Genoa vs AC Milan – (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Genoa has struggled in their recent matches, with only one win in their last five games. Their last match ended in a 1-2 defeat against AC Milan, which reflects their current form. They have scored a total of 3 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.6 goals per game, while conceding 5 goals, averaging 1.0 goals against per game.

On the other hand, AC Milan has shown a stronger performance, winning 3 out of their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals in the same period, averaging 1.0 goals per game, while conceding 6 goals, averaging 1.2 goals against per game. Their recent victory against Genoa adds to their confidence going into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last encounter, AC Milan managed to secure a 2-1 victory over Genoa, showcasing their attacking prowess with an expected goals (xG) of 1.45 compared to Genoa's 1.35. The match statistics indicate that both teams had an equal number of corner kicks (4 each), but AC Milan had a higher number of shots on goal (5) compared to Genoa (2). Additionally, AC Milan's possession was significantly lower at 38%, indicating that they were effective on the counter-attack.

Historically, AC Milan has dominated this fixture, winning 10 out of the last 15 encounters, with a win percentage of 67%. This trend, combined with their current form, suggests they are likely to perform well in this match.

Genoa — AC Milan Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 vs 2
• 1st Half: 0 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 1 vs 2
• Corners: 4 vs 4
• Fouls: 8 vs 18
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 3
• Shots on target: 2 vs 5
• Offsides: 1 vs 1
• Possession: 40% vs 60%

In terms of tactical expectations, AC Milan is likely to adopt a counter-attacking strategy, leveraging their speed on the flanks to exploit Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities. Genoa, on the other hand, may focus on maintaining possession and creating chances through set pieces, as they have shown a tendency to win corners in previous matches.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Recent Form. AC Milan has won 3 of their last 5 matches, showcasing their ability to score and defend effectively.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. AC Milan has won 10 out of the last 15 encounters against Genoa, indicating a strong psychological edge.
• Defensive Solidity. AC Milan's defense has been solid, allowing only 6 goals in their last 5 matches, compared to Genoa's 5 goals conceded in the same period.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 10:30 Serie A

Genoa 1 0 1

AC Milan 2 0 2

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