Matias Navone, 178 cm tall with a right-handed serve, has been steadily improving over the past two years, boasting a win rate of 57.3%. His overall career record reflects a solid baseline performance with 58.4% wins across 394 matches. Recently, his Elo rating suggests he’s positioned well on clay, having shown effective first-serve percentages in crucial moments. This upward trend in form, highlighted by an 80% win rate in his last five matches, signifies his growing confidence on the court.
Navone's recent performances include a mix of highs and lows, with a notable victory over J. Brooksby at the ATP French Open before a disappointing loss to Jakub Mensik. His last ten matches do not deliver a clear statistical trend, but the upward trajectory from recent wins points to potential for success. As he faces Lorenzo Sonego, Navone will look to leverage his improving form against an opponent struggling with consistency.
Match results: Matias Navone
21 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
Matias Navone
Lorenzo Sonego
12
62
46
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
Matias Navone
Jakub Mensik
23
36
62
46
61
L
25 May 2026ATP French Open
Matias Navone
J. Brooksby
30
64
64
64
W
23 May 2026ATP Geneva
Matias Navone
Liam Tien
12
63
36
57
L
22 May 2026ATP Geneva
Casper Ruud
Matias Navone
02
57
26
W
21 May 2026ATP Geneva
Matias Navone
Jaume Munar
20
62
62
W
20 May 2026ATP Geneva
Cameron Norrie
Matias Navone
02
46
46
W
17 May 2026ATP Geneva
Marco Trungelliti
Matias Navone
12
75
57
16
W
11 May 2026ATP Rome
Matias Navone
H. Medjedovic
12
64
36
46
L
9 May 2026ATP Rome
F. Auger-Aliassime
Matias Navone
02
W
Lorenzo Sonego
Player Overview
Lorenzo Sonego, standing at 191 cm, has seen a decline in his performance recently, with a win percentage of just 44.6% over the last two years. His overall career record sits at 365 wins against 312 losses, but recent results show a troubling trend with only 30% wins in his last ten matches. The drop in his Elo rating reflects his struggles, especially on grass, where he has faced challenges finding his rhythm.
In his recent outings, Sonego has faced tough competition, suffering defeats to Ben Shelton and N. Basilashvili at the ATP Halle. His last match resulted in a disappointing loss, casting a shadow over his prospects heading into this contest. With a current trajectory that indicates declining form, he needs a significant turnaround against Navone, who is in a better position to capitalize on Sonego's recent struggles.
Match results: Lorenzo Sonego
21 Jun 2026ATP Mallorca
Matias Navone
Lorenzo Sonego
12
62
46
W
17 Jun 2026ATP Halle
Ben Shelton
Lorenzo Sonego
20
75
63
L
14 Jun 2026ATP Halle
Lorenzo Sonego
N. Basilashvili
02
46
46
L
13 Jun 2026ATP Halle
Lorenzo Sonego
F. C. Jianu
20
75
63
W
6 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
Lorenzo Sonego
Mert Alkaya
00
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
Lorenzo Sonego
Tommy Paul
03
36
26
46
L
24 May 2026ATP French Open
Lorenzo Sonego
P. Herbert
32
57
62
16
64
W
18 May 2026ATP Geneva
Lorenzo Sonego
Edvinas Butvilas
02
36
16
L
7 May 2026ATP Rome
Lorenzo Sonego
I. Buse
02
36
36
L
29 Apr 2026Cagliari
Lorenzo Sonego
Thomaz Bellucci
12
46
61
57
L
Players Analysis
Matias Navone and Lorenzo Sonego are set to face off in the ATP Mallorca tournament. Navone has shown a mixed form recently, with a win percentage of 70% over his last ten matches, while Sonego has struggled, winning only 30% of his last ten matches. In their previous encounters, Sonego has dominated, winning all three matches against Navone, including their most recent match where he won 2-1 in sets.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
Navone's recent performance indicates a strong ability to win on clay, with a win percentage of 57.3% over the last two years. In contrast, Sonego's win percentage has dropped to 44.6% in the same timeframe. Navone's serve statistics show he has a higher ace percentage (2.4%) compared to Sonego (7.0%), but Sonego has a better overall service game with a first serve win percentage of 72.3% compared to Navone's 64.8%. This match will be crucial for both players, especially for Sonego, who needs to regain form after a series of losses.
Matias Navone — Lorenzo Sonego Prediction
Given the recent form and head-to-head record, Lorenzo Sonego is favored to win this match against Matias Navone. Sonego's previous victories over Navone, combined with his overall experience and higher service statistics, give him a slight edge in this matchup.
Final score in sets: 2:1
Predicted winner of each set: 1st Set: Lorenzo Sonego, 2nd Set: Matias Navone, 3rd Set: Lorenzo Sonego
Expected aces: 5
Expected double faults: 3
Expected break points: 4
In terms of tactics, Sonego will likely focus on his powerful serve to gain an early advantage, while Navone will need to rely on his baseline consistency and strategic shot placement to counter Sonego's aggression. The match could hinge on Sonego's ability to maintain his serve under pressure and Navone's effectiveness in returning those serves.
3 Reasons Why Lorenzo Sonego Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Lorenzo Sonego 2:1 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Lorenzo Sonego.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Lorenzo Sonego has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Matias Navone, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
21.06.2026 15:00ATP Mallorca
Matias Navone
Lorenzo Sonego
12
010101
57
32
43
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