Franco Cerundolo, with a career win percentage of nearly 63%, has demonstrated a solid presence on the ATP circuit, particularly on clay. His current two-year trajectory shows a win rate of 61.9%, reflecting a player who remains competitive but is not quite hitting his peak. His recent performances on grass are less impressive, with an Elo rating of 1491 indicating he struggles on this surface compared to his hard and clay court prowess.
In his last five matches, Cerundolo has yet to secure a victory, which raises questions about his form heading into this match against Tommy Paul. His encounters have been tightly contested, including a recent draw against Alexander Blockx. While he has faced tough opponents, the lack of wins puts him in a precarious position. Against Paul, he will need to elevate his game significantly to avoid another early exit.
Match results: Franco Cerundolo
21 Jun 2026ATP London
Franco Cerundolo
Tommy Paul
20
64
42
W
20 Jun 2026ATP London
B. Nakashima
Franco Cerundolo
02
36
46
W
19 Jun 2026ATP London
Alex Fery
Franco Cerundolo
12
63
46
W
17 Jun 2026ATP London
J. Brooksby
Franco Cerundolo
02
06
46
W
16 Jun 2026ATP London
A. Kovacevic
Franco Cerundolo
02
46
26
W
15 Jun 2026ATP London
Alexander Blockx
Franco Cerundolo
00
L
30 May 2026ATP French Open
Franco Cerundolo
Z. Svajda
23
36
46
63
64
36
L
28 May 2026ATP French Open
Franco Cerundolo
Hugo Gaston
31
26
64
62
61
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
Franco Cerundolo
B. Van De Zandschulp
30
63
64
64
W
18 May 2026ATP Hamburg
Franco Cerundolo
Alex de Minaur
12
63
46
36
L
Tommy Paul
Player Overview
Tommy Paul has carved out a strong reputation with a career win percentage of 63.8%, bolstered by a recent uptick in form, reflected in his current two-year win rate of 68.8%. His recent Elo rating of 2238 places him in a favorable position, especially with a solid track record on hard courts. Paul’s serve has been effective, and he has demonstrated a knack for winning crucial points, particularly on his first serve.
Paul arrives at this match with a string of victories, winning his last four matches, including a decisive win over Ugo Humbert. His recent form, with a 70% win rate over the last ten matches, suggests he is peaking at the right time. Given Cerundolo's current struggles, Paul will likely seek to maintain his aggressive play and capitalize on any weaknesses his opponent shows, aiming for continued success in this tournament.
Match results: Tommy Paul
21 Jun 2026ATP London
Franco Cerundolo
Tommy Paul
20
64
52
L
20 Jun 2026ATP London
Tommy Paul
U. Humbert
20
63
63
W
19 Jun 2026ATP London
Tommy Paul
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
10
63
W
18 Jun 2026ATP London
Tommy Paul
B. Van De Zandschulp
10
63
W
15 Jun 2026ATP London
Tommy Paul
Z. Svajda
20
75
63
W
15 Jun 2026ATP London
Tommy Paul
Jaume Munar
00
L
8 Jun 2026ATP Stuttgart
Tommy Paul
Gabriel Mpetshi Perricard
00
L
29 May 2026ATP French Open
Casper Ruud
Tommy Paul
21
46
64
75
L
27 May 2026ATP French Open
Lorenzo Sonego
Tommy Paul
03
36
26
46
W
25 May 2026ATP French Open
Rinky Hijikata
Tommy Paul
13
64
36
57
46
W
Players Analysis
Franco Cerundolo has shown impressive form recently, winning 6 out of his last 10 matches, including a strong performance in the ATP London final where he defeated Tommy Paul 2-0. His recent victories demonstrate his ability to perform under pressure, particularly on hard courts. On the other hand, Tommy Paul has also been in good form, with a 7-3 record in his last 10 matches. However, he has struggled against Cerundolo in their recent encounters, losing the last three matches they played against each other.
Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors
In their head-to-head matchups, Cerundolo has won 5 out of 7 matches against Paul, showcasing a dominant 71% win rate. Cerundolo's serve statistics indicate he has a higher ace percentage (4.7%) compared to Paul's (7.1%), but Paul has a better overall service game with a first serve win percentage of 73.2% compared to Cerundolo's 68.6%. The recent form of both players suggests that Cerundolo is slightly more consistent, especially in crucial moments, which could be pivotal in this match.
Franco Cerundolo — Tommy Paul Prediction
Given the recent head-to-head results and Cerundolo's current form, he is favored to win this match. The prediction is for Cerundolo to win in straight sets, reflecting his recent dominance over Paul.
Final score in sets: 2:0
Predicted winner of each set: Cerundolo, Cerundolo
Expected aces: 5
Double faults: 2
Break points: 3
In terms of tactical expectations, Cerundolo will likely focus on exploiting Paul's second serve, aiming to break early in the sets. His ability to return serves effectively will be crucial, as he has shown a solid return game in previous matches. Paul, on the other hand, will need to maintain a high first serve percentage to avoid giving Cerundolo easy points.
3 Reasons Why Franco Cerundolo Will Win
Projected Sets Edge. The numeric forecast favors Franco Cerundolo 2:0 in sets, reflecting a confident path to the win.
Match Context Edge. A combination of form, experience and tournament context favors Franco Cerundolo.
Pressure Points. In recent matches, Franco Cerundolo has looked slightly sharper in deciding games and late-set scenarios than Tommy Paul, which can swing tight scorelines.
Match Prediction
DateMatchWSADFBP
21.06.2026 14:30ATP London
Franco Cerundolo
Tommy Paul
20
1100
54
23
31
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