22.06.2026
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Prediction Ang Li vs E. Alexandrova — 23.06.2026

Ang Li flag
WTA - 29
Ang Li - E. Alexandrova
WTA Bad Homburg 1/16-finals
June 23, 2026 11:00
Days
00
Hours
00
Minutes
00
Seconds
00
WTA - 10

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 3
H2H W-L 1-0-2
Avg sets per match 2.00
Last 5 W-L 1-2
Last 3 W-L 1-2
Current streak W1
Sets balance 0
Avg sets (last 5) 2.00
Sets range 1-3
3-set matches 1 (33%)
2-0 / 2-1 split 0/1 • 1/0
33% 1 Wins
0% 0 Draws
67% 2 Wins
Last 3 matches
Date
Match
Score
Tournament
Surface
19 May 2026
Ang Li - E. Alexandrova
2:1 (4-6, 6-4, 6-3)
WTA Strasbourg
8 Oct 2025
E. Alexandrova - Ang Li
1:0 (6-2)
Wuhan
2 Apr 2025
E. Alexandrova - Ang Li
2:0 (6-3, 6-0)
Charleston
Ang Li

Player Overview

Ang Li has yet to find her footing on the professional circuit, languishing with a career baseline win percentage close to 0% across all surfaces. Over the past two years, she has not logged a single victory, reflecting a steep decline in performance. Her Elo rating indicates she is currently in a challenging spot, with little to suggest a turnaround is imminent.

In her recent outings, Ang Li's situation has not improved, suffering defeats in her last two matches at the WTA Nottingham, including a loss to Viktorija Golubic. With no wins from her last five matches, she faces E. Alexandrova in Bad Homburg under significant pressure to reverse her fortunes. Her lack of competitive edge raises concerns about her ability to challenge Alexandrova effectively.

Match results: Ang Li

19 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Ang Li
Viktorija Golubic
1 2
3 6
6 2
3 6
L
18 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Ang Li
Tiffany Preston
2 1
5 7
6 2
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 WTA Nottingham
Ang Li
Kimberly Birrell
2 1
4 6
6 4
W
28 May 2026 WTA French Open
Ang Li
D Parr
0 2
3 6
4 6
L
26 May 2026 WTA French Open
Ang Li
S. Zhang
2 0
6 4
6 2
W
22 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
E. Navarro
Ang Li
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
21 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
Marie Bouzkova
Ang Li
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
Ang Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
W
17 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
M. Joint
Ang Li
0 2
1 6
2 6
W
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
Liudmila Samsonova
Ang Li
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
E. Alexandrova

Player Overview

E. Alexandrova, standing at 175 cm, has a career win percentage of nearly 60% and has been a consistent performer on the tour, though her recent form is troubling. Over the last two years, she has won 53 matches against 37 losses, placing her in a solid position overall, but her current trend shows a steep decline with just 20% wins in her last ten matches. This downturn is compounded by a recent Elo rating of 2154, indicating a drop in competitive power.

Alexandrova's latest results include a disappointing loss to Aryna Sabalenka at the WTA Berlin, which adds to a string of recent defeats. Despite a victory against Anastasia Potapova just prior, her overall trajectory suggests vulnerability. Facing Ang Li, whose recent performances have been bleak, Alexandrova must capitalize on this opportunity to regain her footing in the tournament.

Match results: E. Alexandrova

17 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
Aryna Sabalenka
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
15 Jun 2026 WTA Berlin
E. Alexandrova
Anastasia Potapova
1 0
6 1
W
8 Jun 2026 WTA Hertogenbosch
E. Alexandrova
Panna Udvardy
0 1
4 6
L
25 May 2026 WTA French Open
Camilo Osorio
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 2
6 4
L
19 May 2026 WTA Strasbourg
Ang Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
4 6
6 4
6 3
L
8 May 2026 WTA Rome
E. Alexandrova
Laura Siegemund
0 2
4 6
1 6
L
16 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
Linda Noskova
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
14 Apr 2026 WTA Stuttgart
E. Alexandrova
Grace Knutson
2 0
6 2
6 2
W
9 Apr 2026 WTA Linz
Karolina Pliskova
E. Alexandrova
2 0
6 1
6 3
L
2 Apr 2026 WTA Charleston
Yulia Starodubtseva
E. Alexandrova
0 0
L

Players Analysis

Ang Li and Ekaterina Alexandrova are set to face off in the first round of the WTA Bad Homburg tournament. Ang Li has shown some promising form recently, winning 3 out of her last 10 matches, including a notable victory against Alexandrova just weeks ago. In contrast, Alexandrova has struggled, losing 7 of her last 10 matches, which includes a recent defeat to Li in Strasbourg. This matchup will be crucial for both players as they seek to regain momentum.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their previous encounters, Alexandrova has a slight edge with 2 wins out of 3 matches against Li. However, Li's recent victory in their last meeting suggests she has the capability to challenge Alexandrova effectively. On the serve statistics, Alexandrova has a higher ace count historically, but her recent form has seen a decline in her serving stats, which could play a pivotal role in this match. Both players have shown vulnerability on their service games, with Alexandrova averaging more double faults in her recent matches compared to Li.

Ang Li — Ekaterina Alexandrova Prediction

Given the recent form and their head-to-head record, Ang Li is favored to win this matchup. Li's recent victory over Alexandrova and her improved performance in the last few tournaments suggest she can capitalize on Alexandrova's current struggles. The prediction is for a competitive match, likely to go to three sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2:1
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Ang Li, Set 2: Ekaterina Alexandrova, Set 3: Ang Li
  • Expected aces: 4
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Ang Li will likely focus on exploiting Alexandrova's second serve, which has been less reliable recently. Li's ability to return effectively and pressure Alexandrova during crucial points will be key to her success in this match.

3 Reasons Why Ang Li Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Ang Li 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Ang Li.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Ang Li has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than E. Alexandrova, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
23.06.2026 11:00 WTA Bad Homburg
Ang Li
E. Alexandrova
2 1
1 0 1 0 1 0
43
34
54