Cross has struggled recently, with a career win percentage of 57.1% across 231 matches, but her current form reflects a decline, winning only 53.6% of her last 69 matches. Her Elo rating sits at 1871, indicating a solid overall standing, but on grass, her performance dips with a rating of just 1440. This season, her last five matches have all ended in losses, marking a troubling trend that could weigh heavily in this matchup.
In her last encounter with Maria Stoiana, Cross was unable to secure a win, resulting in a disappointing draw. Her recent results have shown no victories in the last five matches, with a notable defeat against Tereza Martincova and a loss to Mingge Xu. With no wins in her last ten matches, Cross must find a way to turn her fortunes around on the Wimbledon grass, where she will need to dig deep to break this cycle.
Match results: Cross
23 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
Cross
Maria Stoiana
00
L
8 Jun 2026Ilkley
Cross
Tereza Martincova
02
36
46
L
7 Jun 2026Ilkley
Cross
M. Knight
20
61
61
W
30 May 2026Birmingham
Mingge Xu
Cross
21
63
57
60
L
19 May 2026WTA French Open
Renata Sramkova
Cross
20
64
60
L
24 Apr 2026W100 Charlottesville, VA
Cross
A. Urhobo
02
26
36
L
23 Apr 2026W100 Charlottesville, VA
Cross
Katherine Scott
10
75
W
22 Apr 2026W100 Charlottesville, VA
Cross
Evelyn Cayetano
20
64
62
W
11 Apr 2026WTA Billie Jean King Cup
Svetlana Zhiyenbayeva
Cross
00
L
10 Apr 2026WTA Billie Jean King Cup
Yulia Putintseva
Cross
20
63
75
L
Maria Stoiana
Player Overview
Maria Stoiana brings a career win percentage of 58.3% based on 115 matches, and her current form is relatively stable with a 55.2% win rate over the last two years. Her Elo rating of 1965 suggests she is a formidable opponent, especially on grass where she has a rating of 1519. However, her recent form shows signs of decline, marked by a 40% win rate in her last five matches.
Stoiana's last match against Cross ended in a draw, but prior to that, she achieved a victory over Tatiana Prozorova. Despite losing to C. Naef, her wins against Liang Sun and Kaitlyn Day indicate she has the potential to perform well. With a mixed record leading into this match, Stoiana must capitalize on any weaknesses Cross presents if she hopes to secure a win at Wimbledon.
Match results: Maria Stoiana
23 Jun 2026WTA Wimbledon
Cross
Maria Stoiana
00
L
13 Jun 2026Ilkley
Maria Stoiana
C. Naef
12
61
36
46
L
12 Jun 2026Ilkley
Maria Stoiana
Tatiana Prozorova
20
75
61
W
12 Jun 2026Ilkley
Liang Sun
Maria Stoiana
02
26
36
W
9 Jun 2026Ilkley
Kaitlyn Day
Maria Stoiana
02
57
46
W
5 Jun 2026Birmingham
R. Masarova
Maria Stoiana
21
64
36
60
L
4 Jun 2026Birmingham
C. Naef
Maria Stoiana
12
57
62
W
21 May 2026WTA French Open
Alyssa Krueger
Maria Stoiana
20
63
61
L
20 May 2026WTA French Open
Maria Stoiana
M. Jorge
20
64
64
W
18 May 2026WTA French Open
Maria Stoiana
S. Janicijevic
21
36
64
64
W
Players Analysis
Kayla Cross has struggled in her recent matches, with a win percentage of only 40% over her last ten matches. Her performance on grass has been particularly poor, losing her last match at the Birmingham 125 tournament. In contrast, Mary Stoiana has shown better form, winning 60% of her last ten matches, including a recent victory over Celine Naef. Stoiana's ability to perform under pressure has been evident, especially in her recent matches on grass.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their only previous encounter, Mary Stoiana defeated Kayla Cross 1-0 in sets, showcasing her dominance in that match. Stoiana's overall win percentage stands at 58.3%, while Cross's is at 57.1%. On grass, Stoiana has a better recent record compared to Cross, who has struggled on this surface. Additionally, Stoiana has a higher ace percentage and lower double fault rate, which could play a crucial role in this matchup.
Cross — Maria Stoiana Prediction
Given the recent form and head-to-head results, Mary Stoiana is favored to win this match. Her superior performance on grass and recent victories suggest she will take the match in straight sets.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Mary Stoiana, Set 2 - Mary Stoiana
Expected aces: 3
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4
Strategically, Stoiana is likely to focus on her serve, aiming to exploit Cross's weaknesses on grass. She may employ aggressive baseline play to keep Cross on the defensive, capitalizing on any opportunities to break serve early in the match.
3 Reasons Why Maria Stoiana Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Maria Stoiana 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Maria Stoiana.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Maria Stoiana has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Cross, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
23.06.2026 12:00WTA Wimbledon
Cross
Maria Stoiana
02
0011
23
21
14
Where to watch Cross vs Maria Stoiana
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