Lucas Draxl, standing tall at 185 cm, has carved out a career win percentage of 64.8% across 347 matches, showcasing a solid grasp of the game. His current form over the last two years reveals a win rate of 62.2%, indicating a stable phase, although his Elo rating on grass, at 1471, suggests he has room for improvement on this surface.
Recently, Draxl has been navigating a challenging stretch, with a mixed bag of results, including a win against Braden Shick and two losses in his last three outings. The draw against Riccardo Bertola in their previous meeting adds a layer of intrigue as he approaches this rematch. With a recent form trend holding steady, he will aim to leverage his home advantage to secure a breakthrough victory at Wimbledon.
Match results: Lucas Draxl
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
Lucas Draxl
Riccardo Bertola
12
62
16
L
6 Jun 2026Tyler
A. Walton
Lucas Draxl
20
64
64
L
5 Jun 2026Tyler
Lucas Draxl
Braden Shick
20
62
63
W
4 Jun 2026Tyler
Lucas Draxl
S. Gorzny
21
63
16
63
W
3 Jun 2026Tyler
Lucas Draxl
A. Kim
20
61
63
W
1 Jun 2026Tyler
Lucas Draxl
Yoshiki Uchiyama
00
L
20 May 2026ATP French Open
Joris De Jong
Lucas Draxl
21
46
61
63
L
18 May 2026ATP French Open
Igor Simakin
Lucas Draxl
02
46
26
W
11 May 2026Oeiras 6
Lucas Draxl
Emilio Nava
01
36
L
23 Apr 2026Savannah
Lucas Draxl
Klaus Feldbausch
02
16
06
L
Riccardo Bertola
Player Overview
Riccardo Bertola, at 175 cm, boasts a career win percentage of 56.7% over 441 matches, with a notable improvement reflected in his current two-year win rate of 57.4%. His recent matches indicate a rising trajectory, particularly with an 80% win rate in the last five matches, suggesting he is refining his game effectively.
Bertola's last match ended in a draw with Draxl, and before that, he faced a tough loss against Conor O'Connell. The inconsistency in recent outings, including a win against Shun Mochizuki, points to potential vulnerabilities. As he steps onto the Wimbledon courts, Bertola will need to build on his recent successes to capitalize on this rematch, aiming to bring his improving form to a decisive conclusion.
Match results: Riccardo Bertola
22 Jun 2026ATP Wimbledon
Lucas Draxl
Riccardo Bertola
12
62
16
W
19 Jun 2026Nottingham
Riccardo Bertola
Conor O'Connell
02
46
57
L
18 Jun 2026Nottingham
Shun Mochizuki
Riccardo Bertola
02
36
46
W
16 Jun 2026Nottingham
Riccardo Bertola
Y. Wu
20
63
63
W
15 Jun 2026Nottingham
L. Nardi
Riccardo Bertola
10
63
L
14 Jun 2026Nottingham
Riccardo Bertola
James McCabe
10
64
W
13 Jun 2026Nottingham
Riccardo Bertola
William Jansen
21
75
26
W
5 Jun 2026Perugia
Hugo Rocha
Riccardo Bertola
21
62
46
62
L
4 Jun 2026Perugia
L. Nardi
Riccardo Bertola
12
26
64
36
W
2 Jun 2026Perugia
Riccardo Bertola
Luca Ratti
21
64
46
62
W
Players Analysis
Lucas Draxl and Riccardo Bertola are set to clash in the quarter-finals of the ATP Wimbledon. Draxl has shown mixed form recently, with a win-loss record of 4-6 in his last ten matches. His recent performance includes a notable victory against Braden Shick, but he suffered a defeat against Adam Walton in the semi-finals of a Challenger event. On the other hand, Riccardo Bertola has been in better form, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a recent victory over Shun Mochizuki in the Nottingham Challenger.
In their previous encounter, Bertola emerged victorious, winning 2 sets to 1 against Draxl, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure. This match-up will be crucial for both players as they aim to secure a spot in the semi-finals.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Analyzing their recent performances, Draxl has a win percentage of 60% over his last 10 matches, while Bertola boasts a slightly higher win percentage of 70%. Draxl's serve statistics indicate he has recorded 450 aces with a 5.8% ace percentage in the last two years, while Bertola has 427 aces with a 5.7% ace percentage. Both players have shown similar double fault rates, with Draxl at 4.6% and Bertola at 5.2%. In terms of break points saved, Draxl has a rate of 60.4%, while Bertola is slightly better at 61.3%.
The head-to-head record favors Bertola, who has won their only previous encounter. This psychological edge, combined with his recent form and higher win percentage, suggests he may have the upper hand in this match.
Lucas Draxl — Riccardo Bertola Prediction
Given the analysis of both players' recent forms, serve statistics, and their head-to-head record, Riccardo Bertola is predicted to win this match. The expected score is likely to be 3 sets to 1 in favor of Bertola, reflecting his current form and previous victory over Draxl.
Final score in sets: 3-1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Bertola, Set 2: Draxl, Set 3: Bertola, Set 4: Bertola
Expected aces: 12
Double faults: 5
Break points: 7
In terms of tactical expectations, Bertola is likely to employ aggressive baseline play, utilizing his strong serve to gain early advantages in games. Draxl, on the other hand, may need to focus on his return game and capitalize on any break point opportunities to stay competitive in the match.
3 Reasons Why Riccardo Bertola Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Riccardo Bertola 3:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Riccardo Bertola.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Riccardo Bertola has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Lucas Draxl, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
22.06.2026 16:30ATP Wimbledon
Lucas Draxl
Riccardo Bertola
13
01001011
1210
56
75
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