21.06.2026
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Prediction M. Kecmanovic vs H. Medjedovic — 22.06.2026

M. Kecmanovic flag
ATP - 70
M. Kecmanovic - H. Medjedovic
ATP Mallorca 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 11:00
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H. Medjedovic flag
ATP - 67
M. Kecmanovic

Player Overview

Miomir Kecmanovic has shown flashes of potential, with a career baseline win percentage hovering around 54.6%. Over the last two years, his performance has dipped slightly, marked by a 49.4% win rate. While his Elo rating of 2035 indicates he can compete at a solid level, recent struggles on the court suggest he needs to find consistency. His serve identity reveals a first serve success rate of 70.7%, but he faces challenges converting second serves, winning just 52.9% of those points.

Kecmanovic enters this match after a series of disappointing results, including three consecutive losses, with his last victory coming against F. Marozsan at the French Open. His recent match against F. Marozsan saw him win comfortably, yet subsequent defeats to Nuno Borges and F. Marozsan again in Halle point to a troubling trend. With no wins in his last five matches, Kecmanovic must improve significantly to contend against H. Medjedovic, who has been performing well lately.

Match results: M. Kecmanovic

16 Jun 2026 ATP Halle
F. Marozsan
M. Kecmanovic
2 1
6 3
3 6
6 4
L
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
Nuno Borges
M. Kecmanovic
3 1
3 6
6 2
6 1
6 2
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
M. Kecmanovic
F. Marozsan
2 0
6 3
6 4
W
19 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
M. Kecmanovic
K. Khachanov
0 0
L
17 May 2026 Valencia
M. Kecmanovic
D. Vallejo
2 1
6 2
3 6
6 2
W
16 May 2026 Valencia
Alejandro Tabilo
M. Kecmanovic
0 1
3 6
W
15 May 2026 Valencia
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
1 6
1 6
W
14 May 2026 Valencia
L. Riedi
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
3 6
2 6
W
13 May 2026 Valencia
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
Andrey Rublev
M. Kecmanovic
2 0
6 4
6 4
L
H. Medjedovic

Player Overview

Hamad Medjedovic has established himself as a formidable competitor, boasting a career win percentage of 61.8% across 304 matches. His recent form is promising, with a current two-year win rate of 60.8%. Medjedovic's Elo rating of 2112 reflects his potential to excel, particularly on clay where he has a strong 1982 rating. His serve game has been effective, with a first serve win percentage of 72.7%, contributing to his rising profile.

Medjedovic arrives in Mallorca riding a wave of success, having secured victories in four of his last five matches. His latest win against Ugo Humbert showcases his growing confidence and tactical awareness. The recent defeat to Casper Ruud at the French Open provides a reminder of the challenges he faces at the highest level, but his strong showing against Yannick Hanfmann indicates he is ready for the challenge ahead. Facing Kecmanovic, Medjedovic will look to capitalize on his opponent's struggles and maintain his upward trajectory.

Match results: H. Medjedovic

19 Jun 2026 ATP London
H. Medjedovic
U. Humbert
1 0
6 2
W
16 Jun 2026 ATP London
A. Rinderknech
H. Medjedovic
0 2
W
27 May 2026 ATP French Open
Casper Ruud
H. Medjedovic
3 0
6 3
6 2
6 4
L
24 May 2026 ATP French Open
H. Medjedovic
Yannick Hanfmann
3 0
6 3
6 4
6 4
W
12 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
Martin Landaluce
0 2
5 7
4 6
L
11 May 2026 ATP Rome
Matias Navone
H. Medjedovic
1 2
6 4
3 6
4 6
W
9 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
Joao Fonseca
2 1
3 6
6 3
W
7 May 2026 ATP Rome
H. Medjedovic
V. Royer
2 0
6 4
6 3
W
18 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona
Andrey Rublev
H. Medjedovic
2 1
3 6
6 2
6 2
L
17 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona
H. Medjedovic
Nuno Borges
1 0
6 2
W

Players Analysis

Miomir Kecmanovic and Hamad Medjedovic are set to face off in the first round of the ATP Mallorca tournament. Kecmanovic, currently ranked 49th, has shown a mixed form recently, with a win percentage of 70% over his last ten matches. He has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, but his recent victories in Challenger events indicate an upward trend. On the other hand, Medjedovic, ranked 68th, has also been in good form, boasting an 80% win rate in his last ten matches, including a recent win against a higher-ranked opponent. This matchup promises to be competitive, as both players are in improving form.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, Kecmanovic has recorded 411 aces and 184 double faults over the past two years, while Medjedovic has 570 aces and 219 double faults. Medjedovic's higher ace percentage (10.1%) compared to Kecmanovic's (6.1%) suggests he may have the edge in service games. Both players have a solid break point save percentage, with Kecmanovic at 61.8% and Medjedovic at 64.3%. Given that this match will be played on an outdoor hard court, Medjedovic's superior recent performance on hard surfaces could play a crucial role in the outcome.

M. Kecmanovic — H. Medjedovic Prediction

Considering the recent form and head-to-head statistics, Hamad Medjedovic is slightly favored to win this match. His higher win percentage and better serving statistics provide him with a tactical advantage. The prediction is for Medjedovic to win in a closely contested match, likely in two sets.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Hamad Medjedovic, Set 2: Hamad Medjedovic
  • Expected aces: 10
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 5

Medjedovic's ability to serve effectively and capitalize on break points will be critical. Kecmanovic will need to focus on returning well and maintaining his composure under pressure to challenge Medjedovic's serve.

3 Reasons Why Hamad Medjedovic Will Win

  • Superior Recent Form - Medjedovic has an 80% win rate in his last ten matches, indicating strong current form compared to Kecmanovic's 70%.
  • Better Serving Stats - With a higher ace percentage and fewer double faults, Medjedovic's serve is likely to put Kecmanovic under pressure throughout the match.
  • Improving Trend - Both players are on an upward trajectory, but Medjedovic's recent victories against higher-ranked opponents give him a slight edge in confidence.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
22.06.2026 11:00 ATP Mallorca
M. Kecmanovic
H. Medjedovic
0 2
0 0 1 1
410
23
25