 aces and 329 double faults in his career, with a service points won percentage of 58.9%. Jessica Ortenzi, on the other hand, has 79 aces and 253 double faults, with a slightly better service points won percentage of 58.6%. Both players have shown resilience in saving break points, with Maristany saving 50.1% and Ortenzi saving 52.8%. The match will be played on grass, a surface that favors powerful serves and quick points, which may benefit both players given their serve statistics.

Gonzalo Maristany — Jessica Ortenzi Prediction

Considering the recent form and serve statistics, Gonzalo Maristany is slightly favored to win this match against Jessica Ortenzi. Maristany's higher win percentage in recent matches and his ability to perform well in crucial moments gives him an edge. The predicted score is expected to reflect a competitive match, likely going to three sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2-1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Gonzalo Maristany, Set 2: Jessica Ortenzi, Set 3: Gonzalo Maristany
  • Expected aces: 7
  • Double faults: 4
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Maristany may look to dominate with his serve early in the match, aiming to secure quick points and put pressure on Ortenzi. Conversely, Ortenzi will need to focus on returning serve effectively and capitalizing on any break point opportunities that arise, particularly in the second set where she may find her rhythm.

3 Reasons Why Gonzalo Maristany Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Gonzalo Maristany 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Gonzalo Maristany.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Gonzalo Maristany has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Jessica Ortenzi, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
23.06.2026 12:00 Wimbledon
Gonzalo Maristany
Jessica Ortenzi
2 1
1 0 1 0 1 0
75
43
54