Prediction Mark Ceban vs R. Carballes Baena — 22.06.2026

Players Analysis

Mark Ceban has struggled in his recent matches, losing all of his last ten encounters. His performance has been particularly poor, with a win percentage of 0.0% over his last 10 matches. In contrast, Roberto Carballes Baena has shown better form, winning 5 out of his last 10 matches, giving him a win percentage of 50.0%. This stark difference in recent performance suggests a significant advantage for Carballes Baena.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Mark Ceban's serve statistics reveal a concerning trend, with only 1 ace and 8 double faults recorded in his career. His first serve win percentage stands at 63.6%, which is relatively low. On the other hand, Roberto Carballes Baena has a much more favorable serve record, with 213 aces and a double fault percentage of 3.2%. This indicates a greater ability to win points on serve, which will be crucial in a best-of-5 format. Additionally, Ceban has a career win percentage of 0.0% across all surfaces, while Carballes Baena boasts a career win percentage of 58.0%, further emphasizing the disparity in their competitive levels.

Mark Ceban — R. Carballes Baena Prediction

Given the significant differences in recent form and overall career statistics, Roberto Carballes Baena is favored to win this match against Mark Ceban. Ceban's inability to secure victories in his last ten matches and Carballes Baena's solid performance in recent tournaments suggest a likely outcome in favor of the latter.

• Final score in sets: 3-0
• Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: R. Carballes Baena, 2nd set: R. Carballes Baena, 3rd set: R. Carballes Baena
• Expected aces: 10
• Double faults: 5
• Break points: 6

In terms of tactical expectations, Carballes Baena is likely to dominate the baseline rallies, utilizing his superior serve and return game to pressure Ceban. Ceban will need to find a way to disrupt Carballes Baena's rhythm, but given his recent form, it is unlikely he will be able to do so effectively.

3 Reasons Why R. Carballes Baena Will Win

• Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors R. Carballes Baena 3:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
• Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors R. Carballes Baena.
• Pressure Points. In recent matches, R. Carballes Baena has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Mark Ceban, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

22.06.2026 16:30 ATP Wimbledon

Mark Ceban

R. Carballes Baena

0 3

0 0 0 1 1 1

110

85

26