Atalanta vs Bologna – Prediction (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

Atalanta has shown a mixed bag of results in their last ten matches, with three wins, three draws, and four losses. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 6, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Bologna, on the other hand, has struggled significantly, managing only 3 goals in their last ten matches while conceding 10, averaging just 0.6 goals per game.

In their most recent matches, Atalanta secured a win against AC Milan (3-2) but faced a disappointing goalless draw against Genoa. Bologna's last match ended in a 3-2 victory against Napoli, which is a bright spot in an otherwise challenging run.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Historically, Atalanta has a strong head-to-head record against Bologna, winning 8 out of their last 15 encounters, with an average of 2.33 goals per game in these matchups. Atalanta's home advantage is significant, as they have won 53% of their home matches against Bologna. In terms of expected goals (xG), Atalanta has consistently outperformed Bologna, with their last match against Bologna yielding an xG of 1.38 compared to Bologna's 1.10.

Moreover, Bologna has struggled defensively, averaging 2.0 goals conceded per game in their last ten matches, which could be a critical factor in this upcoming fixture.

Atalanta — Bologna Prediction

• Exact Score: 2 vs 0
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 2 vs 0
• Corners: 5 vs 3
• Fouls: 12 vs 14
• Yellow Cards: 2 vs 3
• Shots on target: 5 vs 2
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 55% vs 45%

Atalanta is expected to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities, utilizing their attacking depth and pressing high against Bologna's defense. Bologna will likely adopt a defensive stance, aiming to counter-attack, but their lack of form may hinder their effectiveness in this strategy.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Head-to-Head Record. Atalanta has won 8 out of the last 15 encounters against Bologna, showcasing their dominance in this matchup.
• Atalanta's Home Advantage. Atalanta has a solid home record, winning 53% of their home matches against Bologna, which adds to their confidence going into this game.
• Bologna's Struggles in Attack. Bologna has only scored 3 goals in their last 10 matches, indicating a significant struggle to find the back of the net, which could be detrimental against a team like Atalanta.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 16:00 Serie A

Atalanta 2 1 1

Bologna 0 0 0

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