21.06.2026
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Prediction James Pinnington Jones vs Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli — 22.06.2026

James Pinnington Jones flag
ATP - 137
James Pinnington Jones - Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
ATP Eastbourne 1/16-finals
June 22, 2026 12:00
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Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli flag
ATP - 61
James Pinnington Jones

Player Overview

James Pinnington Jones has a career win percentage of 61.7%, reflecting solid baseline performance across various surfaces. However, his recent form has dipped, with a win rate of just 20% in his last five matches. His Elo rating of 1871 indicates he operates at a high level, yet his current trajectory shows a troubling decline, particularly on grass where he has struggled.

Jones arrives at this match after a series of losses, including a recent defeat to Denis Shapovalov at ATP London. In his last five outings, he has not secured a single win, emphasizing his current struggles. As he faces Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli, the pressure mounts; another defeat could deepen his downward spiral and raise questions about his ability to compete effectively at this level.

Match results: James Pinnington Jones

15 Jun 2026 ATP London
James Pinnington Jones
Denis Shapovalov
1 2
4 6
6 4
L
12 Jun 2026 Ilkley
Filippo Romano
James Pinnington Jones
2 1
7 5
5 7
6 3
L
8 Jun 2026 Ilkley
Henry Wendelken
James Pinnington Jones
0 2
4 6
4 6
W
2 Jun 2026 Birmingham
James Pinnington Jones
Aleksandar Vukic
1 2
6 2
4 6
3 6
L
18 May 2026 ATP French Open
Viktor Sachko
James Pinnington Jones
2 1
3 6
7 5
L
13 May 2026 Oeiras 6
Cw Smith
James Pinnington Jones
2 0
6 4
6 1
L
11 May 2026 Oeiras 6
Dar. Blanch
James Pinnington Jones
0 2
3 6
5 7
W
4 May 2026 ATP Rome
P. Kypson
James Pinnington Jones
1 0
6 3
L
28 Apr 2026 Ostrava
Nedim Fatic
James Pinnington Jones
2 0
6 2
7 5
L
30 Mar 2026 ATP Houston
James Pinnington Jones
Ze Zhang
0 2
1 6
3 6
L
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli

Player Overview

Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli has a career win percentage of 60.7%, showcasing competence across various tournaments. His current form over the past two years stands at 53.7%, indicating stability despite recent fluctuations. The recent form trend is stable, with a 60% win rate in his last five matches, suggesting he is finding his footing again.

Carabelli enters this match following mixed results, including a tough loss to Andrey Rublev at the ATP French Open. He secured a critical win against Emilio Nava, which highlights his potential to bounce back. As he takes on James Pinnington Jones, Carabelli will look to capitalize on his opponent's recent struggles, aiming to build on his recent successes and continue his upward trajectory.

Match results: Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli

27 May 2026 ATP French Open
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
Andrey Rublev
1 2
1 6
6 1
3 6
L
25 May 2026 ATP French Open
Emilio Nava
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
0 2
3 6
3 6
W
21 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
A. Kovacevic
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
2 0
6 4
6 2
L
20 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
F. Tiafoe
2 0
W
18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg
Kamil Majchrzak
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
1 2
6 1
2 6
3 6
W
15 May 2026 Valencia
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
M. Kecmanovic
0 2
1 6
1 6
L
14 May 2026 Valencia
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
Matteo Berrettini
1 0
6 4
W
6 May 2026 ATP Rome
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
Alexander Shevchenko
1 2
3 6
6 4
L
25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
Francesco Cobolli
1 2
7 6
1 6
4 6
L
23 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
G. Monfils
2 0
6 3
6 4
W

Players Analysis

James Pinnington Jones has struggled recently, with only 2 wins in his last 10 matches, including losses to lower-ranked opponents. His recent form indicates a declining trend, with a win percentage of just 20% over the last 5 matches. In contrast, Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli has shown more stability, winning 5 of his last 10 matches, including notable victories against higher-ranked players. His recent performance on clay has been particularly strong, with a win percentage of 60% over the last 10 matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of serve statistics, James Pinnington Jones has recorded 317 aces and 294 double faults in his recent matches, indicating a relatively high risk on serve. His first serve win percentage stands at 70.8%, which is respectable but not enough to compensate for his recent losses. On the other hand, Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli has a slightly lower ace count of 281 but has managed to keep his double faults at 229, showcasing better serve reliability. Carabelli's first serve win percentage is also competitive at 67.9%, which could give him an edge in this matchup.

James Pinnington Jones — Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Considering the recent form, serve reliability, and overall performance, Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli is favored to win this match against James Pinnington Jones. The prediction is for Carabelli to win in straight sets, leveraging his more stable form and better serve statistics.

  • Final score in sets: 2:0
  • Predicted winner of each set: 1st set: Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli, 2nd set: Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
  • Expected aces: 5
  • Double faults: 3
  • Break points: 4

In terms of tactical expectations, Carabelli is likely to exploit Pinnington Jones's weaknesses on serve, aiming to break early in both sets. His ability to maintain pressure during crucial points will be key, especially given Pinnington Jones's tendency to falter under pressure in recent matches.

3 Reasons Why Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli Will Win

  • Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
  • Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli.
  • Pressure Points. In recent matches, Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than James Pinnington Jones, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
Date Match W S A DF BP
22.06.2026 12:00 ATP Eastbourne
James Pinnington Jones
Cecchinato Ugo Carabelli
0 2
0 0 1 1
35
23
24