Nuno Borges, with a solid career baseline win percentage of 63.2%, is currently facing a challenging phase, reflected in his recent form with a win rate of just 48.4% over the last two years. His Elo rating of 2036 suggests he still possesses the skills to compete at a high level, but a current trajectory marked as improving masks a troubling trend of inconsistency. Recently, his serve has been a mixed bag, with first-serve success hovering around 70.9%, indicating potential for growth but also room for error.
Arriving at this match, Borges has lost his last three encounters, including close matches against players like Felix Auger Aliassime and Marin Cilic. His recent victory against Taha Atmane stands as a lone bright spot in an otherwise tough stretch. With no wins in his last five outings, Borges will need to harness his potential and capitalize on Mannarino's recent struggles to turn the tide in Mallorca.
Match results: Nuno Borges
21 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
Nuno Borges
Adrian Mannarino
20
62
62
W
15 Jun 2026ATP Halle
Nuno Borges
F. Auger-Aliassime
12
36
63
36
L
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Nuno Borges
M. Cilic
12
63
36
L
8 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Nuno Borges
Taha Atmane
20
64
64
W
29 May 2026ATP French Open
Nuno Borges
Andrey Rublev
01
57
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
Nuno Borges
M. Kecmanovic
31
36
62
61
62
W
24 May 2026ATP French Open
Tomás Martín Etcheverry
Nuno Borges
03
36
46
26
W
8 May 2026ATP Rome
Nuno Borges
Rafael Jodar
01
46
L
6 May 2026ATP Rome
Joris De Jong
Nuno Borges
02
36
06
W
1 May 2026Cagliari
Matteo Arnaldi
Nuno Borges
10
63
L
Adrian Mannarino
Player Overview
Adrian Mannarino, with a career win percentage of 54.3%, finds himself in a downward spiral as he grapples with a troubling 43.8% win rate over the past two years. His recent form trend shows a decline, particularly evident in his last ten matches where he’s managed only a 10% success rate. While his Elo rating sits at 1922, suggesting moderate potential, his performance on grass has been lackluster, with a recent win rate of just 42.2% on this surface.
Mannarino’s recent matches have yielded disappointing results, including a loss to Alex Fery and defeats against players like Alex de Minaur. His only win in the last five matches came against Jakub Mensik, underscoring his inconsistency. As he faces Borges, Mannarino must find a way to stabilize his game; otherwise, the pressure could mount as he continues his search for form in Mallorca.
Match results: Adrian Mannarino
21 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
Nuno Borges
Adrian Mannarino
20
62
62
L
17 Jun 2026ATP London
Adrian Mannarino
Alex Fery
01
46
L
16 Jun 2026ATP London
Jakub Mensik
Adrian Mannarino
10
75
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Adrian Mannarino
Alex de Minaur
02
46
06
L
12 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Ze Zhang
Adrian Mannarino
01
36
W
11 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
Adrian Mannarino
A. Rinderknech
21
36
63
W
9 Jun 2026ATP Hertogenbosch
G. Diallo
Adrian Mannarino
12
46
63
57
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
U. Humbert
Adrian Mannarino
30
63
64
63
L
19 May 2026ATP Geneva
Adrian Mannarino
R. Collignon
01
36
L
6 May 2026ATP Rome
Damir Dzumhur
Adrian Mannarino
20
64
60
L
Players Analysis
Nuno Borges has shown a strong performance recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches. His recent victories include two straight-set wins against Adrian Mannarino in their last two encounters, indicating a psychological edge. Adrian Mannarino, on the other hand, has struggled, winning only 1 out of his last 10 matches, with a significant number of losses against lower-ranked opponents.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head matchups, Nuno Borges has consistently dominated Adrian Mannarino, winning all three encounters, including two straight-set victories. Borges has a higher win percentage on clay surfaces, which is crucial as this match is part of the ATP Mallorca tournament. Mannarino's recent form has been declining, with a win percentage of only 10% in his last 10 matches, compared to Borges's 60%. This disparity in form and confidence is likely to influence the outcome of the match.
Nuno Borges — Adrian Mannarino Prediction
Given the current form and head-to-head statistics, Nuno Borges is favored to win this match decisively. He has demonstrated superior performance in their previous encounters and has a better overall win rate. The predicted score is likely to reflect Borges's dominance on the court.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Nuno Borges 6-2, 6-2
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3
In terms of tactical expectations, Borges is likely to utilize his strong serve and aggressive baseline play to pressure Mannarino, who has been struggling to return effectively. This strategy should allow Borges to maintain control of the match and capitalize on any weaknesses in Mannarino's game.
3 Reasons Why Nuno Borges Will Win
Dominant Head-to-Head Record: Nuno Borges has won all three previous encounters against Adrian Mannarino, showcasing his ability to perform under pressure against this opponent.
Recent Form Advantage: Borges has a win percentage of 60% in his last 10 matches, while Mannarino's form has been declining with only 10% wins in the same period.
Higher Win Rate on Clay: Borges has a better overall win rate on clay surfaces, which is crucial for this matchup in the ATP Mallorca tournament.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
21.06.2026 12:30ATP Mallorca
Nuno Borges
Adrian Mannarino
20
1100
53
23
31
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