AS Roma vs Lazio – Prediction (17.05.2026)

Teams Form Analysis

AS Roma has shown strong form in their last ten matches, winning 7, drawing 2, and losing only 1. They have scored a total of 13 goals, averaging 2.6 goals per game while conceding just 3, which translates to an impressive average of 0.6 goals against per game. In contrast, Lazio has struggled recently, with only 5 goals scored in their last 10 matches, averaging 1.25 goals per game, while conceding 9 goals, averaging 2.25 goals against per game.

The head-to-head record favors AS Roma, who have won 9 out of the last 15 encounters against Lazio. This includes a recent win on April 6, 2024, where AS Roma triumphed 1-0 at home.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In their last five matches, AS Roma has averaged 2.6 goals scored per game, while Lazio has only managed 1.25 goals. The expected goals (xG) for AS Roma in their last match against Lazio was 0.71, compared to Lazio's 0.44, indicating a significant attacking advantage for AS Roma. Additionally, AS Roma has a higher average possession rate of 54% compared to Lazio's 46% in their recent matches, suggesting they are more dominant in controlling the game.

In terms of discipline, AS Roma has averaged 2.7 yellow cards per game in their last encounters with Lazio, while Lazio averages 2.9. This suggests a competitive match where fouls and cards could play a significant role.

AS Roma — Lazio Prediction

• Exact Score: 2 vs 1
• 1st Half: 1 vs 0
• Goals (Total): 2 vs 1
• Corners: 9 vs 4
• Fouls: 10 vs 10
• Yellow Cards: 4 vs 3
• Shots on target: 5 vs 2
• Offsides: 2 vs 1
• Possession: 55% vs 45%

In terms of tactics, AS Roma is expected to dominate possession and utilize their width to stretch Lazio's defense. Lazio may adopt a counter-attacking strategy, looking to exploit any gaps left by Roma's attacking players. The match could see a high number of corners as both teams push forward, particularly AS Roma, who will likely look to capitalize on set pieces.

3 Key Reasons for This Prediction

• Strong Recent Form. AS Roma has won 7 of their last 10 matches, showcasing their attacking strength and defensive solidity.
• Head-to-Head Advantage. AS Roma has won 9 out of the last 15 encounters against Lazio, including their last match.
• Defensive Solidity. AS Roma has conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a strong defensive setup.

Match Prediction

17.05.2026 10:30 Serie A

AS Roma 2 1 1

Lazio 1 0 1

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