Nantes vs Toulouse – (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Nantes has shown mixed results in their last ten matches, with a record of 4 wins, 5 losses, and 1 draw. They have scored a total of 10 goals, averaging 1.0 goals per game, while conceding 15, resulting in an average of 1.5 goals against per game. Their recent performance indicates a struggle to maintain consistency.

Toulouse, on the other hand, has been more effective, securing 5 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw in their last ten matches. They have netted 14 goals, averaging 1.75 goals per game, while allowing 16 goals, which gives them an average of 2.0 goals against per game. Their form suggests a more aggressive attacking play compared to Nantes.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their head-to-head encounters, Toulouse has a slight edge with 6 wins compared to Nantes' 5, and 4 matches ending in a draw. The average goals per game in these matchups is 2.60, indicating a tendency for high-scoring games. Recent matches have shown that both teams struggle defensively, with Nantes conceding 1.5 goals per game and Toulouse 2.0 goals per game in their last ten outings.

Additionally, Nantes has a recent trend of low expected goals (xG) with their last match showing an xG of 1.05 against Toulouse's 0.35 in their last encounter. This suggests that Nantes may struggle to create quality chances against a more potent Toulouse side.

Nantes — Toulouse Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 1
• 1st Half: 0 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 1
• Corners: 6 vs 6
• Fouls: 13 vs 12
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 2
• Shots on target: 4 vs 4
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 49% vs 51%

Expect both teams to engage in a tactical battle, with Nantes likely to adopt a more defensive posture, while Toulouse may push for a more aggressive attacking strategy. The midfield battle will be crucial, as both teams will look to control possession and create scoring opportunities.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Recent Head-to-Head Performance. The last match between these two teams ended in a draw, indicating a competitive balance.
• Defensive Vulnerabilities. Both teams have shown weaknesses in defense, with Nantes conceding 1.5 goals per game and Toulouse 2.0, suggesting a high likelihood of goals.
• Inconsistent Form. Nantes' recent form shows inconsistency, while Toulouse has been slightly more effective, but both teams are capable of dropping points.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 19:00 Ligue 1

Nantes 1 0 1

Toulouse 1 0 1

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