20.06.2026 • Updated: 21.06.2026

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ATP Eastbourne

Prediction M. Giron vs Jakub Choinski — 21.06.2026

Daniel Carter

ATP - 77

M. Giron - Jakub Choinski

Eastbourne

June 21, 2026 • 15:00

0—1

Days

Hours

Minutes

Seconds

ATP - 122

Tennis Head-to-Head and Recent Matches

Total games 2

H2H W-L 0-0-2

Avg sets per match 2.00

Last 5 W-L 0-2

Last 3 W-L 0-2

Current streak L2

Sets balance 0

Avg sets (last 5) 2.00

Sets range 1-3

3-set matches 1 (50%)

2-0 / 2-1 split 0/0 • 0/1

0% 0 Wins

0% 0 Draws

100% 2 Wins

Last 2 matches

Date

Match

Score

Tournament

Surface

21 Jun 2026

M. Giron - Jakub Choinski

0:1 (5-7)

ATP Eastbourne

—

23 Sep 2016

M. Giron - Jakub Choinski

1:2 (3-6, 7-5, 4-6)

Irvine

—

M. Giron

Player Overview

M. Giron has a career baseline win percentage of nearly 55% but has dipped to 48.1% over his last two years, highlighting a troubling decline. His recent form shows a stark contrast with a win rate of just 20% in the last five matches, indicating a player grappling with consistency. With an Elo rating of 1993, Giron remains competitive, yet his struggles on grass, reflected in a 37.3% win rate on that surface, raise concerns.

Recent outings have not favored Giron, who has lost four of his last five matches, including a narrow defeat to Cameron Broom at ATP Eastbourne, where he won just two sets across those contests. With no wins in his last ten encounters, he faces Jakub Choinski with few signs of recovery. Unless he can turn around his declining trend, Giron risks another early exit in this tournament.

Match results: M. Giron

21 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

Jakub Choinski

0 1

5 7

20 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

Cameron Broom

2 1

3 6

6 2

16 Jun 2026 ATP London

I. Buse

M. Giron

2 1

3 6

7 5

14 Jun 2026 ATP London

Rinky Hijikata

M. Giron

2 0

7 5

6 1

13 Jun 2026 ATP London

Dan Evans

M. Giron

1 2

5 7

6 2

1 6

12 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

Ben Shelton

M. Giron

1 0

6 4

9 Jun 2026 ATP Stuttgart

Roberto Bautista Agut

M. Giron

0 1

5 7

25 May 2026 ATP French Open

Y. Wu

M. Giron

3 0

7 5

6 2

6 4

18 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

M. Giron

Ben Shelton

1 2

3 6

6 4

17 May 2026 ATP Hamburg

M. Giron

Max Schoenhaus

0 1

4 6

Jakub Choinski

Player Overview

Jakub Choinski enters the match with an impressive career win rate of 58.1%, bolstered by a recent surge in form, capturing 80% of his last five matches. His two-year trajectory shows a healthy 56.7% win percentage, suggesting he is on an upward trajectory. With a current Elo rating of 1919, Choinski has demonstrated his ability to compete effectively, especially on surfaces where he has historically performed well.

Choinski's recent victory against Y. Wu at ATP Eastbourne highlights his potential, as he has won two consecutive matches leading into this fixture. However, he also faced setbacks against lower-ranked players in Poznan, which may expose vulnerabilities. As he prepares to face Giron, maintaining his recent momentum will be crucial to solidifying his status as a formidable contender.

Match results: Jakub Choinski

21 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

M. Giron

Jakub Choinski

0 1

5 7

20 Jun 2026 ATP Eastbourne

Jakub Choinski

Y. Wu

1 0

6 4

18 Jun 2026 Poznan

Gustav Heide

Jakub Choinski

2 1

3 6

6 4

17 Jun 2026 Poznan

M. Kasnikowski

Jakub Choinski

1 2

4 6

6 2

3 6

16 Jun 2026 Poznan

Paulo Boscardin Dias

Jakub Choinski

0 2

5 7

0 6

10 Jun 2026 Bratislava

Francesco Cina

Jakub Choinski

2 0

6 1

7 5

8 Jun 2026 Bratislava

Norbert Gombos

Jakub Choinski

0 2

3 6

4 6

4 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

Jakub Choinski

Lukasz Mikrut

0 2

3 6

2 Jun 2026 Heilbronn

Jakub Choinski

T. Gentzsch

2 0

6 4

20 May 2026 ATP French Open

Jakub Choinski

P. Herbert

0 1

Players Analysis

Marcos Giron has struggled recently, with a win percentage of only 30% in his last 10 matches. His recent form shows a declining trend, particularly on clay surfaces, where he has lost several matches against lower-ranked opponents. In contrast, Jakub Choinski has been in impressive form, winning 80% of his last 10 matches, showcasing a strong improvement trend. His recent performances include victories against ranked players, indicating a significant boost in confidence and skill.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Jakub Choinski has won both previous matches against Marcos Giron, including their most recent meeting in the ATP Eastbourne final, where Giron lost 0-1. This historical context, combined with Choinski's superior recent form and higher win percentage, suggests he has a tactical advantage. Additionally, Giron's serve statistics indicate a higher number of double faults and lower ace percentage compared to Choinski, who has been more reliable on serve.

M. Giron — Jakub Choinski Prediction

Given the current form and head-to-head results, Jakub Choinski is favored to win this match. The prediction is for Choinski to win in straight sets, reflecting his recent dominance over Giron.

Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Set 1 - Jakub Choinski, Set 2 - Jakub Choinski
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 4

Expect Jakub Choinski to capitalize on his strong serve and aggressive baseline play, aiming to pressure Giron early in the match. Giron will need to improve his first serve percentage and reduce unforced errors to have any chance of competing effectively.

3 Reasons Why Jakub Choinski Will Win

Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Jakub Choinski 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Jakub Choinski.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Jakub Choinski has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than M. Giron, which can swing tight scorelines.

Match Prediction

Date Match W S A DF BP

21.06.2026 15:00 Eastbourne

M. Giron

Jakub Choinski

0 2

0 0 1 1