21.06.2026

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ATP Eastbourne

Prediction B. Nakashima vs J. Draper — 22.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 33

B. Nakashima - J. Draper

ATP Eastbourne 1/16-finals

June 22, 2026 • 12:00

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 10

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 4

H2H W-L 1-0-3

Avg sets per match 3.00

Last 5 W-L 1-3

Last 3 W-L 0-3

Current streak L3

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 3.00

Sets range 2-4

3-set matches 3 (75%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 1/2

25% 1 Wins

0% 0 Draws

75% 3 Wins

Last 4 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

20 Jun 2025

B. Nakashima - J. Draper

1:2 (4-6, 7-5, 4-6)

London

—

15 Jun 2024

B. Nakashima - J. Draper

0:2 (3-6, 3-6)

ATP Stuttgart

—

4 Nov 2023

J. Draper - B. Nakashima

2:1 (6-1, 3-6, 7-5)

Bergamo Challenger Men

—

11 Nov 2022

B. Nakashima - J. Draper

3:1 (1-4, 4-2)

Next Gen Finals - Milan

—

B. Nakashima

Player Overview

Brandon Nakashima has a solid career baseline with a 60.2% win rate across 450 matches, reflecting his potential on the ATP circuit. However, his recent form shows a decline, with a 54.4% win percentage over the last two years, and a stable trend in his last five matches. His Elo rating of 2077 indicates he competes effectively, especially on hard courts, but his serve statistics reveal room for improvement, particularly with a first serve win rate at 74.5%.

Nakashima's recent outings present a mixed bag. After a successful stretch in London where he secured wins over I. Buse and M. Fucsovics, he faltered against Franco Cerundolo. With a recent win-loss record of 2-3, he must regain his footing against J. Draper, who poses a significant threat. Given the stakes in Eastbourne, Nakashima's ability to convert his serve will be critical to his chances in this showdown.

Match results: B. Nakashima

20 Jun 2026 ATP London

B. Nakashima

Franco Cerundolo

0 2

3 6

4 6

19 Jun 2026 ATP London

Alex de Minaur

B. Nakashima

0 2

5 7

3 6

17 Jun 2026 ATP London

B. Nakashima

I. Buse

2 0

6 2

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

B. Nakashima

M. Fucsovics

2 0

6 3

30 May 2026 ATP French Open

F. Auger-Aliassime

B. Nakashima

3 1

5 7

6 1

28 May 2026 ATP French Open

Luca van Assche

B. Nakashima

1 3

4 6

7 5

1 6

3 6

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

Roberto Bautista Agut

B. Nakashima

0 3

2 6

5 7

2 6

11 May 2026 ATP Rome

B. Nakashima

N. Basilashvili

0 1

4 6

9 May 2026 ATP Rome

B. Nakashima

Roberto Bautista Agut

2 0

6 4

6 0

25 Apr 2026 ATP Madrid

B. Nakashima

Alexander Blockx

1 2

6 3

3 6

4 6

J. Draper

Player Overview

Jack Draper has a commendable career win percentage of 67.9% across 365 matches, showcasing his strong credentials on the ATP tour. However, his recent performance tells a different story, with a declining trend reflected in a 71.4% win rate over the past two years and a 50% success rate in his last ten matches. His Elo rating of 2259 positions him as a formidable opponent, especially on hard courts, yet his struggles with consistency are evident.

Draper's recent matches have been challenging, suffering defeats to high-caliber opponents like Daniil Medvedev and Tomás Martín Etcheverry. Despite a victory against Novak Djokovic earlier this year, his overall record in the last five matches stands at just 2-3. As he faces Nakashima in Eastbourne, Draper's ability to regain his form will be crucial. A strong start could set the tone, but he must avoid the pitfalls that have characterized his recent outings.

Match results: J. Draper

13 Apr 2026 ATP Barcelona

Tomás Martín Etcheverry

J. Draper

2 1

3 6

6 3

4 1

20 Mar 2026 ATP Miami

J. Draper

R. Opelka

0 2

13 Mar 2026 ATP Indian Wells

J. Draper

Daniil Medvedev

0 2

1 6

5 7

12 Mar 2026 ATP Indian Wells

Novak Djokovic

J. Draper

1 2

6 4

4 6

9 Mar 2026 ATP Indian Wells

Franco Cerundolo

J. Draper

0 2

1 6

5 7

7 Mar 2026 ATP Indian Wells

Roberto Bautista Agut

J. Draper

1 2

6 3

3 6

2 6

25 Feb 2026 Dubai

A. Rinderknech

J. Draper

2 0

7 5

6 4

23 Feb 2026 Dubai

Quentin Halys

J. Draper

0 1

3 6

6 Feb 2026 ATP Davis Cup

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

J. Draper

0 0

5 Feb 2026 ATP Davis Cup

Viktor Durasovic

J. Draper

0 2

2 6

Players Analysis

Brandon Nakashima and Jack Draper are set to face off in the first round of the ATP Eastbourne tournament. Nakashima, currently ranked 32, has shown a mixed form recently, with a win percentage of 50% in his last ten matches. He has struggled against higher-ranked opponents, as evidenced by his recent loss to Felix Auger Aliassime at the French Open. In contrast, Jack Draper, ranked 112, has a slightly better win percentage of 60% in his last ten matches, although he has faced tough competition as well.

In their head-to-head encounters, Draper has won three out of four matches, including their last two meetings. This historical context gives Draper a psychological edge going into this match. Both players have demonstrated the ability to play three-set matches, which could be crucial in this best-of-three format.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Nakashima's recent performance has been characterized by a solid serve, with an ace percentage of 11.4% and a double fault rate of 1.3%. However, he has faced challenges in converting break points, with a saved percentage of 61.7%. Draper, on the other hand, has a higher ace percentage of 10.6% and a double fault rate of 3.3%, indicating a slightly less reliable serve. His recent form shows a win against Roberto Bautista Agut, which could boost his confidence.

Analyzing their previous matches, Nakashima has won 16 sets and lost 9 in his last ten matches, while Draper has won 13 sets and lost 11. This indicates that both players are capable of competitive matches, but Draper's recent head-to-head success suggests he may have the upper hand in this encounter.

B. Nakashima — J. Draper Prediction

Considering the current form, head-to-head statistics, and recent performances, Jack Draper is predicted to win this match. His recent victories and better head-to-head record against Nakashima provide him with a slight edge. The match is expected to be competitive, with both players capable of winning sets.

Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1: Jack Draper, Set 2: Brandon Nakashima, Set 3: Jack Draper
Expected aces: 10
Double faults: 4
Break points: 5

In terms of tactics, Draper may look to exploit Nakashima's second serve, aiming to pressure him on crucial points. Conversely, Nakashima will need to maintain his serve and capitalize on any break point opportunities to keep the match competitive.

3 Reasons Why J. Draper Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors J. Draper 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors J. Draper.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, J. Draper has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than B. Nakashima, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

22.06.2026 12:00 ATP Eastbourne

B. Nakashima

J. Draper

1 2

0 1 0 1 0 1

108