Prediction North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers — 28.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos have not played any recent matches, making it difficult to assess their current form. In contrast, the Essendon Bombers have struggled in their last five games, losing four and only managing to score an average of 61 points per game while conceding an average of 86 points. This indicates a significant gap in their performance, particularly in defense.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Essendon Bombers have shown a concerning trend in their scoring, averaging only 57.8 points for and 86 points against in their last five matches. North Melbourne's lack of recent data complicates the analysis, but historically, home advantage can be significant in the AFL. The Bombers' away form has been poor, which could play into the Kangaroos' favor if they can capitalize on this opportunity.

North Melbourne Kangaroos — Essendon Bombers Prediction

• Exact Score: 70 – 66
• Q1: 15 – 12
• Q2: 20 – 18
• Q3: 20 – 18
• Q4: 15 – 18
• Total points: 136
• Winning margin: 4
• Disposals: 340 – 330
• Kicks: 200 – 190
• Handballs: 140 – 140
• Total Clearances: 35 – 30
• Marks: 90 – 85
• Tackles: 55 – 50
• Hitouts: 30 – 28
• Goal Assists: 9 – 8
• Free Kicks: 20 – 18

In terms of tactical expectations, North Melbourne will likely focus on controlling the midfield and utilizing their home ground advantage to apply pressure early. Essendon, on the other hand, may need to adjust their defensive strategies to limit scoring opportunities, especially in the first half, to stay competitive.

3 Reasons Why North Melbourne Kangaroos Will Win

• Home Advantage: North Melbourne will play at home, which historically boosts performance in the AFL.
• Essendon’s Poor Form: The Bombers have lost four of their last five games, indicating a lack of confidence and consistency.
• Scoring Trends: Essendon has been conceding an average of 86 points, suggesting vulnerabilities that North Melbourne could exploit.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

28.06.2026 05:15 AFL Premiership

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Essendon Bombers

70 66

15 12

20 18

20 18

15 18

136 —

+4 -4

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 340 330

Kicks 200 190

Handballs 140 140

Total Clearances 35 30

Marks 90 85

Tackles 55 50

Hitouts 30 28

Goal Assists 9 8

Free Kicks 20 18